TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$132,263
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$130,278

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,263 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 215 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5452…d448backed No79c16,932$13,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,575.825662.5%35 W · 21 L+7.2wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No73c7,467$5,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,033.827944.3%35 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-25.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Yes27c7,185$1,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,960.553030%9 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No79c6,943$5,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,477.913271.9%23 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes7c6,827$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.921337.6%80 W · 133 L+0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27b0…fc67backed Yes28c5,300$1,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,484633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No74c5,042$3,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,310.975759.6%34 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4f9…9419backed Yes29c5,000$1,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,440.742420.8%5 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-34.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79b4…fc3dbacked No73c4,850$3,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,309.552100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+124.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No74c4,382$3,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,159.435757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No69c4,155$2,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,307.581952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No73c4,000$2,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.9914356.6%81 W · 62 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa252…dbf4backed Yes27c3,700$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1942…96edbacked Yes26c3,371$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.58250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7803…c9afbacked Yes30c3,333$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00070%0 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes27c3,150$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.513219.7%26 W · 106 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes23c2,979$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.452817.9%5 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick21cpaid+20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Yes33c2,825$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No76c2,815$2,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.693467.6%23 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No73c2,790$2,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.258622.1%19 W · 67 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-60.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd33b…4e00backed Yes12c2,375$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.582321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-42.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1821…968bbacked Yes14c2,162$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick15cpaid+215.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ce9…0cf5backed Yes34c2,132$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.3811836.4%43 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9b5…9db1backed No73c2,127$1,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.69966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes25c2,000$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.245337.7%20 W · 33 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-37%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1e2…1f9abacked Yes7c1,522$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.0924720.6%51 W · 196 L-0.5wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed No75c1,387$1,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.872425%6 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed No65c1,323$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.874148.8%20 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1824…fda1backed Yes8c1,289$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.26348.8%3 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9186…9220backed No78c1,271$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.982864.3%18 W · 10 L+5.6wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+28.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x64a1…f1dcbacked Yes27c1,247$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.7450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked No62c1,156$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.791361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0bf…f035backed Yes26c1,110$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No77c1,098$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.587950.6%40 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbfe…cc51backed Yes27c1,043$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.2230%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb607…39bebacked Yes30c1,002$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…7571backed Yes26c999.97$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.992040%8 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe52f…37b4backed Yes25c919.05$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes9c847.41$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.4910128.7%29 W · 72 L-0.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc217…8701backed No74c810.81$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95d9…ab03backed Yes26c800$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2083713.5%5 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick20cpaid-70.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3a8…d7b7backed Yes27c740.86$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002524%6 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Yes27c740.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick25cpaid-58.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fef…66acbacked Yes34c725.32$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1a9…d211backed Yes9c674.17$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.95348.8%3 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-61.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50b0…ccc3backed Yes27c663.07$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.0360%0 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Yes8c656.27$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.381216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick9cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe394…289cbacked Yes45c648.27$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.635959.3%35 W · 24 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd29d…b038backed Yes19c599.97$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.9910020%20 W · 80 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes24c582.5$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.86732.8%22 W · 45 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x791b…065bbacked Yes26c576.92$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No72c508.97$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.036325.4%16 W · 47 L-8.9wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-49.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5cb2…82e5backed Yes11c506.32$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.42250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a05…cd14backed Yes2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8815…438dbacked Yes29c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.83716.2%6 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-44.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41da…0b58backed Yes12c500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick13cpaid+316.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20b7…91b2backed Yes8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick9cpaid+58.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No72c483$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60bc…1db3backed Yes15c479.24$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.89450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a7…a095backed Yes15c451.26$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.69812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-83.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5de…cabebacked Yes27c444.44$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd992…985abacked Yes3c437.26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe196…7976backed Yes28c412.11$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1146829.4%20 W · 48 L+0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a23…d039backed Yes26c407.45$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes26c400$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1043040%12 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2df…5208backed Yes26c399.99$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10440%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8e4…ff59backed Yes26c391.45$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick30cpaid+107.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3de2…d073backed Yes16c380.07$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.26520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-63.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13c9…af7dbacked Yes8c371.94$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick9cpaid+354.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21a9…550dbacked Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-44.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34c7…c049backed Yes9c346.58$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7320%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Yes29c340.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-39%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b29…b861backed No75c333.96$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.96333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-55.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc63a…26a0backed Yes9c317.7$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.53520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick9cpaid+132%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x196c…df7abacked Yes25c315$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.11520%3 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18d7…2968backed Yes28c311.36$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.061414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d48…66abbacked Yes31c310.62$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.62450%12 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3844…7285backed Yes9c307.22$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.656523.1%15 W · 50 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a36…2450backed No75c303.78$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe02…b22dbacked Yes33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001915.8%3 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-73.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No79c300$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.32842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb20f…5737backed Yes22c272.85$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6050%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed Yes6c250$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes27c241.29$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.155619.6%11 W · 45 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-21.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd003…0113backed Yes9c226.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2050%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea08…6191backed Yes8c225.87$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.811010%1 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-81.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes14c209.79$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.379333.3%31 W · 62 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5dd…345cbacked No72c208.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.332540%10 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked No70c200$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.697643.4%33 W · 43 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x83d4…c5ffbacked Yes26c200$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.181020%2 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+82.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Yes11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+41%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xecc5…5fdebacked Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7c9…2ef8backed Yes12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2450%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ec7…88b8backed Yes10c199.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201225%3 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2977…4eb0backed Yes26c199.96$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb2b…1e44backed Yes16c193.25$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3040%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Yes25c189.25$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.31333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-41.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ec6…a9ccbacked Yes27c188.85$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bb9…cd08backed Yes13c186.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25650%3 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick13cpaid+554.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x01a8…83b0backed Yes30c186.43$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9350%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.