F1 · resolved market
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9deae61d56b06ab1d24559339d0c074a4a9cda57667bc386168dd48803d1d24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,250
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,179
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,250 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 12c | 7,908$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.64 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…dc83backed Yes | 2c | 7,870$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 59 | 18.6%11 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 2c | 5,150$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.13 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37ed…9f94backed Yes | 2c | 4,834$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a8…d7b7backed Yes | 2c | 4,284$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8433…9738backed Yes | 16c | 1,960$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe52f…37b4backed Yes | 14c | 1,800$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8871…a59abacked Yes | 1c | 1,500$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e2…1f9abacked Yes | 5c | 1,463$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.4 | 249 | 20.9%52 W · 197 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 2c | 1,258$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 144 | 29.9%43 W · 101 L | +14.2wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b29…b861backed Yes | 2c | 1,252$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…dea7backed Yes | 2c | 1,235$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 1c | 1,054$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 123 | 53.7%66 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 3c | 750.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc63a…26a0backed Yes | 9c | 732.39$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.23 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +132%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b94…ecf4backed Yes | 2c | 659.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b7…91b2backed Yes | 8c | 499.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9a…68ddbacked Yes | 14c | 450$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2b…1e44backed Yes | 8c | 376$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 9c | 367.06$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.37 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…4f29backed Yes | 7c | 299.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…d43cbacked Yes | 13c | 299.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd31…d389backed Yes | 15c | 299.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f677backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1824…fda1backed Yes | 14c | 276.21$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.67 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9bb…7d97backed Yes | 18c | 274.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +140.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ae…9574backed Yes | 18c | 273.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.66 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1b…b9c4backed Yes | 7c | 257.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x479f…5bfcbacked Yes | 13c | 253.85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Yes | 16c | 219.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a8…281fbacked Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e60…b440backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 124 | 19.4%24 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec7…88b8backed Yes | 13c | 199.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc555…5095backed Yes | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…d08cbacked Yes | 7c | 154.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +191.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f1…e1f9backed Yes | 10c | 145.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +174.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb77a…d769backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…feb3backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -63%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef9…4035backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e5…da90backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a9…d211backed Yes | 14c | 121.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8231…22e4backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 121 | 45.5%55 W · 66 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…7133backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccfb…6dfdbacked Yes | 16c | 70.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…df49backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb130…2823backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 76c | 19.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?this page
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?No won
- Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?No won
- Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?No won
- Will Pierre Gasly win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.