TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$219,825
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$184,616

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $219,825 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes26c13,120$3,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,408.942817.9%5 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick21cpaid+20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Yes20c9,999$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.8425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick16cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2b9…51dcbacked Yes8c8,200$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No70c6,997$4,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,098.8714356.6%81 W · 62 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No77c5,404$4,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,228.035662.5%35 W · 21 L+7.2wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb86d…3c53backed Yes8c5,334$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x168a…da29backed No80c5,158$4,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,046.0414458.3%84 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4f9…9419backed Yes24c4,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9602420.8%5 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-34.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c76…06acbacked Yes16c3,958$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.6580%0 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Yes11c3,956$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44690%0 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d8d…8f77backed Yes0c3,847$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.29742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick22cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Yes17c3,558$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.125759.6%34 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ce9…0cf5backed Yes15c3,495$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.6711836.4%43 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes17c3,306$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.245317%9 W · 44 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-53.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes10c3,150$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31513219.7%26 W · 106 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes13c3,072$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.295337.7%20 W · 33 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-37%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x27b0…fc67backed Yes15c3,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8815…438dbacked Yes8c2,747$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.413716.2%6 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-44.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7803…c9afbacked Yes19c2,699$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50070%0 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3de2…d073backed Yes4c2,659$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.64520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-63.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb31b…200bbacked Yes17c2,647$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.971428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes11c2,625$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.4611547%54 W · 61 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes9c2,207$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.8810128.7%29 W · 72 L-0.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x517b…48acbacked Yes17c2,003$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbfe…cc51backed Yes9c2,002$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18430%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21a9…550dbacked Yes10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-44.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9186…9220backed Yes13c2,000$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.992864.3%18 W · 10 L+5.6wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+28.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7f9d…ab79backed Yes5c1,894$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.35812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-81%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd29d…b038backed Yes10c1,639$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.0310020%20 W · 80 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60bc…1db3backed Yes16c1,600$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.87450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Yes16c1,517$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-50.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Yes18c1,500$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.56331.7%20 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa76c…dc83backed Yes14c1,330$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.245418.5%10 W · 44 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x999f…addbbacked Yes8c1,230$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.3930%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc37e…9e64backed Yes16c1,200$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19220%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1824…fda1backed Yes15c1,126$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.45348.8%3 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52ef…6b77backed Yes16c1,108$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.33110%0 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ec6…a9ccbacked Yes11c1,100$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12120%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked No80c1,100$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2202673.1%19 W · 7 L+9.1wins+0.35per pick38cpaid+117.3%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xb3a8…d7b7backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002524%6 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes17c911.06$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.088138.3%31 W · 50 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd49…d059backed Yes12c868.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…7571backed Yes28c856.6$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.812040%8 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf802…d91dbacked Yes17c830.28$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.155334%18 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bcc…f8b2backed Yes3c800$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204040%16 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-28.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes15c772.31$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.212353.7%66 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xabe5…d99abacked Yes9c736.08$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.252015%3 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.16per pick31cpaid-45.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8105…955abacked Yes18c728.06$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301625%4 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed Yes16c723.81$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.815757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe196…7976backed Yes12c699.21$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866829.4%20 W · 48 L+0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a2d…8b4bbacked Yes4c682$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dc2…40abbacked Yes16c635.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10080%0 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b78…f14fbacked Yes20c629.89$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.431618.8%3 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick16cpaid+57%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c44…fcd4backed Yes13c601.78$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.2320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77ad…ba8abacked Yes9c584.41$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.051435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f8c…e275backed Yes18c578.13$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.77425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8250…ddd0backed Yes17c571.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10060%0 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3844…7285backed Yes8c570.85$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.426523.1%15 W · 50 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3309…be44backed Yes11c550$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604231%13 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes16c522.51$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.181931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-48.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Yes24c519.05$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.5790%0 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0ae3…bdf5backed Yes3c515.51$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed Yes17c504.52$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.3512246.7%57 W · 65 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x374c…4531backed Yes3c501.92$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf44…71a4backed Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-32%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99c4…0c89backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502619.2%5 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick17cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9edd…6fe3backed Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.71936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1e2…1f9abacked Yes2c499.78$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.124720.6%51 W · 196 L-0.5wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa676…4f29backed Yes18c472.98$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c2…3048backed Yes17c460$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cac…10b3backed Yes22c427.99$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.181040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes10c400$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.266827.9%19 W · 49 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+19.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xabd5…bb74backed Yes13c400$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522231.8%7 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick25cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes10c400$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415619.6%11 W · 45 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-21.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed No79c387.22$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.731735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34c7…c049backed Yes13c381.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Yes22c373.53$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.85714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+26.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Yes9c367.21$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.434136.6%15 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa689…4cf5backed Yes25c354.63$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.66812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick9cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2163…1f5ebacked Yes8c316.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25825%2 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-35.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85bd…7f75backed Yes21c314.52$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-34.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0437…30f4backed Yes21c314.52$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.05250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-32.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d5c…3589backed Yes13c314.28$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37ed…9f94backed Yes14c310$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.53425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick17cpaid-50.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes8c306.6$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0314429.9%43 W · 101 L+14.2wins+0.10per pick20cpaid+69.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x196c…df7abacked Yes12c303.8$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.421520%3 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Yes5c302$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.51216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick9cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes8c300$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.757115.5%11 W · 60 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-44.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x704d…aceebacked Yes8c299.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-53.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9720…afa4backed Yes19c299.99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-18.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36df…c404backed Yes10c299.84$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.98911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-63%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a2a…420abacked Yes11c291.73$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes8c287$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.963016.7%5 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick10cpaid+25.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf055…ccddbacked No75c283.96$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.254100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+54.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x747c…443bbacked Yes12c283.33$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01e9…3b95backed Yes18c280.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502725.9%7 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-21%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes22c274.2$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608338.6%32 W · 51 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa492…adbebacked Yes19c267.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503026.7%8 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c1b…dcd4backed Yes9c267.58$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2320%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf57d…bf12backed Yes15c266.1$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1620%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.