Champions League · resolved market
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 10.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x716f6765066816d7743f0e5667dda2ed5af0e8042b26adf056f39a2b774e34d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,398
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,789
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,398 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 56c | 1,040$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.24 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf171…85febacked Over | 53c | 922.6$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.8 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 47c | 770.42$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.1 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Under | 55c | 490.23$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.26 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Over | 45c | 450$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 43c | 396.86$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.39 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over | 49c | 395.82$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.94 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +8.6wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0651…c690backed Under | 53c | 299.26$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2139…7fe2backed Over | 48c | 290.64$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Under | 51c | 251.3$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.16 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe809…039bbacked Under | 53c | 249.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed Under | 55c | 249.97$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.48 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6794…0a8bbacked Over | 51c | 247.53$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.35 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed Over | 47c | 224.93$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.41 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Over | 47c | 204.48$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.64 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044e…28d3backed Over | 48c | 200.74$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.85 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Under | 53c | 192.27$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.47 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Under | 52c | 149.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 44c | 132.27$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.28 | 502 | 47.2%237 W · 265 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 48c | 129.07$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.95 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Over | 45c | 124.44$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.44 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…5159backed Over | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.09 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0679…bebbbacked Under | 55c | 105.65$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.39 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…bca9backed Over | 45c | 97.6$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed Under | 53c | 96.88$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.35 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 53c | 92.13$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.55 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…4fd0backed Over | 49c | 89.16$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Over | 49c | 88.75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.12 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…9805backed Under | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 46c | 63.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.14 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee75…f23abacked Over | 46c | 63.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.08 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…95e9backed Over | 51c | 62.27$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…d76fbacked Over | 53c | 55.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Over | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62c8…481cbacked Over | 48c | 49.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 42cpaid | +147%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72b8…6253backed Over | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dcc…45f6backed Over | 52c | 46.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbea…e77bbacked Over | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 54c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Under | 52c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ee…6c29backed Over | 48c | 32.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 51c | 28.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48a2…316dbacked Over | 51c | 28.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 48c | 28.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5e…b7e4backed Under | 53c | 24.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61bc…54f5backed Over | 46c | 23.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c31…f1f6backed Over | 52c | 22.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.