NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Celtics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa23e5b2644d872a12843a6b47366150f0eabeccb8081d357591675d069708238
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $636,790
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $645,548
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $636,790 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 378 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Cavaliers | 48c | 107,937$51,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,281.7 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Celtics | 46c | 67,656$31,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,078.23 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…5055backed Celtics | 78c | 36,901$28,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,722.51 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 72cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Celtics | 53c | 29,755$15,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,773.34 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Cavaliers | 48c | 16,614$7,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,639.52 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Celtics | 53c | 11,607$6,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,113.57 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Celtics | 45c | 10,110$4,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,521.24 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Cavaliers | 18c | 9,068$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,469.1 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80a5…f9babacked Cavaliers | 49c | 8,389$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,288.7 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Cavaliers | 47c | 8,298$3,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,374.75 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Cavaliers | 47c | 8,135$3,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,331.38 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Cavaliers | 44c | 6,851$3,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,837.68 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cavaliers | 27c | 6,699$1,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,866.52 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8367…2a2abacked Celtics | 69c | 6,557$4,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,497.46 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Celtics | 51c | 6,259$3,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,209.82 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d34…b76fbacked Celtics | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,180 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe663…6462backed Cavaliers | 47c | 5,479$2,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,906.78 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Celtics | 51c | 5,243$2,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,695.18 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58a3…279fbacked Celtics | 79c | 5,122$4,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,035.92 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Cavaliers | 39c | 4,306$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,605.76 | 296 | 35.8%106 W · 190 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Celtics | 62c | 4,186$2,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,590.41 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cavaliers | 31c | 4,134$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,858.53 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Cavaliers | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Celtics | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.91 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad4…dc12backed Celtics | 54c | 3,938$2,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,118.94 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dda…4cf6backed Cavaliers | 49c | 3,897$1,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,978.12 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Cavaliers | 41c | 3,758$1,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,217.41 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Celtics | 75c | 3,641$2,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,730.42 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…3843backed Cavaliers | 46c | 3,500$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890.12 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Cavaliers | 48c | 3,500$1,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,810 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Cavaliers | 38c | 3,462$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,144.31 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Celtics | 55c | 3,461$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900.06 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Celtics | 58c | 3,345$1,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,927.35 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Cavaliers | 45c | 2,363$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.45 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Celtics | 54c | 2,347$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.99 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Cavaliers | 43c | 2,316$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.88 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Celtics | 74c | 2,294$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,702 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x105e…4741backed Cavaliers | 26c | 2,237$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,655.33 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Celtics | 53c | 2,191$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.12 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Celtics | 56c | 2,189$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.02 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…ac36backed Cavaliers | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec2c…8f76backed Celtics | 51c | 2,169$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.43 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Cavaliers | 47c | 2,130$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Cavaliers | 19c | 2,102$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,701.92 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8959…ec66backed Cavaliers | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Cavaliers | 31c | 2,058$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.15 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f6…a29cbacked Celtics | 53c | 2,043$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Cavaliers | 44c | 2,037$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.58 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Cavaliers | 63c | 2,000$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Cavaliers | 33c | 1,960$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.32 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7583…8e60backed Cavaliers | 50c | 1,951$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Celtics | 51c | 1,848$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.1 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Celtics | 55c | 1,837$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.22 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Celtics | 54c | 1,800$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.95 | 404 | 48.3%195 W · 209 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a93…ecf9backed Cavaliers | 74c | 1,775$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.53 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…eaa9backed Cavaliers | 32c | 1,760$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Cavaliers | 25c | 1,630$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.21 | 412 | 27.4%113 W · 299 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Celtics | 41c | 1,566$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.98 | 208 | 51.4%107 W · 101 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa09b…a0ffbacked Celtics | 75c | 1,562$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.55 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Cavaliers | 47c | 1,511$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.28 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa331…f2d2backed Cavaliers | 48c | 1,475$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Celtics | 52c | 1,426$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.44 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…a0c0backed Cavaliers | 45c | 1,300$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…66d8backed Celtics | 73c | 1,291$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 1,291$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.41 | 98 | 68.4%67 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x190e…bee5backed Cavaliers | 45c | 1,266$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Cavaliers | 47c | 1,204$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.47 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0673…4a20backed Cavaliers | 45c | 1,185$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bf…c049backed Celtics | 47c | 1,058$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Celtics | 50c | 1,012$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Cavaliers | 46c | 1,008$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.6 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Cavaliers | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Cavaliers | 45c | 999.99$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.99 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Celtics | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Cavaliers | 32c | 941.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.54 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c87…5eb4backed Cavaliers | 46c | 900$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Cavaliers | 38c | 899.99$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.99 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Celtics | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Cavaliers | 40c | 891.34$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.21 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32bd…c195backed Celtics | 55c | 880.32$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.18 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f20…51c7backed Celtics | 55c | 853.85$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e98…d619backed Celtics | 55c | 817.11$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Cavaliers | 58c | 800$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Cavaliers | 49c | 790.2$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdad2…ef65backed Celtics | 55c | 781.12$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Cavaliers | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.23 | 345 | 24.3%84 W · 261 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Cavaliers | 43c | 763.31$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.56 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Celtics | 1c | 750$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Cavaliers | 33c | 721.12$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.25 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Cavaliers | 42c | 705.76$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.34 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Celtics | 54c | 699.96$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.73 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Cavaliers | 43c | 676.01$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.52 | 224 | 30.8%69 W · 155 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Celtics | 61c | 656.4$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.15 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Celtics | 77c | 653.2$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.96 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Celtics | 55c | 650.34$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.69 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Cavaliers | 49c | 626.06$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.95 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Celtics | 2c | 615.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3a…383cbacked Celtics | 55c | 612.61$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed Celtics | 55c | 602.72$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.5 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Cavaliers | 47c | 600$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.