NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Pistons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8dfea8e4db60e861a103ee4e9bfe20cf8e2362a7937a545803248d7dd9524bf4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Nuggets, Pistons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $355,230
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $371,344
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $355,230 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 415 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Nuggets | 66c | 27,656$18,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,386.73 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Nuggets | 47c | 22,607$10,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,991.38 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Pistons | 51c | 20,420$10,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,504.39 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Nuggets | 46c | 14,643$6,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,908.27 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pistons | 39c | 10,801$4,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,243.94 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…3f94backed Pistons | 50c | 10,074$4,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,996.6 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Pistons | 51c | 10,010$5,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,097.04 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Pistons | 4c | 9,393$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.52 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Pistons | 55c | 9,109$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Pistons | 41c | 8,833$3,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,628.16 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Pistons | 30c | 8,506$2,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,548.93 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Nuggets | 56c | 7,963$4,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,513.44 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d34…b76fbacked Pistons | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,179.86 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…80f2backed Nuggets | 70c | 5,179$3,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,553.76 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pistons | 53c | 5,173$2,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,748.75 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Nuggets | 78c | 5,026$3,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.98 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Nuggets | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Pistons | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.98 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nuggets | 61c | 3,999$2,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.08 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58a3…279fbacked Pistons | 46c | 3,879$1,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,792.15 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Pistons | 1c | 3,789$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Pistons | 54c | 3,670$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 95 | 72.6%69 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Pistons | 52c | 3,466$1,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,807.11 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Nuggets | 57c | 3,373$1,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.1 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Pistons | 28c | 2,947$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.78 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…66d8backed Nuggets | 62c | 2,664$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.24 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde32…700cbacked Pistons | 51c | 2,542$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296.52 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a93…ecf9backed Pistons | 47c | 2,387$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.62 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Nuggets | 49c | 2,378$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.53 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pistons | 52c | 2,104$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.74 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…ac36backed Nuggets | 48c | 2,087$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.7 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Pistons | 1c | 2,006$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Nuggets | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8771…1a60backed Pistons | 1c | 1,845$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 6cpaid | +256.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Pistons | 50c | 1,763$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.5 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Pistons | 1c | 1,755$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe663…6462backed Pistons | 62c | 1,609$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Nuggets | 49c | 1,600$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.33 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Pistons | 40c | 1,424$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.09 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Pistons | 53c | 1,415$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.7 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x105e…4741backed Pistons | 35c | 1,317$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.27 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Pistons | 52c | 1,300$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.97 | 404 | 48.3%195 W · 209 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0753…25b2backed Pistons | 5c | 1,295$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…fa4bbacked Nuggets | 47c | 1,270$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.1 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d99…e874backed Pistons | 50c | 1,254$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.53 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Nuggets | 47c | 1,237$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.77 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d80…219abacked Nuggets | 48c | 1,227$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.08 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x801c…e723backed Nuggets | 47c | 1,148$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +117%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a8…c442backed Nuggets | 47c | 1,137$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7103…b192backed Nuggets | 46c | 1,118$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.32 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Nuggets | 50c | 1,100$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.99 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Pistons | 53c | 1,089$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.17 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d51…a3cbbacked Pistons | 54c | 1,074$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed Pistons | 4c | 1,033$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 108 | 8.3%9 W · 99 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Nuggets | 75c | 1,031$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.7 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Pistons | 49c | 1,027$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Nuggets | 48c | 1,017$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.5 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Pistons | 37c | 1,000$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Pistons | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Nuggets | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Nuggets | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 248 | 55.6%138 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…ae0fbacked Pistons | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9855…4211backed Nuggets | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +69%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1636…8c6abacked Pistons | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf3…326bbacked Nuggets | 49c | 999.95$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.98 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe034…b9f6backed Pistons | 54c | 998.03$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Pistons | 38c | 976.47$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.11 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…4942backed Pistons | 53c | 941.06$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Pistons | 1c | 938.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…1476backed Nuggets | 60c | 892$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.8 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7da…deb7backed Nuggets | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.06 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Pistons | 33c | 829.98$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.29 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb3…abf0backed Pistons | 53c | 827.88$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Pistons | 50c | 814.28$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.85 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Nuggets | 69c | 797.22$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.75 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8db…e9b2backed Pistons | 53c | 793.3$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Nuggets | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Pistons | 54c | 736.11$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.25 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Pistons | 52c | 695$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.64 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Nuggets | 51c | 693.33$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.73 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe408…232bbacked Nuggets | 48c | 682$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.64 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Pistons | 53c | 612.73$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.37 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d5…fc86backed Pistons | 55c | 601.82$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb865…041bbacked Nuggets | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Nuggets | 53c | 597.88$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.18 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Nuggets | 48c | 594.15$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.05 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Nuggets | 50c | 587$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.5 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Pistons | 51c | 585.95$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.71 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Nuggets | 50c | 578.07$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.04 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Nuggets | 45c | 555$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.25 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdafc…dbadbacked Pistons | 47c | 532.11$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4b…a8bdbacked Pistons | 53c | 515.09$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd446…acacbacked Nuggets | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…3e0ebacked Nuggets | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…4544backed Pistons | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fb…20f0backed Nuggets | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x346f…8f24backed Nuggets | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a2…da2dbacked Nuggets | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccc8…29d9backed Nuggets | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8986…8668backed Nuggets | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.