TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Kings vs. Stars

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Starsof Kings, Stars
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$174,794
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$179,376

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,794 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x11c7…d675backed Stars55c99,001$54,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,550.45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc536…b4aebacked Kings45c99,001$44,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,550.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc04d…69e7backed Stars59c20,668$12,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,536.4862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Kings46c10,000$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,60022842.5%97 W · 131 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Kings43c7,091$3,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,081.436242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Kings46c6,000$2,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,756.2292848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Kings44c4,237$1,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,850.5397651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Kings45c4,186$1,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,889.0572847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x821d…0a01backed Stars57c3,731$2,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,604.3221652.3%113 W · 103 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf42…c3b4backed Stars56c2,421$1,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0591258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1513…dfcabacked Stars56c2,325$1,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,023.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf10a…b2d1backed Kings12c2,138$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.086940.6%28 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Stars55c2,000$1,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.9325340.7%103 W · 150 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Stars56c1,786$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.7115261.8%94 W · 58 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x06d8…1aefbacked Kings7c1,565$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.04812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Stars54c1,471$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.7310451.9%54 W · 50 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Kings46c1,290$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.8579251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Kings44c1,050$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46234845.4%158 W · 190 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Kings1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Stars55c999.99$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.9985148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Kings39c983.49$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.984051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Kings31c952.44$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30021620.4%44 W · 172 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a37…869bbacked Stars55c937.98$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.092650%13 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9ad9…e02fbacked Kings46c920$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x833e…eda2backed Stars54c920$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd67e…f1b8backed Kings45c800.11$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39bc…8af7backed Stars56c789.82$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.82250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Kings45c785.91$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.6613754%74 W · 63 L+9.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Kings34c774.03$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.953,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Kings45c704.99$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.1572444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Kings33c700$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2311,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Kings44c685.07$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.131,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Kings47c620.75$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.581,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1145…d9b6backed Kings46c534.78$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75c3…50e6backed Kings46c434.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Stars67c416.19$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.0258467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x4d5e…d2f6backed Stars57c380.84$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.76450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2105…64adbacked Stars55c380$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1714252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcef9…c045backed Stars56c358.75$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6867…976abacked Stars56c357.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dde…6b67backed Kings46c335.97$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.674235.7%15 W · 27 L-6.9wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-33.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Kings45c335$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.3860549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Kings4c286.73$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7432331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf30…c120backed Stars56c275$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1211100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31be…22fbbacked Kings46c260.87$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40fd…eff0backed Kings45c256$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.2450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad16…e610backed Stars55c256$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4056…cf6ebacked Stars53c254.72$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e6a…2720backed Stars62c250$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick41cpaid-1.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f19…3e40backed Stars57c231.58$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.58450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d44…b15ebacked Stars55c230$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.57550.7%38 W · 37 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf35f…c62abacked Stars55c220$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Kings46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Kings20c205.9$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.991,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd28…374abacked Kings46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-67.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2983…59d1backed Stars55c198.65$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.3931248.4%151 W · 161 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe07c…551dbacked Stars55c189.36$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.212045%9 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcace…4fbdbacked Stars56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.573174.2%23 W · 8 L+5.0wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+26.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb30c…7ab2backed Stars55c158.18$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.18850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe004…840abacked Kings45c155.4$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.93475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+57%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5afb…57d0backed Stars57c155$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.651275%9 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick54cpaid+42.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1364…d17fbacked Kings43c155$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.651376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.24per pick53cpaid+48.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5a36…5dd0backed Stars55c152.22$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f41…d3f1backed Stars57c150$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.51457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ed…0426backed Kings43c150$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.51346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97bc…6dfbbacked Stars55c149.09$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.09728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-46.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ffd…e62cbacked Kings46c148.96$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.52633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-40.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa754…9b5abacked Kings44c145.89$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb371…7fadbacked Kings44c138.93$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.13250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd724…eda0backed Stars57c138$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.341656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16e9…9ae6backed Kings43c138$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.341741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9c0…dfa3backed Kings44c137.57$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.53250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ab3…c2abbacked Kings44c136.68$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.1420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5541…fd12backed Kings45c133.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick42cpaid-70.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Kings45c132$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0548149.3%237 W · 244 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83ee…36c2backed Kings48c127.92$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c8d…d880backed Stars56c127.64$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.162254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x855c…8461backed Kings48c127.08$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8046…af2ebacked Kings44c122.64$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d1c…d6bebacked Kings45c120.87$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.39742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda91…8d45backed Kings44c119$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x055f…c842backed Kings44c117.52$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf394…5c9abacked Kings44c112.34$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.43250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1517…391ebacked Kings44c110.93$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.81366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31e0…35b1backed Kings44c110.55$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.64250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeba5…141fbacked Stars55c108.77$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.95771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+27.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcbaf…9b68backed Kings44c108.39$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x310f…925bbacked Kings44c107.3$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.21250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d84…b7a6backed Kings44c106.55$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45ed…b558backed Kings44c103.57$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d7a…e202backed Kings44c103.55$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1773…66bebacked Kings44c103.14$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b3b…8f1bbacked Kings44c102.68$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6b5…245ebacked Kings44c101.55$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+25.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Stars54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4681846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcd3f…80f6backed Kings44c99.64$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdd4…7696backed Stars55c99.09$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5918452.2%96 W · 88 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x941f…e58ebacked Kings44c97.75$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.01250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x847b…bae4backed Kings48c96.85$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.49757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5303…5286backed Stars53c95.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.72650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.