TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Bulls

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bullsof Jazz, Bulls
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$105,100
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$101,254

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,100 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 373 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Bulls58c36,422$21,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,181.7618146.4%84 W · 97 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Jazz52c22,551$11,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,826.720248%97 W · 105 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x008a…21a8backed Jazz15c17,826$2,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,655.758129.6%24 W · 57 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Jazz51c4,416$2,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,252.3519149.7%95 W · 96 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Bulls52c2,894$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,394.1225536.9%94 W · 161 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Bulls57c2,157$1,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.952536%9 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-36.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Jazz53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0601,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa8f2…5495backed Jazz52c1,460$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7595536.4%20 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe877…bb43backed Jazz16c1,229$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002222.7%5 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-43.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa75c…895ebacked Jazz47c1,180$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.67347.9%35 W · 38 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d55…7cbabacked Jazz1c1,175$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15634.8%3 W · 60 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-58.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x497c…d54ebacked Bulls53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4701258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae0e…6527backed Bulls62c1,000$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.671361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+35.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb033…bedbbacked Bulls64c850$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.510058%58 W · 42 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4487…08c6backed Bulls48c625$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3253151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Jazz44c600$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26425236.9%93 W · 159 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60a1…a8e1backed Jazz49c504.99$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.44977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick51cpaid+48.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x65d4…4e71backed Bulls80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1009573.7%70 W · 25 L+7.8wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+11.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xba73…e538backed Jazz4c439.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.15200%0 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x14e3…ce1fbacked Bulls49c404.36$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.224052.5%21 W · 19 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+34.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Bulls58c400$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.5616563.6%105 W · 60 L+12.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Bulls56c380$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.217658%102 W · 74 L+13.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Bulls46c325$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.255054%27 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Jazz47c320$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.42,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Bulls55c222.99$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.3516361.3%100 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Bulls48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.331,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Jazz50c201.11$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10089353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Jazz50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30be…3566backed Jazz44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881650%8 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf7e…4b6fbacked Jazz44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf716…c440backed Jazz44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+28.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x386c…bc0dbacked Bulls56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c2…0705backed Jazz44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b8a…1a07backed Jazz44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5322…6b5fbacked Bulls56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+39.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5070…0039backed Jazz44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9ee…7fb2backed Jazz44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+28.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9752…bd2ebacked Jazz44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+20.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e4b…d536backed Jazz44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b4f…2737backed Jazz44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x90df…18cfbacked Jazz44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+18.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbd5…a72abacked Bulls56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882045%9 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0669…8717backed Jazz44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa444…c492backed Bulls56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881675%12 W · 4 L+4.4wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+54.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc909…6393backed Jazz44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa51b…8938backed Jazz44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881850%9 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29a7…b4c8backed Bulls56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7811…36d3backed Jazz44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a54…7d39backed Jazz44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+32.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa266…9abcbacked Jazz44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb75…bd65backed Jazz44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb77…1379backed Jazz44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881776.5%13 W · 4 L+4.5wins+0.27per pick50cpaid+51.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc249…06b5backed Jazz44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.6wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+48.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x97b2…88d1backed Bulls56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25a5…81f4backed Bulls56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882035%7 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-39%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3e57…836cbacked Jazz44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881540%6 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfc0…8c53backed Jazz44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28d5…7f11backed Bulls56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0b6…d335backed Jazz44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+20.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f02…8dcebacked Jazz44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x411f…5a20backed Bulls56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb72d…aa23backed Jazz44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf26c…12acbacked Bulls56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881850%9 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9fe…aa96backed Jazz44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8e2…7de9backed Bulls56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.22per pick47cpaid+43.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x977e…910bbacked Jazz44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdff5…2c9dbacked Bulls56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf783…7684backed Bulls56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+33.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xebe0…d317backed Bulls56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b01…aeb1backed Bulls56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+42.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdba3…f9ccbacked Bulls56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+39.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x96a6…5e3bbacked Bulls56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+23.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x53b5…7e4fbacked Bulls56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x48ca…ae3fbacked Bulls56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882055%11 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1b2…94dfbacked Jazz44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881315.4%2 W · 11 L-4.5wins-0.35per pick50cpaid-74.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xe319…3604backed Bulls56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfadf…eea8backed Jazz44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5795…324cbacked Bulls56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881650%8 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6c0…8d13backed Bulls56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882040%8 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-33.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d3b…f7bebacked Jazz44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-44.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4eda…800bbacked Bulls56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ad1…1c56backed Jazz44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bc5…5880backed Bulls56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882045%9 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6864…5c6bbacked Jazz44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+27.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3c4…dd09backed Jazz44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ce6…0079backed Bulls56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881560%9 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c5e…b1e1backed Bulls56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee67…914bbacked Jazz44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+25.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9a3…18b8backed Jazz44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-37.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x51d2…ea47backed Jazz44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+28.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4cc0…5ca6backed Bulls56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882128.6%6 W · 15 L-4.2wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-48.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x17cf…5ac6backed Bulls56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+20.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fb5…b8c9backed Bulls56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881540%6 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b31…ffd9backed Bulls56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882065%13 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+19.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x24cf…62dbbacked Bulls56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x13bf…d019backed Bulls56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3636…1ac0backed Bulls56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa095…65cfbacked Bulls56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4907…9e8dbacked Jazz44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881450%7 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa28d…03a2backed Bulls56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.