NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Grizzlies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27ce55630cf62754603d9d93efb18e17fb8637991d01c3b1ffc537ae67990e85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Hawks, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $228,135
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $256,505
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $228,135 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Hawks | 62c | 55,555$34,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,888.68 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Grizzlies | 38c | 44,427$16,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,771.55 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Grizzlies | 3c | 41,475$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.25 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Grizzlies | 34c | 17,232$5,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,823.81 | 181 | 46.4%84 W · 97 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Grizzlies | 34c | 8,951$3,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,065.59 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Grizzlies | 18c | 5,966$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.52 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Hawks | 45c | 5,266$2,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,897.75 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Hawks | 68c | 3,949$2,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.45 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Grizzlies | 29c | 3,550$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.98 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Hawks | 10c | 3,548$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,193.27 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Hawks | 68c | 3,235$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.29 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…cd12backed Hawks | 38c | 3,127$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,954.08 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Hawks | 68c | 3,100$2,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9454…6d22backed Hawks | 10c | 2,691$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,421.86 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Hawks | 69c | 2,199$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.77 | 436 | 53.2%232 W · 204 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Hawks | 65c | 2,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Grizzlies | 18c | 1,766$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.03 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3210…5c4ebacked Hawks | 74c | 1,546$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.08 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Grizzlies | 45c | 1,425$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.85 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Hawks | 67c | 1,295$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.18 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Grizzlies | 39c | 1,076$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.6 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc4…f94fbacked Hawks | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +118.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0667…42e1backed Grizzlies | 3c | 775.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Hawks | 72c | 690.75$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.75 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…3819backed Hawks | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 129 | 38.8%50 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Hawks | 72c | 499.99$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 252 | 36.9%93 W · 159 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Hawks | 71c | 499.99$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae90…c05fbacked Grizzlies | 3c | 474.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Grizzlies | 37c | 468.72$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.43 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Hawks | 69c | 464.68$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.05 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Grizzlies | 49c | 409.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65df…8397backed Grizzlies | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Grizzlies | 31c | 399.98$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.99 | 267 | 55.8%149 W · 118 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Grizzlies | 31c | 388$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.28 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Hawks | 69c | 388$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.28 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Hawks | 69c | 381.29$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.39 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Grizzlies | 23c | 350$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…9973backed Grizzlies | 11c | 339.34$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.33 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcf…c26fbacked Grizzlies | 9c | 338.19$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Grizzlies | 28c | 332.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.4 | 693 | 37.8%262 W · 431 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Grizzlies | 16c | 324$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.92 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Grizzlies | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Hawks | 67c | 303.98$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.31 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Grizzlies | 33c | 303.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Grizzlies | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Hawks | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +6.9wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3c…7c1ebacked Hawks | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Hawks | 66c | 295.73$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Hawks | 69c | 290.22$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.32 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Grizzlies | 37c | 272.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Grizzlies | 30c | 271.24$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.48 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccf…61a1backed Hawks | 69c | 250$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Grizzlies | 36c | 245$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.05 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Grizzlies | 36c | 225$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 354 | 38.1%135 W · 219 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Grizzlies | 11c | 222.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Hawks | 69c | 217.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.58 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Grizzlies | 7c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…ed8bbacked Grizzlies | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 122 | 22.1%27 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4085…bb3fbacked Hawks | 79c | 172.06$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.13 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Grizzlies | 34c | 167.64$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Grizzlies | 48c | 165.44$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Hawks | 70c | 164.61$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.54 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe677…bc17backed Hawks | 70c | 162$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Grizzlies | 31c | 159.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 316 | 31.6%100 W · 216 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Hawks | 73c | 150$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab0…7720backed Grizzlies | 31c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Hawks | 60c | 148.26$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.15 | 367 | 47.7%175 W · 192 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9a…ac1dbacked Hawks | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48d6…bbb9backed Hawks | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40ac…ee4bbacked Hawks | 73c | 140$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Hawks | 70c | 137.72$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.83 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Grizzlies | 30c | 136$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.45 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce43…a695backed Hawks | 47c | 130$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.9 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a04…7fdabacked Grizzlies | 53c | 130$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb10…bddcbacked Grizzlies | 31c | 129.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb062…2811backed Grizzlies | 55c | 126$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2955…91f4backed Hawks | 45c | 126$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Grizzlies | 32c | 119.58$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.27 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa4…e40abacked Hawks | 73c | 109.89$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff77…4b76backed Grizzlies | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Grizzlies | 49c | 105.44$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.95 | 427 | 40.3%172 W · 255 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Grizzlies | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Hawks | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96e6…fd14backed Grizzlies | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ff…cd24backed Grizzlies | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Hawks | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Hawks | 16c | 99.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.19 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x088b…3a58backed Hawks | 68c | 99.34$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…eda0backed Grizzlies | 50c | 98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…2ac8backed Hawks | 50c | 98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Grizzlies | 29c | 94.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +8.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Hawks | 69c | 94$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 289 | 40.8%118 W · 171 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ea…83c8backed Grizzlies | 29c | 91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Grizzlies | 31c | 90.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed Grizzlies | 20c | 89.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Hawks | 50c | 89.45$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.73 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8eed…f498backed Grizzlies | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Grizzlies | 27c | 77.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdea…5574backed Grizzlies | 31c | 73.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb5…6530backed Hawks | 69c | 72.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.