TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Wizards vs. Jazz

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jazzof Wizards, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$393,165
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$399,412

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $393,165 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 438 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x61bf…647ebacked Wizards46c113,360$51,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,952.33757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Jazz53c74,170$39,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,575.31,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Jazz56c57,899$32,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,237.2218146.4%84 W · 97 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Wizards7c37,115$2,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,586.0425536.9%94 W · 161 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cc4…f94fbacked Wizards42c28,242$12,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,000742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick29cpaid+118.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Jazz57c19,465$11,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,322.1629957.2%171 W · 128 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Wizards50c18,554$9,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,276.956144.3%27 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Jazz62c10,330$6,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,925.31,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Jazz61c4,699$2,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,852.5422458.9%132 W · 92 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc5b…6ca9backed Jazz53c3,650$1,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,727.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe85e…2aebbacked Wizards42c3,571$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5009437.2%35 W · 59 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Jazz56c3,057$1,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,354.2319149.7%95 W · 96 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03cd…9fdabacked Wizards51c3,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5303158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c95…0a3abacked Jazz49c2,978$1,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,518.773542.9%15 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Jazz59c2,556$1,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,047.9920248%97 W · 105 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba73…e538backed Wizards1c2,230$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5200%0 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Jazz65c2,046$1,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.9436748.2%177 W · 190 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Wizards43c2,000$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85584150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ad1…acf4backed Jazz49c1,550$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.54560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+30.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc29…c1c1backed Wizards51c1,550$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.530%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x299c…bbcebacked Wizards47c1,230$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa87e…3205backed Wizards48c1,217$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.1630%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdff7…6274backed Wizards47c1,214$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.58250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdefe…5432backed Jazz59c1,200$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4927468.9%51 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x497c…d54ebacked Jazz51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4901258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Wizards31c992.32$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.8633746.3%156 W · 181 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Wizards51c798.84$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.1716563.6%105 W · 60 L+12.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4487…08c6backed Jazz62c753.23$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.233151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Jazz60c720$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28825248.4%122 W · 130 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Wizards49c605.99$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.942,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbcf…c26fbacked Jazz55c577.5$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.413060%18 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Wizards46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23015653.8%84 W · 72 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ca8…3e59backed Wizards43c488.7$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.141947.4%9 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Jazz51c447.56$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.431,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Wizards34c398.67$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.9626839.2%105 W · 163 L-0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Jazz49c368.06$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.0969337.8%262 W · 431 L+2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Jazz61c341.73$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.9416361.3%100 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Wizards46c340.73$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.338026.3%21 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x013b…01cfbacked Wizards45c325.33$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.41936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Wizards35c290.51$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.691,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Jazz46c260$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.482440.4%333 W · 491 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Jazz53c259.93$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2320153.7%108 W · 93 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b2c…284cbacked Wizards54c259.85$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1409266.3%61 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3df4…57dfbacked Wizards40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb16…96b5backed Jazz59c237.29$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.291861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+60.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe89e…bb74backed Wizards41c237.29$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.291127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Wizards45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9898…c894backed Jazz52c221.73$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.42540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x367f…c41abacked Wizards49c208.64$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.18850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3404…2880backed Jazz50c202.68$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.34966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+32.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x30be…3566backed Jazz49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021650%8 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b9f…8483backed Wizards51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x386c…bc0dbacked Jazz49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b8a…1a07backed Wizards51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5322…6b5fbacked Jazz49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+39.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5070…0039backed Wizards51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9ee…7fb2backed Jazz49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+28.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9752…bd2ebacked Jazz49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+20.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e4b…d536backed Wizards51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b4f…2737backed Jazz49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbd5…a72abacked Wizards51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022045%9 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa444…c492backed Jazz49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021675%12 W · 4 L+4.4wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+54.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa51b…8938backed Jazz49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021850%9 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a54…7d39backed Jazz49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+32.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xafbd…67aebacked Jazz49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.20per pick45cpaid+38.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb75…bd65backed Jazz49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb77…1379backed Jazz49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021776.5%13 W · 4 L+4.5wins+0.27per pick50cpaid+51.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc249…06b5backed Jazz49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.6wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+48.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x97b2…88d1backed Wizards51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25a5…81f4backed Wizards51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022035%7 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-39%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6d59…569ebacked Jazz49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+23.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e57…836cbacked Wizards51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021540%6 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ffe…8149backed Jazz49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021650%8 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfc0…8c53backed Jazz49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28d5…7f11backed Jazz49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1022138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0b6…d335backed Jazz49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+20.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f02…8dcebacked Wizards51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x411f…5a20backed Jazz49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb72d…aa23backed Jazz49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc312…d500backed Jazz49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+26%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe807…344ebacked Wizards51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf26c…12acbacked Wizards51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021850%9 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a1…8edfbacked Wizards51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+33.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9fe…aa96backed Jazz49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8e2…7de9backed Jazz49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.22per pick47cpaid+43.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf783…7684backed Wizards51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+33.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf4d6…e236backed Jazz49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdba3…f9ccbacked Jazz49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+39.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x96a6…5e3bbacked Jazz49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+23.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x53b5…7e4fbacked Wizards51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d0…87efbacked Jazz49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+20.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3520…3d22backed Jazz49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1022055%11 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe319…3604backed Wizards51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f7a…0c15backed Jazz49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021850%9 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf262…4f0cbacked Jazz49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021618.8%3 W · 13 L-4.6wins-0.29per pick48cpaid-60.4%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xfadf…eea8backed Jazz49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c4c…408cbacked Jazz49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6c0…8d13backed Wizards51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022040%8 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-33.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa86b…60acbacked Jazz49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021650%8 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…cccebacked Wizards51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+26.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.