Music · resolved market
Will 'Espresso' win Record of the Year?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9457843bee925935748507cc4ec194b9c7b418114b71dde310617ea69210566
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,972
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,726
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,972 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 317 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcbbc…ea5abacked Yes | 78c | 7,238$5,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,650 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 61c | 6,240$3,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,804.85 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…5b0fbacked No | 20c | 3,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 26cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f91…0df5backed Yes | 65c | 2,627$1,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2459…8d76backed No | 46c | 2,565$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.32 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed Yes | 6c | 2,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed Yes | 6c | 2,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc658…b784backed Yes | 49c | 2,096$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.65 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb1…4253backed No | 31c | 2,083$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +127%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd031…7d2ebacked No | 39c | 1,830$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.71 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 8cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Yes | 69c | 1,800$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 38c | 1,710$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.46 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 24cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5581…cb44backed Yes | 64c | 1,604$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 41c | 1,548$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.99 | 149 | 38.9%58 W · 91 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e0…b444backed Yes | 62c | 1,457$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e2…a960backed Yes | 50c | 1,346$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.1 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 59c | 1,314$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.94 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 36c | 1,203$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.59 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…5204backed Yes | 60c | 1,189$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.82 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c23…0476backed No | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…91f8backed No | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe325…2f78backed Yes | 52c | 1,100$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x966d…a1cabacked Yes | 52c | 1,100$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 27c | 1,054$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.96 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceb3…e5cdbacked Yes | 58c | 1,033$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8258…f208backed Yes | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c5…0166backed Yes | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb3…8391backed No | 40c | 950$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…ed60backed No | 40c | 950$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db5…82e3backed Yes | 60c | 950$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d50…6514backed Yes | 60c | 950$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Yes | 72c | 911.6$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Yes | 74c | 875.77$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 28c | 865.48$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.19 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked Yes | 62c | 859.62$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.38 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x321a…b052backed No | 30c | 810$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed No | 44c | 809$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.95 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 28c | 771.22$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.07 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26b8…131cbacked Yes | 68c | 753.73$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked No | 25c | 740.62$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.03 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x438a…62e5backed Yes | 48c | 684.94$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 31c | 601$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.4 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Yes | 57c | 599.99$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8499…42e5backed Yes | 64c | 598$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 33c | 560.36$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.46 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1a…1011backed Yes | 62c | 486.1$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 39c | 477.94$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.74 | 233 | 39.5%92 W · 141 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…2529backed No | 30c | 474.81$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.37 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +255.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 28c | 460$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.92 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a7…9f3cbacked Yes | 61c | 448.74$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4d…0b9abacked Yes | 60c | 435.33$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80e0…7ffabacked No | 28c | 432.43$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.23 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked Yes | 59c | 424$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.16 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a45…9d4abacked No | 19c | 419.12$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.94 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 38c | 391$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.42 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…0917backed No | 42c | 366.16$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…a2a7backed Yes | 58c | 366.16$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf1…3c6bbacked Yes | 71c | 334.88$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 41c | 323$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.41 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked No | 33c | 321.7$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.1 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked No | 33c | 318.07$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.65 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7829…9d93backed Yes | 68c | 300$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked No | 34c | 294.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.2 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e1…1282backed Yes | 69c | 287.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 62c | 283.93$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.54 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Yes | 50c | 270.32$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.16 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x699d…4260backed Yes | 74c | 270.18$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79d4…9dafbacked No | 52c | 265$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked No | 24c | 246.48$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.77 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf806…2d90backed Yes | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes | 59c | 236.33$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.08 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 37c | 225.01$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.91 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 29c | 222$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.62 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3b…c3e2backed Yes | 31c | 219.17$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…24c3backed No | 45c | 201$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…0198backed No | 38c | 200$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed No | 40c | 197.7$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.3 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed No | 32c | 197.66$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.41 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 23c | 185.51$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.01 | 72 | 22.2%16 W · 56 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c47…0ce8backed No | 41c | 184.44$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 44c | 181.37$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.57 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 38cpaid | +107.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 40c | 180.3$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.97 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d6…fdd3backed Yes | 67c | 180$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +184.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Yes | 63c | 177.7$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.93 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef17…6583backed Yes | 58c | 173.23$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 58c | 168.82$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.92 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffa…4638backed No | 32c | 166.25$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +164.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d00…d499backed Yes | 53c | 166.08$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.02 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d95…67a7backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4c…a604backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2a…0e15backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked No | 39c | 160$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.9 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 33cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a86…b39ebacked No | 31c | 158.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +69%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0479…f2ddbacked No | 36c | 152.08$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x577c…7dd1backed No | 31c | 150$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff2b…0c88backed Yes | 53c | 149.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.49 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed No | 22c | 148.27$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.65 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 50c | 145.9$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.95 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdee…b0d0backed Yes | 69c | 145.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 'Espresso' win Record of the Year?this page
- Will '360' win Record of the Year?No won
- Will 'BIRDS OF A FEATHER' win Record of the Year?No won
- Will 'Fortnight' win Record of the Year?No won
- Will 'Good Luck, Babe!' win Record of the Year?No won
- Will 'Not Like Us' win Record of the Year?Yes won
- Will 'Now and Then' win Record of the Year?No won
- Will 'TEXAS HOLD 'EM' win Record of the Year?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.