Token Launches · resolved market
Will Enron launch a token in 2024?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84aa946e668d6c49270b39028656ba746b36b557f7cd245e9d6223e51457d9d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,560
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,328
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,560 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 2c | 18,074$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.44 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x513c…9e47backed Yes | 16c | 3,904$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9082…e0a7backed Yes | 24c | 3,066$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed Yes | 3c | 2,540$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.38 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba3…83debacked No | 78c | 1,201$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…6a4cbacked Yes | 9c | 853.64$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…3e88backed No | 74c | 652.67$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.63 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96da…ff74backed Yes | 24c | 608.99$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Yes | 18c | 490$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.14 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5db…3156backed Yes | 28c | 468.75$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd10c…aae1backed Yes | 29c | 465.49$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b3…1ddfbacked No | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 4c | 371.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 10c | 337.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 169 | 27.8%47 W · 122 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7e…ef83backed Yes | 5c | 330.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 11c | 319.56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c47…174bbacked Yes | 15c | 230$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9a…745ebacked No | 70c | 212.91$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +436.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b07…5de1backed Yes | 26c | 192.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x282d…25d8backed Yes | 27c | 184.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 23c | 183.09$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.48 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | -14.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…8496backed Yes | 17c | 170$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8109…aedabacked No | 77c | 166.24$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf259…7592backed Yes | 7c | 151.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bb…dbc9backed Yes | 25c | 128.56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9e…82fabacked No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f23…6b0ebacked No | 79c | 126.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2aa…21fbbacked No | 78c | 120$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8c…028abacked Yes | 23c | 110$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d2…d6d2backed No | 71c | 107.24$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e00…25acbacked No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd69…a2e1backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bff…e03abacked No | 74c | 99.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x679e…66d1backed No | 76c | 86.4$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed5…a174backed Yes | 25c | 80.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…b8ecbacked No | 80c | 80$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73bf…d16bbacked No | 69c | 72.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x100a…f006backed Yes | 22c | 69.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0286…f194backed No | 73c | 69.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…770dbacked No | 78c | 61.72$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 28cpaid | +281.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf16a…3c93backed No | 76c | 58.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf162…ba35backed No | 79c | 44.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 77c | 40.77$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58fa…5a5abacked No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked No | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47a5…aa28backed No | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87fb…9ad0backed No | 75c | 37.49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf53c…310cbacked No | 59c | 33.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee8b…6436backed No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 14 | 92.9%13 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 70cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed99…75d8backed No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47b5…f158backed No | 78c | 15.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8267…918dbacked No | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7033…3f7dbacked No | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd1…070dbacked No | 77c | 14.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7f…a5febacked No | 78c | 14.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.