Will Peter Dutton be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50c4f5ba1ac8019947315a3cd7c667138381fea52fae9697b31a74e163ca6fc6

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 4, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $3,353,767
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,836,142

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,353,767 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 599 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in World Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x21f9…ed12backed Yes	0c	241,000$377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$376.64	110	13.6%15 W · 95 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Yes	14c	109,308$15,256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,256.32	38	34.2%13 W · 25 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a2c…b3fbbacked No	40c	109,127$43,651 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65,476.2	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.60per pick	40cpaid	+150%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x90fe…5f26backed Yes	60c	109,127$65,476 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65,476.2	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.60per pick	60cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b93…ee1cbacked Yes	60c	102,983$61,790 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61,789.8	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9966…c10bbacked No	40c	102,983$41,193 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61,789.8	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.60per pick	40cpaid	+150%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x30c3…5d8ebacked Yes	0c	97,480$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312.46	45	13.3%6 W · 39 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	-65.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcee5…73c6backed Yes	64c	95,000$60,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60,800	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.18per pick	35cpaid	-76.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1056…2afabacked No	36c	95,000$34,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60,800	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.4wins	+0.45per pick	22cpaid	+111.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8644…3904backed Yes	5c	75,093$3,384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,383.52	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-82.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30c9…8770backed No	56c	61,422$34,396 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27,025.68	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f07…9d45backed Yes	44c	61,422$27,026 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27,025.68	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4edd…f6dcbacked Yes	72c	58,746$42,407 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42,406.63	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.22per pick	72cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7678…e5f0backed Yes	6c	49,850$2,887 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,887.24	46	23.9%11 W · 35 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1e3…4aaebacked Yes	4c	43,697$1,540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,540.03	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	-70.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbbc…ea5abacked Yes	42c	35,582$15,097 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,097.17	34	55.9%19 W · 15 L	-3.6wins	-0.10per pick	66cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9335…cc82backed Yes	5c	35,112$1,738 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,738.24	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6c92…1322backed Yes	7c	31,435$2,297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,296.77	31	32.3%10 W · 21 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9359…4907backed Yes	25c	28,840$7,180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,179.61	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.22per pick	51cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes	3c	28,208$970 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$969.7	688	3.6%25 W · 663 L	-9.5wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf911…6804backed Yes	62c	28,040$17,467 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,467.31	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.3wins	-0.64per pick	64cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xce1a…d34dbacked Yes	5c	25,222$1,206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,206.23	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x423d…e4b9backed Yes	2c	22,900$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4bbe…2cf3backed No	75c	21,603$16,180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,422.69	56	64.3%36 W · 20 L	+3.4wins	+0.06per pick	58cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	1c	21,507$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.25	64	10.9%7 W · 57 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	16cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x73cb…b0d0backed No	34c	20,832$7,052 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,779.43	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+2.5wins	+0.27per pick	28cpaid	+58.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd17e…0868backed Yes	6c	20,144$1,152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,152.12	25	32%8 W · 17 L	-1.8wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-50%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc408…4675backed Yes	9c	20,000$1,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,700	26	50%13 W · 13 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes	6c	19,796$1,090 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,089.8	152	30.3%46 W · 106 L	-18.7wins	-0.12per pick	43cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf477…9925backed Yes	5c	19,382$997 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$997.33	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x949b…a54ebacked Yes	5c	17,971$908 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$907.69	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf214…c2edbacked Yes	6c	16,962$1,086 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,085.51	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes	29c	16,656$4,799 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,798.83	576	36.3%209 W · 367 L	-27.2wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes	6c	16,453$1,030 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,030.43	165	35.8%59 W · 106 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes	0c	16,285$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.28	452	1.1%5 W · 447 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	0cpaid	+156.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7e…42e9backed Yes	2c	16,096$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.17per pick	33cpaid	+100.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes	0c	16,000$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	412	1%4 W · 408 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	0cpaid	+171.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9c8…ad53backed Yes	7c	14,988$1,006 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,006	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x85b8…6b6abacked No	48c	14,539$6,985 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,553.85	55	36.4%20 W · 35 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5464…be5ebacked Yes	10c	14,095$1,457 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,456.8	26	19.2%5 W · 21 L	-3.2wins	-0.12per pick	32cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2373…5b7fbacked Yes	0c	13,833$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes	9c	13,452$1,277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,276.71	65	23.1%15 W · 50 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-43.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0cd…0ebcbacked Yes	14c	13,367$1,905 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,905.12	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79ad…a9f1backed Yes	6c	12,986$842 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$842.12	83	28.9%24 W · 59 L	-4.6wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c36…74dfbacked Yes	10c	12,239$1,263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,262.55	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-60.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e5f…9393backed Yes	19c	12,190$2,290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,290.47	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58a8…52febacked Yes	11c	11,851$1,292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,291.66	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.9wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-30%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6c0…722ebacked Yes	5c	11,820$591 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$590.7	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b30…d7b1backed Yes	13c	11,768$1,584 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,583.94	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7be8…bb30backed Yes	3c	11,607$377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$376.56	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.12per pick	22cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53a7…49b7backed Yes	7c	11,367$753 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$752.85	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf27a…1d05backed Yes	7c	11,360$822 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$822.02	105	20%21 W · 84 L	-4.2wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fd3…e662backed Yes	8c	11,000$854 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$854	54	25.9%14 W · 40 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x19f1…599ebacked Yes	19c	10,424$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00a6…9343backed Yes	11c	10,000$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	62	25.8%16 W · 46 L	-5.0wins	-0.08per pick	34cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes	5c	9,897$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	21	9.5%2 W · 19 L	-1.8wins	-0.08per pick	18cpaid	-71.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f2b…88cbbacked Yes	16c	9,450$1,512 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,512	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80e0…7ffabacked Yes	19c	9,445$1,809 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,808.9	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-2.0wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e0f…fdf7backed Yes	14c	9,302$1,270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,270.27	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.20per pick	45cpaid	-67.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1be…fd91backed Yes	13c	9,133$1,195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,195.37	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc022…e1ecbacked Yes	7c	9,128$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd685…977cbacked Yes	20c	9,048$1,809 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,808.84	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13d2…6234backed Yes	6c	8,763$538 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$538.12	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed Yes	31c	8,449$2,640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,639.56	278	28.1%78 W · 200 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2227…b572backed Yes	7c	8,169$534 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$533.6	167	44.3%74 W · 93 L	+6.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c74…cc9fbacked Yes	64c	7,974$5,103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,103.38	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e55…e3b9backed No	36c	7,974$2,871 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,103.38	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.5wins	+0.73per pick	27cpaid	+316.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes	6c	7,574$482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$481.9	513	2.9%15 W · 498 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+88.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x008a…21a8backed Yes	11c	7,500$825 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$825	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-3.6wins	-0.18per pick	43cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfd55…203dbacked Yes	4c	7,486$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfce…a9aebacked Yes	56c	7,250$4,092 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,092.42	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.3wins	-0.63per pick	63cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8001…5710backed Yes	1c	7,085$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.32	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Yes	4c	7,000$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+2.8wins	+0.12per pick	47cpaid	+75%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc30a…1a0dbacked Yes	5c	7,000$343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$343	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	+1.6wins	+0.07per pick	37cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff3f…3388backed Yes	3c	6,825$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.89	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86a7…c4debacked Yes	13c	6,812$889 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$889.15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42f0…9a0cbacked No	41c	6,410$2,638 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,772.25	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.8wins	+0.62per pick	38cpaid	+162.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc96c…6a98backed Yes	25c	5,796$1,449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,448.98	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0343…2ea9backed Yes	3c	5,590$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Yes	3c	5,435$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.82	44	13.6%6 W · 38 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1a2…a01abacked Yes	3c	5,274$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8564…6eacbacked Yes	20c	5,060$1,012 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,012	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f65…1592backed Yes	4c	5,000$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	39	30.8%12 W · 27 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	+69%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x96be…2ecfbacked Yes	14c	4,974$685 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$684.91	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6718…80d1backed Yes	3c	4,840$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.5	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.4wins	-0.12per pick	31cpaid	-66%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x78cd…1285backed Yes	1c	4,623$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3bc…5c7bbacked Yes	11c	4,545$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf19…f24ebacked Yes	1c	4,468$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.08	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x562b…dc09backed Yes	10c	4,130$393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$393.4	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d5…b08bbacked Yes	5c	4,081$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb9cc…387abacked Yes	4c	4,000$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176	85	29.4%25 W · 60 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f11…f4c7backed Yes	3c	3,993$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.48	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb592…1cabbacked Yes	5c	3,717$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.09	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	20cpaid	-67.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x975f…b28fbacked Yes	4c	3,659$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc356…1c77backed Yes	6c	3,640$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.7	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0e1…0967backed Yes	67c	3,515$2,352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,351.88	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.4wins	-0.68per pick	68cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes	16c	3,427$546 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$545.54	361	4.4%16 W · 345 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa380…522fbacked Yes	5c	3,384$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.1	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x767a…93bdbacked Yes	1c	3,333$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.33	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd841…7a76backed Yes	5c	3,322$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.81	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Peter Dutton be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?this page
Will Anthony Albanese be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?Yes won
Will Jim Chalmers be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?No won
Will Tanya Plibersek be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Peter Dutton be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event