World Politics · resolved market
Will Anthony Albanese be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce5722bcbbd319dc03d4feb1e7ba563d1aaa2c9d7c286c44bdc93a96670e07ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,204,557
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,330,456
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,204,557 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 341 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed No | 0c | 302,469$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.81 | 110 | 13.6%15 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8644…3904backed No | 7c | 126,037$8,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,276.88 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaed5…c699backed No | 0c | 102,159$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.03 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc70d…0880backed No | 46c | 100,200$46,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,092 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913f…302dbacked Yes | 54c | 100,200$54,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,092 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11c7…d675backed No | 64c | 87,113$55,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,752.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb403…06f0backed Yes | 36c | 87,113$31,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,752.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e3…4aaebacked No | 2c | 76,230$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.43 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…e5f0backed No | 5c | 71,479$3,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,894.82 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b11…15d6backed No | 5c | 53,100$2,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,627.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…9402backed No | 66c | 50,000$33,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,000 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…1f49backed Yes | 34c | 50,000$17,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…5d8ebacked No | 0c | 47,366$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.07 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes | 48c | 46,712$22,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,165.44 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c92…1322backed No | 6c | 44,112$2,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,805.62 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed No | 6c | 43,938$2,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,421.94 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 4c | 37,114$1,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,446.04 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f866backed No | 4c | 32,523$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.33 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 63c | 29,454$18,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,989.83 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffcd…08e3backed No | 2c | 27,845$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 6c | 26,095$1,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,576.16 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d60…03d8backed No | 5c | 26,000$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.69 | 101 | 22.8%23 W · 78 L | -9.5wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 5c | 25,612$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.32 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 6c | 23,000$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.99 | 152 | 30.3%46 W · 106 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd17e…0868backed No | 5c | 22,268$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.95 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…59e7backed No | 5c | 21,899$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf59d…382ebacked No | 7c | 20,724$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked No | 1c | 20,280$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.31 | 64 | 10.9%7 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…d744backed No | 6c | 20,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa20b…d3cabacked No | 4c | 19,424$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 3c | 18,514$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.56 | 72 | 25%18 W · 54 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed Yes | 33c | 17,657$5,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,830.32 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.27per pick | 28cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80e0…7ffabacked No | 6c | 16,234$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.62 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42f0…9a0cbacked Yes | 40c | 16,026$6,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,594.84 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +162.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed No | 0c | 16,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 412 | 1%4 W · 408 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +171.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked No | 0c | 15,330$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 452 | 1.1%5 W · 447 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f29…dd03backed Yes | 67c | 15,013$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,013.01 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 7c | 14,691$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.59 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 29c | 13,066$3,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,752.69 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0490…c81fbacked No | 5c | 12,542$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.56 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58a8…52febacked No | 11c | 12,460$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.8 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 3c | 11,039$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.26 | 232 | 25%58 W · 174 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2b…88cbbacked No | 5c | 10,632$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…abd1backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed No | 8c | 9,939$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.66 | 105 | 20%21 W · 84 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 8c | 9,283$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.08 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2259…5091backed No | 3c | 9,266$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…58c7backed No | 6c | 8,473$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.15 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 8c | 7,827$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.31 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c76…50fdbacked Yes | 52c | 7,637$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,636.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed No | 5c | 7,500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked No | 5c | 7,078$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.07 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffec…7a8bbacked Yes | 70c | 6,999$4,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.7 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed No | 3c | 6,956$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.79 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 70c | 6,539$4,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,983.92 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 8c | 6,385$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.09 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8452…9056backed Yes | 71c | 6,279$4,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,812.4 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46c…f641backed No | 5c | 6,264$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.71 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc96c…6a98backed Yes | 67c | 5,796$3,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,894.31 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2977…fbbcbacked No | 59c | 5,735$3,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,401.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2012…a7bdbacked No | 18c | 5,556$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d5…b08bbacked No | 6c | 5,141$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 4c | 5,000$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 150 | 26%39 W · 111 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…1592backed No | 4c | 5,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +69%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bb…0ac5backed No | 6c | 4,563$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 29cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…387abacked No | 4c | 4,236$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.94 | 85 | 29.4%25 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed No | 23c | 4,081$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.79 | 361 | 4.4%16 W · 345 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba1…4bcabacked No | 5c | 4,002$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c01…d612backed Yes | 78c | 3,886$3,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.46 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Yes | 79c | 3,799$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.73 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 61cpaid | -51%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa380…522fbacked No | 1c | 3,679$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45ec…fdcbbacked No | 3c | 3,550$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…23dfbacked No | 6c | 3,364$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.72 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed No | 4c | 3,304$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.43 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 10c | 3,219$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.42 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea27…8a0bbacked No | 8c | 3,044$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…0beabacked No | 5c | 3,027$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa6…65febacked No | 5c | 3,013$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked No | 32c | 3,000$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 302 | 33.8%102 W · 200 L | +19.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed No | 9c | 2,724$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.84 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93fc…ac87backed No | 5c | 2,720$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c91…9dc1backed No | 5c | 2,669$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 6c | 2,495$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.69 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ea…6501backed Yes | 53c | 2,369$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd0…8bc2backed No | 5c | 2,306$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.92 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed No | 5c | 2,291$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.68 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c43…2fd0backed No | 1c | 2,273$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe010…bc17backed No | 5c | 2,113$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…c971backed No | 5c | 2,040$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 4c | 2,000$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.99 | 120 | 40%48 W · 72 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…bea5backed No | 6c | 1,839$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0ef5backed Yes | 37c | 1,778$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.71 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 54c | 1,667$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.12 | 278 | 28.1%78 W · 200 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x457a…44debacked No | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x416e…64a8backed Yes | 79c | 1,606$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed No | 23c | 1,582$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.97 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +192.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4558…a2b3backed Yes | 71c | 1,549$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.78 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 27c | 1,520$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.05 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | +29.2wins | +0.25per pick | 26cpaid | +132.4%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xbe61…e6f2backed No | 7c | 1,454$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Anthony Albanese be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?this page
- Will Jim Chalmers be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?No won
- Will Peter Dutton be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?No won
- Will Tanya Plibersek be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.