NHL · resolved market
Kraken vs. Capitals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ab9fcc6e1915b86b3b3c4e79a8776919b7cf61ff06b8f16e6a1bdd10b6d8cf0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Capitalsof Kraken, Capitals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $122,300
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $132,750
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,300 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4c9d…68dcbacked Capitals | 50c | 70,128$35,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,064.08 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…b2d1backed Kraken | 50c | 36,969$18,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,481.98 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Kraken | 48c | 22,600$10,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,796.51 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Kraken | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa10d…acc6backed Capitals | 51c | 3,889$1,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,915.82 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…3bd3backed Capitals | 70c | 3,411$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.5 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 65cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Kraken | 49c | 2,999$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.66 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2170…8e8abacked Capitals | 65c | 2,308$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.69 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…3399backed Capitals | 69c | 2,050$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Capitals | 53c | 1,888$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.24 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Kraken | 30c | 1,884$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.97 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Capitals | 56c | 1,587$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.28 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Kraken | 31c | 1,429$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.02 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Kraken | 44c | 1,377$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.29 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bf…c049backed Kraken | 45c | 1,108$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…d0dabacked Capitals | 69c | 1,100$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f52…6ff2backed Kraken | 31c | 1,066$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.39 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Capitals | 70c | 1,065$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.39 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kraken | 29c | 1,043$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.65 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83da…41f7backed Kraken | 32c | 1,041$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Capitals | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.34 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Kraken | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Kraken | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Kraken | 30c | 907.62$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.29 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cd…c8c7backed Capitals | 70c | 761.7$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4665…ccf7backed Kraken | 56c | 747.67$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Capitals | 66c | 545.45$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.45 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Kraken | 29c | 509.32$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.7 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x471f…f60abacked Capitals | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 71cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Capitals | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Capitals | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Kraken | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Capitals | 40c | 468.67$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.2 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | +29.4wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +202.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed Capitals | 71c | 460.78$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.31 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Kraken | 3c | 446$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 189 | 5.3%10 W · 179 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Kraken | 32c | 437.5$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Kraken | 30c | 375.21$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.56 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab5…63a1backed Capitals | 72c | 366.63$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.12 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Kraken | 48c | 356$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.22 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Capitals | 69c | 349.96$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.49 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.26per pick | 61cpaid | -45%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Capitals | 71c | 345$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.05 | 244 | 57.4%140 W · 104 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbe…d6d5backed Kraken | 32c | 341.88$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Capitals | 69c | 328.75$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.67 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Kraken | 31c | 305$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.49 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Capitals | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8e…5f70backed Capitals | 52c | 282.9$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.49 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Capitals | 61c | 231.63$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.12 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1417…26dabacked Kraken | 21c | 218.81$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.46 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Capitals | 60c | 214.06$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.56 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Kraken | 31c | 212.5$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.88 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5161…771ebacked Kraken | 31c | 204.94$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.53 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b0…9da7backed Kraken | 22c | 203.32$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.73 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +8.5wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9e82…6060backed Capitals | 69c | 202.7$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.84 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6294…2958backed Kraken | 33c | 189.91$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.67 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9a…8f02backed Capitals | 70c | 177.69$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.31 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +29%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Capitals | 62c | 160.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.29 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Kraken | 30c | 158.03$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.41 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ef…c25dbacked Capitals | 71c | 155.01$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.01 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd30b…cf54backed Kraken | 31c | 151.61$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…c95cbacked Capitals | 71c | 151.54$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.95 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…0775backed Capitals | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 208 | 61.5%128 W · 80 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeba7…f213backed Capitals | 69c | 148.91$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.16 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Capitals | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Capitals | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Capitals | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Capitals | 69c | 135.55$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.02 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6a…672bbacked Kraken | 31c | 135.55$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.02 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x702b…78d7backed Capitals | 70c | 135$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe61e…06d1backed Kraken | 30c | 135$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Kraken | 28c | 127.2$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.21 | 145 | 8.3%12 W · 133 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Kraken | 40c | 122.64$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.78 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd53b…fc94backed Kraken | 35c | 111.39$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Capitals | 71c | 105.63$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Capitals | 56c | 103.82$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.73 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Capitals | 68c | 101.97$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…59d1backed Kraken | 53c | 100.55$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.29 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ded…466fbacked Capitals | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Kraken | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0623…35dbbacked Capitals | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.47 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Kraken | 30c | 99.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d9…36e6backed Capitals | 68c | 99.98$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.99 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Capitals | 69c | 99.98$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.99 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Capitals | 70c | 99.97$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Capitals | 58c | 95.72$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Kraken | 30c | 89.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Capitals | 70c | 85.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 96 | 65.6%63 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Capitals | 68c | 85$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 234 | 62%145 W · 89 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Kraken | 29c | 82.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x219f…1113backed Kraken | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35a0…97d9backed Capitals | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd26…6310backed Capitals | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Capitals | 61c | 59.44$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 173 | 63%109 W · 64 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d66…3c95backed Capitals | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fec…70f9backed Kraken | 40c | 50.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e1…921ebacked Capitals | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Capitals | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Capitals | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc4…8c38backed Capitals | 70c | 48.57$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 95 | 67.4%64 W · 31 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae2f…6e5cbacked Kraken | 32c | 44.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…a752backed Capitals | 71c | 43.66$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.