TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Blackhawks vs. Ducks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Blackhawksof Blackhawks, Ducks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$27,700
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$29,405

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,700 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x40e3…0787backed Blackhawks63c4,654$2,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,74132331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Blackhawks40c4,503$1,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,709.6692848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Ducks37c2,705$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.810343.7%45 W · 58 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0d9…da5ebacked Ducks61c2,604$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,600742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Ducks61c1,833$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,11023761.6%146 W · 91 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Blackhawks43c1,635$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.9586649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Blackhawks39c1,531$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934.1529847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Blackhawks42c1,507$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.261,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec16…07f9backed Ducks60c1,496$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9002751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb589…2a30backed Blackhawks66c1,153$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.11366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Ducks1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Ducks61c1,000$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf10a…b2d1backed Blackhawks68c960.64$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.216940.6%28 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Blackhawks40c721.84$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.11,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked Ducks57c660$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.215663.5%99 W · 57 L+17.0wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+22.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Blackhawks41c540.33$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.7979251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Ducks61c532.08$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.5728542.1%120 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Ducks39c511.54$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20219438.1%74 W · 120 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Ducks58c499.99$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29037254.3%202 W · 170 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Ducks57c388.97$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.7120147.8%96 W · 105 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Ducks9c377$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7714012.9%18 W · 122 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Ducks58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013457.5%77 W · 57 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fca…a099backed Ducks5c299.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15525.8%3 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick12cpaid-52.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Blackhawks42c299.09$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.358467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x686e…af8cbacked Ducks34c294.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001225%3 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Ducks19c294.62$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8291334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Ducks54c277$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.589750.5%49 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2105…64adbacked Ducks58c258.62$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Blackhawks42c245.8$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.5872444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Ducks57c216.81$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.5875155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Ducks58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Ducks59c170.43$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012859.4%76 W · 52 L+0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Ducks59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015456.5%87 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ce…670abacked Ducks59c163.73$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb30c…7ab2backed Ducks59c162.71$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6710…00c9backed Ducks62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003737.8%14 W · 23 L-7.8wins-0.21per pick59cpaid-41.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Ducks62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1620…d3c4backed Blackhawks42c134.93$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.26475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Ducks34c129.87$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4454418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908f…d651backed Blackhawks43c126.47$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.09785.7%6 W · 1 L+3.2wins+0.46per pick40cpaid+128.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0daf…a5adbacked Blackhawks42c119.93$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8b…3642backed Ducks62c108.05$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd176…3db6backed Ducks59c101.69$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked Blackhawks40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6027643.5%120 W · 156 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7b2…7c50backed Ducks34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342665.4%17 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x732b…85f4backed Blackhawks43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576050%30 W · 30 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d79…a03bbacked Ducks59c96.83$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0731…7bc1backed Ducks58c93.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.51771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+45.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ebb…267fbacked Ducks58c92.72$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.78450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…fd3ebacked Blackhawks43c92.42$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.68540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-24.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70e1…d656backed Ducks58c90.66$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.58475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+35.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3ac…7c26backed Ducks58c90.33$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.39520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-66.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3585…1595backed Blackhawks41c90.22$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.088440.5%34 W · 50 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe508…1bd4backed Ducks58c90.17$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05fe…022ebacked Ducks59c89.59$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.86580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+46.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Ducks58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0dc…d102backed Blackhawks43c85.68$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.762100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+151.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0b7…d111backed Ducks58c85.22$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.43450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa557…7c40backed Ducks58c83.5$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.43666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf08c…05f5backed Blackhawks44c82.52$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.21475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+67.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x73ec…b4cfbacked Blackhawks44c80.93$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.32475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+57%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb162…28cfbacked Blackhawks44c80.64$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.26728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-39.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3442…2782backed Blackhawks43c80.21$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.72450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec8f…12f5backed Ducks57c79.98$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.89862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fd8…cde6backed Ducks58c78.71$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.65666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb870…9cb3backed Blackhawks43c78.47$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.73540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1044…0cbbbacked Blackhawks68c70.76$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.643675%27 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc94…fb8abacked Blackhawks42c67.33$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.051080%8 W · 2 L+3.3wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+72.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6287…32b3backed Ducks58c65.66$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.08633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x95ac…6072backed Blackhawks42c65.66$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.081258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91a5…eb39backed Blackhawks42c63.33$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.731070%7 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+42.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xac45…e1cfbacked Ducks58c63.33$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.731070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+37.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Blackhawks42c61.44$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3884051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x455f…3b7abacked Ducks58c61.33$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.571136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc27…f2d5backed Blackhawks42c61.33$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.57944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa019…30aebacked Blackhawks42c60.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.991241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xafc6…6ebebacked Blackhawks42c59.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.41955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c07…8e6ebacked Ducks58c59.33$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.41650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd0…e726backed Ducks58c59$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.22850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+24%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93cc…b929backed Ducks58c58.66$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.02757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8077…494ebacked Blackhawks42c58.66$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.021145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Blackhawks41c57.69$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0449351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f6d…3e7cbacked Blackhawks42c55$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-36.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c6a…0283backed Ducks58c55$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6743…8811backed Ducks58c53.33$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.93825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-49.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8bd4…8643backed Ducks60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3018259.9%109 W · 73 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfaf1…e8c8backed Blackhawks42c49.5$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.71633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-33.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1268…94e0backed Blackhawks46c43.39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.395440.7%22 W · 32 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Ducks58c43.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2576450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Ducks58c42.97$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2541954.4%228 W · 191 L-1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2366…1078backed Ducks59c42.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2545954.2%249 W · 210 L-1.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Ducks58c38.87$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4451044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10c0…c249backed Ducks58c35.97$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.86650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f57…2259backed Blackhawks42c35.71$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.711258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf93e…af9cbacked Blackhawks66c35$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.94067.5%27 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Ducks58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2033145%149 W · 182 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x023e…d4d2backed Ducks59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202560%15 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc261…a986backed Blackhawks42c33.66$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.52944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fb3…afafbacked Blackhawks42c32.5$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.851050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2eca…4b94backed Ducks58c32.5$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.851136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.