TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Kings vs. Blackhawks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Blackhawksof Kings, Blackhawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$203,436
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$211,130

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $203,436 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3eb4…5821backed Kings70c146,000$102,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102,20030%0 W · 3 L-2.1wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5f7c…b92fbacked Blackhawks30c146,000$43,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102,199.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Blackhawks30c4,379$1,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,065.3110745.8%49 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Kings14c4,109$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.2544848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Kings3c3,760$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.9232331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20f0…c6b9backed Kings70c2,429$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7a4…a943backed Blackhawks31c2,348$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,620.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Kings47c2,134$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.433,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Kings26c2,101$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55621620.4%44 W · 172 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdc4…6651backed Kings47c2,043$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9601136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Blackhawks31c1,930$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,331.764242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Kings69c1,392$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.261,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd121…3e5fbacked Kings70c1,350$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb69f…ffffbacked Blackhawks30c1,350$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Blackhawks58c1,027$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.41,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c40…583bbacked Kings70c1,003$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.11338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a9e…f27abacked Blackhawks30c1,001$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.72669.2%18 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+27.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Kings69c1,000$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69049351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Kings15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Kings39c928.75$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.584051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b41…e0d3backed Kings71c926$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.1324457.4%140 W · 104 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2105…64adbacked Kings28c828.52$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2334252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68d2…92c8backed Blackhawks58c816.32$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.692045%9 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd0…53b4backed Kings69c767.36$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.4830%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Kings6c731.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4414844.6%66 W · 82 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4407…8f2bbacked Kings51c723.53$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3692948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6586…c69cbacked Blackhawks31c709.19$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.34425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Blackhawks30c704.99$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.3272444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Blackhawks29c601.52$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.0829847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ae3…0cb9backed Kings71c563.38$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40020%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Kings69c500.03$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.997651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Blackhawks31c462.44$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.4627958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd596…17b9backed Kings7c396.67$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa18…5422backed Kings71c372.62$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.36250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fca…a099backed Kings5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15525.8%3 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick12cpaid-52.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x614b…5845backed Kings69c289.86$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005957.6%34 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe07c…551dbacked Kings70c285.71$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002045%9 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Kings50c273.18$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.3237254.3%202 W · 170 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xab3c…5093backed Blackhawks33c196.03$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.428627.9%24 W · 62 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-22.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f7f…6c30backed Blackhawks31c165.9$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.47650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b9c…4fccbacked Blackhawks31c151.16$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.3650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8342…13c9backed Kings70c150$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.713461.8%21 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc576…027dbacked Kings31c150$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+29.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3585…1595backed Blackhawks31c150$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.58440.5%34 W · 50 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e34…8b77backed Blackhawks31c149$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.812100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+135.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Kings70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf061…2572backed Kings70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003842.1%16 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-28.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0a6…2ab9backed Kings71c140.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009755.7%54 W · 43 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0623…35dbbacked Kings71c140.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003080%24 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a46…0667backed Blackhawks31c135.48$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.481040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Kings54c128.8$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.5528542.1%120 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Kings50c101.5$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7520540.5%83 W · 122 L+0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31db…79a4backed Kings68c100$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686437.5%24 W · 40 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-25%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2db4…f62abacked Kings71c100$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0b69…e32abacked Blackhawks54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467651.3%39 W · 37 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3d8c…726cbacked Blackhawks31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698145.7%37 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4093…a5dbbacked Blackhawks30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-48.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc8bf…c049backed Blackhawks56c99$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.024643.5%20 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde25…a0bfbacked Kings70c88.57$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Blackhawks31c78.16$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.931,07954.3%586 W · 493 L+4.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d34…1a59backed Kings71c77.08$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6830%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3d29…fae3backed Blackhawks31c76.39$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.71475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+64.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a7a…b08dbacked Kings71c76$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.58666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf11…b073backed Kings70c75.86$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3941…12c3backed Kings70c75.63$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.94560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee9d…63e1backed Kings70c75.56$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.899554.7%52 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde36…c050backed Kings70c74.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.49425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8028…52e7backed Kings70c74.96$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.47955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12c5…715bbacked Kings70c74.87$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.41475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+31.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf56…b1fdbacked Blackhawks31c73.23$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.53837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Blackhawks29c73.18$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.9622842.5%97 W · 131 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Kings71c73.18$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9638040.5%154 W · 226 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Kings70c71.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9cb…2337backed Kings70c71.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.81450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e90…4c0bbacked Blackhawks31c68.29$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.12650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+27.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eeb…a7e9backed Kings70c64.89$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4230%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ba4…34e0backed Blackhawks31c64.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.52650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Blackhawks30c60$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4251044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67b8…2449backed Kings70c57.14$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010255.9%57 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f51…91aabacked Blackhawks31c50.16$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.611154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc45…7058backed Kings70c50$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x43f3…9950backed Blackhawks32c44.47$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+58.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1900…eb58backed Blackhawks34c43$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd176…3db6backed Kings47c42.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb90e…5794backed Kings70c42.9$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.03933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick65cpaid-54.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfdab…992fbacked Blackhawks31c40.97$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Blackhawks30c40$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.228440.1%114 W · 170 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x250a…5c65backed Kings70c38.57$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.28per pick55cpaid-47.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4e61…39a4backed Kings70c37.14$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+23.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Kings69c36.23$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2541954.4%228 W · 191 L-1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e7e…54ddbacked Kings70c35.71$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0015…1daebacked Blackhawks57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.096100%6 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+57.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x058a…6575backed Blackhawks31c34.97$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.13757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+24.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d2e…ae83backed Blackhawks32c34.38$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.38250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+56.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ba3…4202backed Blackhawks31c33.68$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+59.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1044…0cbbbacked Blackhawks60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.333675%27 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x641b…6116backed Kings51c32.73$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.694555.6%25 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76f7…fc8cbacked Blackhawks32c32.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-34.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x250c…e58bbacked Kings71c30.9$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Kings69c28.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2097955.5%543 W · 436 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.