TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Devils vs. Golden Knights

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Golden Knightsof Devils, Golden Knights
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$58,946
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,978

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,946 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe32e…890bbacked Devils40c14,963$5,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,985.7736242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf42…c3b4backed Golden Knights61c4,086$2,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,595.681258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Golden Knights60c3,839$2,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,535.5192848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Golden Knights60c3,651$2,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,460.3622842.5%97 W · 131 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Golden Knights62c2,745$1,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.575164.7%33 W · 18 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Devils2c2,370$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.521620.4%44 W · 172 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Devils39c2,234$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.2629847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4940…0de1backed Devils40c1,910$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7641553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Golden Knights61c1,643$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.8915261.8%94 W · 58 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d74…b1ffbacked Golden Knights59c1,625$959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96d6…f927backed Devils41c1,625$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.16540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Devils39c1,515$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.971,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7678…102ebacked Golden Knights60c1,500$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6002360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+29%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3890…39e3backed Devils40c1,499$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.61442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Devils41c1,449$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.171,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xebc5…016cbacked Golden Knights61c1,380$838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.63366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae2…5bd4backed Devils40c1,373$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.230%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Golden Knights60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4009459.6%56 W · 38 L+11.1wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+20.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc639…997fbacked Golden Knights60c955$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3821540%6 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb57d…ca8dbacked Golden Knights60c955$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3821656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf10a…b2d1backed Devils42c863.52$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.986940.6%28 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40b3…6159backed Golden Knights60c829$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.68870.5%62 W · 26 L+9.2wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+16.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3dbb…470ebacked Devils41c800.77$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.32757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xccec…130dbacked Golden Knights59c800.77$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.32666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2f2…a388backed Golden Knights60c800$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3201100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8421…7f70backed Devils40c800$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Devils40c704.99$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.4672444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1990…e954backed Golden Knights58c689.66$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.662445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Golden Knights58c688.56$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.9741340%165 W · 248 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Devils38c680.86$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.9911051.8%57 W · 53 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d42…9b05backed Golden Knights59c542.37$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.371656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Golden Knights62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19086649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Golden Knights61c485.25$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.2528542.1%120 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x49f7…046bbacked Devils41c390.98$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.738932.6%29 W · 60 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Golden Knights61c378.57$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.5712955.8%72 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8bf…c049backed Golden Knights58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.834643.5%20 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2105…64adbacked Golden Knights61c342.62$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.624252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf93…bdc8backed Golden Knights77c338.15$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.1511365.5%74 W · 39 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Devils38c335.01$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.749351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fca…a099backed Devils5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15525.8%3 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick12cpaid-52.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Golden Knights61c299.98$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.9937254.3%202 W · 170 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Golden Knights60c277.21$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.8872847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6710…00c9backed Golden Knights62c241.94$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.943737.8%14 W · 23 L-7.8wins-0.21per pick59cpaid-41.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Golden Knights58c192.98$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.0566951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Golden Knights60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.671,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Golden Knights61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9397955.5%543 W · 436 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5085…ab8fbacked Golden Knights62c162$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+32.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Golden Knights62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2927958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe3c…ddd9backed Golden Knights63c153$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d8b…5a6dbacked Devils37c153$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x50ea…c102backed Golden Knights61c145.87$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf04f…a8c4backed Devils40c137$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.416437.2%61 W · 103 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68bd…f52fbacked Devils39c132.16$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.72944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x090d…9345backed Golden Knights60c116.82$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.321172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+47.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1850…addebacked Devils40c109.66$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.86944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Devils41c109.26$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.810745.8%49 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d7…3f31backed Devils41c100.65$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+33.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd176…3db6backed Golden Knights60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Golden Knights61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3914844.6%66 W · 82 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2804…5817backed Devils41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick58cpaid-64.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x94d4…7140backed Golden Knights61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-39.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked Golden Knights59c99.99$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4127643.5%120 W · 156 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Devils39c99.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2651044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd028…4b0fbacked Devils40c98.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.61020%2 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-59.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x075e…9c35backed Golden Knights61c97.66$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.531275%9 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+36.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1056…2afabacked Golden Knights60c97.13$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.85425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3df6…bb77backed Devils40c97.13$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.85757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3585…1595backed Devils40c94.98$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.588440.5%34 W · 50 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fbe…7ef3backed Golden Knights62c90.33$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.175100%5 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd22c…c656backed Devils45c89.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fe6…de82backed Golden Knights60c89.33$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.73757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf061…2572backed Golden Knights58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.213842.1%16 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-28.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf072…4b79backed Devils41c85.2$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.93757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe642…28b3backed Golden Knights62c85$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.66944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7326…b488backed Devils38c84.33$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.83955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Golden Knights60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.331,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Devils47c82.98$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3920540.5%83 W · 122 L+0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1829…6c96backed Devils41c81.71$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.21757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+44.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae36…0dc6backed Golden Knights62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.656246.8%29 W · 33 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf26…b387backed Devils40c80$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324141.5%17 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f7f…6c30backed Golden Knights61c79.98$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.19650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d2c…d474backed Devils40c78.87$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.65771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+34.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x51e9…a50ebacked Golden Knights61c78.31$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.26560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0e…682bbacked Golden Knights61c78.16$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.32862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1268…94e0backed Golden Knights61c76.54$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.855440.7%22 W · 32 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Golden Knights60c76$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.423462%145 W · 89 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Golden Knights55c74.56$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.5532331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b88…bbd7backed Golden Knights62c73.16$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7887…6cfdbacked Devils40c72.1$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.09633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-35.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf396…f850backed Golden Knights60c68.16$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.261346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Golden Knights60c66$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.448149.3%237 W · 244 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfba4…8964backed Devils40c62.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9da9…5257backed Golden Knights61c62.3$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.32458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab3c…5093backed Devils41c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.68627.9%24 W · 62 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-22.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaf8c…4bc2backed Golden Knights61c57.38$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.3825358.5%148 W · 105 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15d1…af74backed Devils40c56.66$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.66955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac45…e1cfbacked Golden Knights60c56.66$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.661070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+37.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Golden Knights62c56.45$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4543256.5%244 W · 188 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b60…74cfbacked Devils40c56$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.41361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5f5…d57cbacked Devils42c55.93$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.49425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.