NHL · resolved market
Maple Leafs vs. Penguins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f342635a01372b68b90f6e75dfc04fd2a2603b7ee5dcc2c92bff67dd968386a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maple Leafsof Maple Leafs, Penguins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $217,555
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $225,665
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $217,555 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 259 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5afa…dba8backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 102,000$65,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,720 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa5…16e3backed Penguins | 36c | 102,000$36,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,720 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8d…d880backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 20,396$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,395.65 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Penguins | 36c | 18,430$6,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,615.98 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Penguins | 38c | 14,357$5,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,527.09 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Maple Leafs | 71c | 12,389$8,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,551.7 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Penguins | 36c | 11,179$3,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,989.55 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Penguins | 35c | 10,215$3,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,537.28 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Penguins | 36c | 6,398$2,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,287.66 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0851…5a31backed Maple Leafs | 65c | 5,409$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,908.54 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 3,969$2,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.14 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Maple Leafs | 62c | 3,808$2,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.11 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Maple Leafs | 65c | 3,605$2,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.8 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -5.9wins | -0.25per pick | 66cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Maple Leafs | 65c | 2,857$1,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.95 | 244 | 57.4%140 W · 104 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Penguins | 48c | 2,555$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.01 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Penguins | 35c | 2,260$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.05 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc797…3a1cbacked Penguins | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…7dafbacked Maple Leafs | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Penguins | 35c | 1,910$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.79 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Penguins | 10c | 1,709$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.05 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…102ebacked Penguins | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3890…39e3backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Penguins | 37c | 1,495$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.2 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f80…cf55backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 1,368$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.06 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Penguins | 38c | 1,316$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.44 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…b82fbacked Maple Leafs | 64c | 1,250$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x037b…9f20backed Penguins | 43c | 1,134$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc16a…5579backed Maple Leafs | 65c | 1,079$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Penguins | 38c | 1,047$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.89 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Penguins | 35c | 1,000$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Penguins | 35c | 997.85$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.17 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Penguins | 38c | 939.08$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.85 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb8…1b30backed Penguins | 37c | 888.88$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…130dbacked Maple Leafs | 63c | 888.88$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.89 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6159backed Penguins | 51c | 765$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.4 | 88 | 70.5%62 W · 26 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Penguins | 37c | 704.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.28 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ee…3605backed Penguins | 37c | 703.77$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa7…ea20backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 703.77$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Maple Leafs | 63c | 699.97$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.99 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Maple Leafs | 66c | 688.73$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.47 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Penguins | 34c | 670.91$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.11 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Penguins | 18c | 609.93$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.83 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Penguins | 57c | 569.86$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.82 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5438…785cbacked Penguins | 37c | 551.32$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 550$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.5 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x679c…e26fbacked Maple Leafs | 62c | 431.28$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.68 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Maple Leafs | 62c | 411.97$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.55 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Maple Leafs | 63c | 400$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 392.25$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.25 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58a7…554fbacked Maple Leafs | 64c | 390.86$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.86 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Penguins | 37c | 350$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.5 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bf…c049backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe9…6a01backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5980…a3e6backed Penguins | 38c | 310.16$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.86 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Penguins | 35c | 306.95$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.92 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4345…77fabacked Maple Leafs | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed42…7718backed Penguins | 37c | 299.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa10d…acc6backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 299.98$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.49 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9511…6d8ebacked Maple Leafs | 63c | 299.21$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.71 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Penguins | 35c | 295.61$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.37 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe07c…551dbacked Maple Leafs | 64c | 294.52$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.03 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Penguins | 30c | 285.38$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.69 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8885…1674backed Penguins | 38c | 280.45$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Penguins | 35c | 275$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.58 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Penguins | 37c | 272.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fb…783fbacked Penguins | 38c | 271.16$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.04 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13cb…f258backed Penguins | 38c | 258.87$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Penguins | 34c | 257$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.38 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 252.82$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.92 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x518a…576bbacked Penguins | 38c | 225.89$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.84 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x824e…a9b6backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 213.5$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.86 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05a8…92aabacked Maple Leafs | 63c | 211.24$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.16 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9a…8f02backed Penguins | 38c | 209.08$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.45 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +29%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x143b…b2b4backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 206.22$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.24 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31fc…596cbacked Penguins | 37c | 206.01$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b8…e4acbacked Penguins | 37c | 193.32$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.53 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c91…c5f9backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 192.17$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…0dc6backed Penguins | 46c | 189.29$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3061…dd00backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 188.16$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.67 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6294…2958backed Penguins | 37c | 187.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.94 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6a…672bbacked Maple Leafs | 64c | 187.73$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.58 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3217…2dcebacked Maple Leafs | 64c | 185.28$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.7 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb2…3f22backed Penguins | 37c | 183$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aed…a933backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 183$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.71 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 47cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Maple Leafs | 68c | 182.65$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.83 | 212 | 55.7%118 W · 94 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e87…a5b0backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 180.98$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e82…6060backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 179.92$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.57 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd176…3db6backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 171.7$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.81 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5656…855fbacked Penguins | 38c | 170.96$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.75 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…d96fbacked Maple Leafs | 64c | 164.59$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.25 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Penguins | 37c | 161.98$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.15 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6710…00c9backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -7.8wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5085…ab8fbacked Maple Leafs | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0623…35dbbacked Maple Leafs | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Maple Leafs | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc93b…ae97backed Maple Leafs | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Maple Leafs | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3585…1595backed Penguins | 36c | 136.75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.16 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.