TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Jets vs. Flyers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jetsof Jets, Flyers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,742
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$68,517

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,742 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1d3a…7b63backed Flyers42c10,827$4,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,527.0786649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Jets59c8,673$5,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,587.771,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Flyers1c6,121$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.121,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b41…e0d3backed Jets74c4,999$3,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,302.9524457.4%140 W · 104 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Flyers41c3,002$1,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,240.7522842.5%97 W · 131 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Jets58c2,222$1,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$933.2431546.3%146 W · 169 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Flyers10c1,550$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.6332331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Flyers39c1,530$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.2892848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9244…b955backed Jets60c1,500$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6001283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb37c…164ebacked Flyers40c1,500$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Flyers40c1,432$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.351,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e28…9bc8backed Jets60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick60cpaid+48%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Jets56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44025340.7%103 W · 150 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Flyers41c999.99$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.5397651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc560…1fc1backed Flyers42c999.92$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.9740%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Jets56c959.06$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.9949351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Flyers13c844.38$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.771,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd4…ce48backed Jets58c782.76$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.765147.1%24 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Jets59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2054450%22 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe85d…15eabacked Flyers40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002927.6%8 W · 21 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-49.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3868…3efcbacked Jets59c490$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.9560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1434…7508backed Flyers41c490$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.9540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-35.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Jets58c482.76$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.7611051.8%57 W · 53 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x057f…684dbacked Flyers41c430$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.3540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-35.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a7a…0162backed Jets59c430$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.3560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Jets60c416.67$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.6712955.8%72 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Flyers40c410$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.0372444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Jets57c400$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17081846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xeaff…4c58backed Flyers41c400$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick38cpaid-67.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x699c…8ad7backed Jets59c400$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick62cpaid+30.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff22…500ebacked Jets59c366$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.06650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2306…d8ccbacked Flyers41c366$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.06650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-21.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd392…2ee4backed Flyers41c358$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.78560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc78e…f232backed Jets59c358$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.78540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe08e…9841backed Jets58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.831526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.21per pick47cpaid-51.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3ef9…6a99backed Flyers41c333$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.53560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8e…2608backed Jets59c333$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.53540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-27.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Jets61c326.9$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.4938040.5%154 W · 226 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Jets62c303.02$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.1558467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x6a5a…4902backed Flyers46c301$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3fca…a099backed Flyers5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15525.8%3 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick12cpaid-52.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7778…5ce7backed Jets54c283$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Flyers40c274.22$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.684051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x019a…8806backed Flyers46c274$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.0420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9781…6facbacked Jets54c208$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd561…9423backed Jets58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8416554.5%90 W · 75 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49d1…7b96backed Flyers42c173$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.664725.5%12 W · 35 L-10.5wins-0.22per pick48cpaid-54.8%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Jets59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.491,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dbc…8738backed Jets59c160$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.6933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c4…f6a4backed Flyers41c160$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.61353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Flyers41c133.49$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.454349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc103…81e8backed Jets58c120.69$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.691145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Flyers42c119$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9860549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Jets58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4250857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Jets58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4221255.7%118 W · 94 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Jets58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4228542.1%120 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb123…0a15backed Flyers43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436443.8%28 W · 36 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Jets59c99.98$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9935154.1%190 W · 161 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6710…00c9backed Jets58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.213737.8%14 W · 23 L-7.8wins-0.21per pick59cpaid-41.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Jets59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.751,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31db…79a4backed Jets58c84.48$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.486437.5%24 W · 40 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-25%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9a72…bddfbacked Jets54c84$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34aa…980abacked Jets60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.33862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dd3…f0efbacked Flyers42c73.1$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-70.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60ea…c5babacked Flyers41c60.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-56.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ddf…9710backed Jets58c58.28$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.481266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+24.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd722…b74cbacked Flyers43c58.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-46.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4abd…42a6backed Jets55c57$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c95…7668backed Flyers42c50.95$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+25.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6dd…f587backed Jets59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.85742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbde…2602backed Flyers42c50.81$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.24475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+25.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3de…12a5backed Jets59c50.81$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.81757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b3…5852backed Flyers44c50.45$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2ee…2f00backed Jets59c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.54365.1%28 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebbb…3a0dbacked Flyers42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211030%3 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-42.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfc45…7058backed Jets58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe572…6241backed Jets60c49.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+46.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c8a…ec4cbacked Flyers42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6445…c1cbbacked Flyers42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc965…e602backed Flyers46c47$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82c9…bfe0backed Jets54c47$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Jets58c46.55$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5562944%277 W · 352 L-14.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63f6…30f0backed Flyers43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Jets58c43.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.141954.4%228 W · 191 L-1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcabb…e3cfbacked Flyers45c41$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Flyers42c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.820942.6%89 W · 120 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4199…dd54backed Jets60c35.77$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.314100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4887…a67cbacked Jets60c35.58$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.23425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5f5…d57cbacked Jets60c35.25$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcfe…3bc1backed Jets58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.482133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xad93…c030backed Jets58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.487251.4%37 W · 35 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x267d…7b65backed Jets58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.482245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ae4…8f6cbacked Flyers45c32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Jets57c31.97$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7558346.5%271 W · 312 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82cd…949dbacked Flyers45c31$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3c4…4242backed Flyers45c28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf13d…bbcfbacked Flyers45c28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9544…f3fbbacked Jets58c25.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8615549.7%77 W · 78 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7bc4…8c38backed Jets58c25.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.869567.4%64 W · 31 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x559b…7f88backed Jets59c25.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.421258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick61cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.