NHL · resolved market
Stars vs. Red Wings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcebdaf199fdaf2cf2ee057ddb56f95dbba0cff5566d6f4f4f8bc5c092ea93241
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Wingsof Stars, Red Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $199,359
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $201,905
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $199,359 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 708 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a31…f46cbacked Red Wings | 49c | 37,000$18,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,870 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +127%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae63…918ebacked Stars | 51c | 37,000$18,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,870 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b99ebacked Red Wings | 49c | 29,630$14,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,111.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e26…32a8backed Stars | 51c | 29,080$14,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,830.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Red Wings | 48c | 13,001$6,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,760.29 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Stars | 52c | 11,365$5,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,899.78 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Red Wings | 69c | 9,914$6,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,075.1 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…6591backed Stars | 26c | 7,728$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,008.97 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Red Wings | 50c | 7,698$3,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,863.6 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…106abacked Stars | 53c | 4,020$2,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,130.6 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee5b…0e96backed Red Wings | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,119.99 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff7b…52a8backed Stars | 53c | 3,636$1,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,926.39 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fa…d91ebacked Red Wings | 47c | 3,624$1,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Red Wings | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.99 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Stars | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.95 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Stars | 54c | 2,778$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.38 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Red Wings | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.99 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d97…a90dbacked Stars | 53c | 2,356$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Red Wings | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Stars | 52c | 2,153$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.94 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Stars | 52c | 2,029$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.89 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Stars | 54c | 1,900$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Stars | 54c | 1,850$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.88 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Red Wings | 47c | 1,691$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.49 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Red Wings | 46c | 1,656$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.23 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Stars | 52c | 1,600$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Stars | 36c | 1,379$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 194 | 38.1%74 W · 120 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1a…d040backed Stars | 53c | 1,269$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…1935backed Red Wings | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.32 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Red Wings | 49c | 1,040$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.18 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Red Wings | 46c | 1,032$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.71 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Stars | 38c | 1,000$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Stars | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Stars | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce02…f887backed Stars | 53c | 921.51$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.4 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Stars | 33c | 859.33$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Stars | 52c | 822.84$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Stars | 4c | 771.61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Red Wings | 54c | 714.45$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.51 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb322…2179backed Red Wings | 47c | 644.43$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.43 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fd…e179backed Stars | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Red Wings | 31c | 597.77$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.72 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Stars | 33c | 565.88$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.47 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Stars | 4c | 501$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 189 | 5.3%10 W · 179 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…9c6abacked Stars | 75c | 500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Red Wings | 44c | 496.82$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.22 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd33b…4e00backed Red Wings | 50c | 482$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Stars | 51c | 449.33$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.6 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4364…dc7abacked Stars | 56c | 448.21$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Stars | 54c | 416.28$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.79 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6369…feb1backed Red Wings | 46c | 413.04$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd7…1778backed Red Wings | 62c | 400$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.5 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Stars | 51c | 399.72$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.18 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -6.9wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -25%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9448…be98backed Stars | 77c | 387.82$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.62 | 154 | 70.1%108 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a38…438cbacked Red Wings | 46c | 386.96$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.96 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +56%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Stars | 55c | 365.38$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.95 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Stars | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Red Wings | 50c | 352.04$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.04 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52da…c1f6backed Stars | 56c | 351.79$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Red Wings | 48c | 350$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Stars | 53c | 349.99$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.5 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe0…6e30backed Stars | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Stars | 52c | 299.97$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.99 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Stars | 47c | 286.16$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.5 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Red Wings | 46c | 247.08$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.42 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Red Wings | 45c | 240.66$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.34 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9127…5f20backed Stars | 54c | 235.69$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bf…1eefbacked Red Wings | 47c | 235.64$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdef8…37b1backed Stars | 54c | 229.74$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x575d…ab37backed Red Wings | 47c | 229.7$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fa…91adbacked Stars | 54c | 227.74$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f5…2a9abacked Red Wings | 47c | 227.72$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb8…af02backed Red Wings | 48c | 222.92$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.92 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6660…b14bbacked Red Wings | 47c | 217.83$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30cd…b333backed Stars | 55c | 213.85$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Stars | 21c | 209.11$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.08 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fb…fb2cbacked Stars | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac41…21b2backed Stars | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb00a…61febacked Stars | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc67c…f843backed Stars | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x929d…1176backed Stars | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bc…53f2backed Stars | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…fdb3backed Stars | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…0932backed Stars | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db3…384ebacked Stars | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d5…d0aabacked Stars | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c5…57a3backed Stars | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x352f…c76cbacked Red Wings | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe73…265dbacked Stars | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cf…4c54backed Stars | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb8…fa6cbacked Stars | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…e036backed Stars | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb53b…3f0bbacked Stars | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x177f…7c0ebacked Stars | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc55a…bdfebacked Stars | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ea…1a93backed Stars | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57f3…f1fabacked Stars | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13b3…fd84backed Stars | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b6…06e6backed Stars | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf62…a6f5backed Stars | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.