NHL · resolved market
Penguins vs. Golden Knights
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7dfcb434025762279f0e96627cd1feb825e1cccb43b5863124b422aba21da227
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golden Knightsof Penguins, Golden Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,379
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,196
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,379 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd99c…1006backed Golden Knights | 70c | 10,014$7,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,004.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcca0…f349backed Penguins | 30c | 9,991$2,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,997.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Penguins | 29c | 4,697$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.08 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…3bd3backed Golden Knights | 71c | 3,521$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.13 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 65cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Penguins | 0c | 3,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de2…0c64backed Penguins | 18c | 2,925$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Golden Knights | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Golden Knights | 72c | 1,792$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.27 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Penguins | 30c | 1,709$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.93 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9718…fa5dbacked Golden Knights | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 61cpaid | +35%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb703…6f88backed Penguins | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Golden Knights | 71c | 1,411$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.85 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Penguins | 24c | 1,293$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.88 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Penguins | 32c | 1,274$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.96 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Penguins | 32c | 1,070$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.26 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f52…6ff2backed Penguins | 32c | 1,012$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.59 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Penguins | 29c | 1,006$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.85 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Penguins | 31c | 942.59$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.78 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Penguins | 29c | 894.27$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.34 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Golden Knights | 69c | 804.35$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.35 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Golden Knights | 69c | 599.94$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.98 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf1…e491backed Penguins | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…15eabacked Golden Knights | 67c | 499.99$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e1…921ebacked Penguins | 33c | 476.97$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.85 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Golden Knights | 74c | 409.99$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed Golden Knights | 69c | 390.22$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.9 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddf…0192backed Golden Knights | 71c | 359.15$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Golden Knights | 71c | 345$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.05 | 244 | 57.4%140 W · 104 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Penguins | 30c | 305$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Penguins | 32c | 230.16$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.65 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Golden Knights | 68c | 224.47$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.92 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Penguins | 10c | 210$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Golden Knights | 71c | 206.25$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.18 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Penguins | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…76fabacked Penguins | 32c | 194.18$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.49 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1c…d6bebacked Golden Knights | 70c | 189.49$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.85 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31fc…596cbacked Penguins | 30c | 180.41$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Golden Knights | 67c | 155.85$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Golden Knights | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…80f2backed Golden Knights | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ed…ca2bbacked Golden Knights | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab7e…4852backed Penguins | 30c | 135.12$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeba5…141fbacked Golden Knights | 70c | 129.29$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.79 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Golden Knights | 67c | 119.38$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 301 | 55.1%166 W · 135 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Penguins | 11c | 112.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01f1…a76dbacked Golden Knights | 68c | 110.41$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Golden Knights | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd10a…91e9backed Golden Knights | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 260 | 59.6%155 W · 105 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Golden Knights | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Penguins | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb734…502cbacked Penguins | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b46…7c2fbacked Golden Knights | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2066…617cbacked Golden Knights | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Golden Knights | 68c | 99.97$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.99 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Penguins | 30c | 99.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34aa…980abacked Penguins | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Penguins | 33c | 93.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Golden Knights | 68c | 88.06$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.18 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5725…0069backed Penguins | 33c | 87.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9d…41f9backed Golden Knights | 69c | 80.36$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Golden Knights | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bbc…b525backed Penguins | 32c | 63.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b96…27cbbacked Penguins | 31c | 61.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Golden Knights | 67c | 55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 234 | 62%145 W · 89 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Penguins | 31c | 51.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…7650backed Penguins | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21fd…c852backed Penguins | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Penguins | 32c | 43.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x346a…2f47backed Golden Knights | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Golden Knights | 71c | 42.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -5.3wins | -0.15per pick | 64cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb28a…2fc3backed Golden Knights | 71c | 42.01$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Penguins | 30c | 41.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Penguins | 31c | 40.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2041…977fbacked Penguins | 31c | 39.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6710…00c9backed Golden Knights | 76c | 39.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -7.8wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Penguins | 32c | 39.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Golden Knights | 67c | 37.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe060…b0cabacked Penguins | 31c | 35.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 37cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Golden Knights | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6315…10edbacked Penguins | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Golden Knights | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 417 | 57.3%239 W · 178 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…3bc1backed Golden Knights | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f7…ac2cbacked Golden Knights | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 123 | 69.9%86 W · 37 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35bd…92b6backed Golden Knights | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa191…7facbacked Golden Knights | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Golden Knights | 69c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 397 | 57.2%227 W · 170 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c8c…b87cbacked Golden Knights | 70c | 21.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5d…479abacked Golden Knights | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Golden Knights | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 284 | 40.1%114 W · 170 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf93e…af9cbacked Golden Knights | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Golden Knights | 70c | 17.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 459 | 54.2%249 W · 210 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1300…97fbbacked Golden Knights | 69c | 16.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…80f7backed Golden Knights | 69c | 16.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8337…1a49backed Golden Knights | 71c | 16.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Golden Knights | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 175 | 53.1%93 W · 82 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe854…a1bbbacked Golden Knights | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.