TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Lakers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lakersof Knicks, Lakers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,215,750
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,465,528

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,215,750 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x91b0…f0b6backed Lakers32c39,797$12,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,235.228337.3%31 W · 52 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-31.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Knicks34c38,465$12,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,963.461,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Knicks67c33,281$22,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,391.5847656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Knicks35c32,390$11,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,416.7733931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Knicks28c27,652$7,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,781.6949849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…3e11backed Lakers71c27,122$19,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,843.2522049.1%108 W · 112 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Lakers65c21,240$13,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,420.929738.7%115 W · 182 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e94…3f94backed Lakers50c20,098$9,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,135.551241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed Lakers71c15,832$11,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,542.5819451.5%100 W · 94 L-17.8wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-17.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0dda…4cf6backed Knicks36c14,275$5,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,156.83666.7%24 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Knicks50c13,966$6,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,938.7734532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xded0…66f3backed Knicks41c13,413$5,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,499.38250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1872…ae0fbacked Lakers41c11,605$4,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,800.726758.2%39 W · 28 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6094…3bd9backed Lakers57c11,513$6,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,941.218536.5%31 W · 54 L+8.8wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+61.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x799c…bcefbacked Lakers63c9,043$5,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,380.7627163.5%172 W · 99 L+0.9wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Knicks42c8,555$3,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,621.9676249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Knicks39c7,853$3,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,057.7838143%164 W · 217 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Lakers27c7,232$1,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,250.233,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x889e…09e0backed Lakers26c6,590$1,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,876.5310926.6%29 W · 80 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e27…efd1backed Lakers58c6,300$3,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,646250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc034…55f9backed Lakers59c6,281$3,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,575.272100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick62cpaid+62.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x898b…8d76backed Lakers48c6,281$3,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,254.3417943.6%78 W · 101 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Knicks50c6,217$3,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,099.1470640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a2…f604backed Lakers59c6,161$3,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,526.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick62cpaid+62.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Knicks37c5,508$2,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,060.8488053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Knicks37c5,184$1,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,913.2480146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x008a…21a8backed Knicks44c5,126$2,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,270.338129.6%24 W · 57 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcad…0dacbacked Lakers60c5,015$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,015.37754.5%42 W · 35 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Lakers60c5,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00029858.7%175 W · 123 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Knicks43c5,000$2,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,136.291,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Lakers57c4,842$2,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,074.5820851.4%107 W · 101 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Knicks54c4,728$2,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,536.521,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad25…7678backed Knicks43c4,579$1,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,948.899038.9%35 W · 55 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Knicks41c4,500$1,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,850.881,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa112…d215backed Knicks36c4,391$1,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,596.43435.3%12 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Knicks38c4,248$1,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,628.9246131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c70…232abacked Lakers60c4,167$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,666.675337.7%20 W · 33 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+26%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Lakers42c3,896$1,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,265.0223237.1%86 W · 146 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Lakers75c3,885$2,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983.2128347.7%135 W · 148 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Knicks48c3,770$1,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,798.355,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc338…d660backed Knicks42c3,698$1,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,553.01616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick49cpaid-73.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x670d…0825backed Lakers59c3,679$2,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,508.397759.7%46 W · 31 L+9.1wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+20.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1990…e954backed Knicks71c3,592$2,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,533.953119.4%6 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-36.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Lakers58c3,493$2,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,476.8950245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x348f…e570backed Lakers46c3,358$1,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,829.41275%9 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd3b1…6f55backed Knicks43c3,326$1,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,430.3420238.6%78 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd46a…5adbbacked Lakers60c3,300$1,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,326.241457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31db…79a4backed Knicks29c3,290$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97017838.2%68 W · 110 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Lakers57c3,147$1,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,353.321,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Knicks57c2,945$1,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,665.8570951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99cf…a86abacked Knicks59c2,836$1,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,683.1714034.3%48 W · 92 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x33e5…5e20backed Knicks42c2,600$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,092333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d02…edbfbacked Knicks39c2,585$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.051957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Knicks53c2,501$1,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,328.4566744.5%297 W · 370 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe663…6462backed Lakers47c2,465$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,314.916747.8%32 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xccab…cb62backed Lakers58c2,463$1,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.712532%8 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-37.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe505…d18bbacked Knicks38c2,449$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$930.776253.2%33 W · 29 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+23.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0712…f71bbacked Knicks41c2,439$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.979247.8%44 W · 48 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf0ec…6064backed Knicks41c2,352$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.5313929.5%41 W · 98 L+0.5wins0.00per pick29cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41b0…5be0backed Lakers61c2,303$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.43955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed Knicks41c2,171$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.9326659%157 W · 109 L+12.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x47c6…be32backed Lakers70c2,153$1,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.796245.2%28 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2137…0677backed Knicks42c2,143$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.718219.5%16 W · 66 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ef2…d0dabacked Knicks62c2,080$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,289.611019.1%21 W · 89 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bf3…326bbacked Knicks28c2,033$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.471656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Knicks44c2,017$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.5933752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93c8…bbb7backed Knicks41c1,996$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.35366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+65.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Knicks47c1,965$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.8268642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1187…cb53backed Knicks36c1,943$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.479836.7%36 W · 62 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Lakers47c1,918$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.1538942.9%167 W · 222 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b21…de92backed Lakers64c1,888$1,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe320…6e85backed Lakers64c1,841$1,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c6f…d651backed Lakers62c1,829$1,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Lakers36c1,784$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,150.0625536.9%94 W · 161 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Knicks38c1,777$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.2861345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51dd…2f92backed Lakers57c1,757$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.8219944.7%89 W · 110 L-15.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3e58…c8c7backed Lakers63c1,741$1,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa3b…249ebacked Lakers59c1,680$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8bf…c049backed Lakers48c1,679$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.786848.5%33 W · 35 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Lakers60c1,637$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.8396447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x43ae…5141backed Lakers62c1,613$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.91471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb893…3399backed Knicks39c1,600$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.01728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Lakers63c1,579$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.78851.1%45 W · 43 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9244…b955backed Lakers59c1,500$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.99862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+6.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb37c…164ebacked Knicks41c1,498$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.181040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Knicks38c1,495$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.781,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03cb…4bf9backed Lakers50c1,485$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.6226640.2%107 W · 159 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ce8…3bd3backed Lakers71c1,410$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.863250%16 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Knicks39c1,409$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.3185542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ec…f502backed Knicks39c1,372$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.982433.3%8 W · 16 L-4.2wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-31.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7f72…4d8ebacked Lakers37c1,362$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.813616.7%6 W · 30 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-67.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2e0…14adbacked Lakers52c1,357$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.941957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Lakers38c1,300$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8081,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa27b…5d5cbacked Knicks32c1,300$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.9920447.1%96 W · 108 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Knicks14c1,294$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.1525016.8%42 W · 208 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Lakers57c1,242$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.1126431.8%84 W · 180 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03e5…dd0fbacked Lakers53c1,208$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.986622.7%15 W · 51 L-8.4wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-48.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x39dc…8d05backed Knicks42c1,190$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014051.4%72 W · 68 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Lakers44c1,132$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.6338027.1%103 W · 277 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Lakers38c1,127$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.9934524.3%84 W · 261 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.