TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Rockets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rocketsof Pelicans, Rockets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$310,939
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$371,798

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $310,939 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 268 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x000f…fa77backed Rockets76c46,722$35,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,306.162669.2%18 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Pelicans24c27,314$6,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,565.7433752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pelicans9c20,718$1,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,912.163,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Pelicans18c19,842$3,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,536.6133931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa112…d215backed Pelicans11c16,000$1,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8203435.3%12 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Pelicans12c11,045$1,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,313.0749849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Pelicans25c10,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50080146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Rockets75c7,376$5,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,873.5134532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Pelicans24c7,200$1,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7281,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Pelicans26c5,786$1,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,495.51,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Pelicans2c5,766$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.61,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Pelicans2c4,304$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.998783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ce8…3bd3backed Rockets76c4,080$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.263250%16 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Rockets73c4,000$2,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08096447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad25…7678backed Pelicans27c3,691$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,013.519038.9%35 W · 55 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Pelicans28c3,510$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.1625845%116 W · 142 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x69f3…db29backed Pelicans0c3,200$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11419.8%4 W · 37 L-0.2wins0.00per pick10cpaid-81.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4a7…b33abacked Pelicans15c3,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4502540%10 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+35.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Rockets74c2,709$1,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.7125865.5%169 W · 89 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Rockets76c2,450$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.7576249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa75c…895ebacked Rockets72c2,310$1,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.727347.9%35 W · 38 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Pelicans1c2,042$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.157502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Pelicans24c2,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4801,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e28…9bc8backed Pelicans25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-64.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2137…0677backed Pelicans26c2,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5208219.5%16 W · 66 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Rockets73c2,000$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.9840627.8%113 W · 293 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Pelicans26c1,946$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.91,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Pelicans25c1,719$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.2577745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pelicans25c1,710$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.361,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Pelicans3c1,600$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1737011.4%42 W · 328 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb215…b819backed Pelicans25c1,595$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40026124.1%63 W · 198 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Pelicans13c1,556$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.8526431.8%84 W · 180 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa742…68c5backed Rockets73c1,411$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.924261.9%26 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Pelicans24c1,290$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.7561835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Pelicans24c1,200$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.9461345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec05…5fb3backed Rockets75c1,095$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.63955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Pelicans23c1,071$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.9250245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69d4…6775backed Rockets76c1,055$802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.299638.5%37 W · 59 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Pelicans1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d80…5fd8backed Rockets76c1,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24030251.7%156 W · 146 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed Rockets76c1,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24024855.6%138 W · 110 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa33…8dbcbacked Pelicans5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5029450.3%148 W · 146 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Rockets72c999.98$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28029747.5%141 W · 156 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Pelicans14c968.64$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.5788053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb0e0…68a8backed Rockets75c933.33$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.336750.7%34 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Pelicans26c906.7$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.7447848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe780…d32dbacked Rockets75c905$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.251172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+32.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Pelicans24c899.81$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.245743.3%198 W · 259 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Pelicans24c835.13$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.7270640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Pelicans25c829.23$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.3837734%128 W · 249 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51dd…2f92backed Rockets74c810.83$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.8319944.7%89 W · 110 L-15.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Pelicans26c800$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20819147.6%91 W · 100 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Pelicans16c800$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12751037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03cb…4bf9backed Pelicans25c795.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026640.2%107 W · 159 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Rockets74c762.85$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.3420851.4%107 W · 101 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c0c…76fabacked Pelicans26c705.31$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.2610451%53 W · 51 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18f6…b00bbacked Rockets76c657.89$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.8912752.8%67 W · 60 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-14.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x471f…f60abacked Rockets75c600$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1504575.6%34 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick72cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Pelicans25c599.98$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.575,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Pelicans26c590.8$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.0187647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa954…b8edbacked Pelicans28c584.98$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.493033.3%10 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Pelicans9c560$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.447535.8%170 W · 305 L+41.1wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Pelicans5c542.86$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2865218.4%120 W · 532 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7554…38e2backed Rockets76c524.36$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.852245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Pelicans11c500.65$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.6850047.2%236 W · 264 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61af…aa01backed Rockets76c500$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12038464.3%247 W · 137 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f72…4d8ebacked Pelicans2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103616.7%6 W · 30 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-67.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Pelicans25c499.99$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224b…d105backed Rockets74c494.59$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.597169%49 W · 22 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7361…22dfbacked Rockets75c462.79$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.71723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-50.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Pelicans3c450$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9537627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Pelicans9c442.77$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3247229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbe59…a131backed Rockets74c439.77$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.3415365.4%100 W · 53 L-0.2wins0.00per pick66cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664b…8509backed Pelicans24c420$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.9525851.6%133 W · 125 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb26…94ddbacked Pelicans11c400$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4410018%18 W · 82 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick15cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ffd…d225backed Pelicans5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013043.8%57 W · 73 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73f0…3d28backed Pelicans15c399.96$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.9936434.9%127 W · 237 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf04f…a8c4backed Pelicans24c365.92$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.322733%75 W · 152 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x789f…54dbbacked Pelicans26c349.96$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.991546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dad…0668backed Rockets76c344.55$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.693450%17 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-23.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e57…55b7backed Pelicans15c335.6$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501612.5%2 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick14cpaid+139.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe53…b190backed Pelicans26c330.65$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.124560%27 W · 18 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Pelicans26c304.25$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.0985542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89b3…6ed8backed Rockets75c300$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7517256.4%97 W · 75 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5dc…0bc1backed Rockets76c289.47$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.474963.3%31 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Pelicans14c278.71$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2136751.8%190 W · 177 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Pelicans9c272.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7271747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Rockets75c254.65$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6661851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Pelicans4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030826.6%82 W · 226 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67ba…2befbacked Rockets76c236.95$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.87425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick67cpaid-67.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe1e7…12febacked Rockets76c229$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.969563.2%60 W · 35 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0a6…2ab9backed Rockets74c222.44$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.4423555.3%130 W · 105 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d3b…f573backed Pelicans7c219.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Rockets80c210.99$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5468642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe837…7b55backed Pelicans27c203.7$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5513448.5%65 W · 69 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Pelicans30c200.47$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6045135%158 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Rockets75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5093036.5%339 W · 591 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd685…8be9backed Rockets75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501580%12 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42a2…2e5fbacked Rockets75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Pelicans25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.