NHL · resolved market
Flames vs. Hurricanes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc5845e6e0ba2712914af770fa2b3668a7819e06e2f1dab759c2135f8fcdf5de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hurricanesof Flames, Hurricanes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,397
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,495
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,397 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc1c9…96d9backed Hurricanes | 74c | 17,000$12,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,490.4 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Flames | 26c | 6,290$1,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,635.5 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1990…e954backed Flames | 30c | 4,428$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.11 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Flames | 26c | 3,125$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.52 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Flames | 29c | 2,234$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.85 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Flames | 38c | 2,125$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.1 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Hurricanes | 60c | 1,855$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.8 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Flames | 35c | 1,576$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.23 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…b2d1backed Flames | 9c | 1,251$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.62 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Flames | 26c | 1,220$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.31 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Flames | 29c | 1,207$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.79 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Flames | 32c | 1,031$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.44 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Flames | 28c | 1,000$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Flames | 28c | 987.64$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.54 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Flames | 28c | 947.25$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.23 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Flames | 27c | 817.03$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.89 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f52…6ff2backed Flames | 27c | 792.67$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.43 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Flames | 32c | 705$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.59 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…66d8backed Hurricanes | 65c | 561.54$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.54 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Flames | 25c | 454.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.75 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Hurricanes | 63c | 402.62$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.97 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Hurricanes | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Hurricanes | 67c | 386.42$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.52 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa10d…acc6backed Flames | 27c | 386.37$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.32 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Hurricanes | 70c | 379.67$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.9 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x732b…85f4backed Flames | 19c | 374.98$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.85 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Flames | 3c | 365.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 189 | 5.3%10 W · 179 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58a7…554fbacked Hurricanes | 71c | 352.11$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.11 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Hurricanes | 71c | 345$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.05 | 244 | 57.4%140 W · 104 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Flames | 26c | 285$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Hurricanes | 73c | 281.51$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.81 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Hurricanes | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6159backed Hurricanes | 74c | 260$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 88 | 70.5%62 W · 26 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc8…55c9backed Flames | 27c | 222.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Hurricanes | 63c | 218$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.66 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Hurricanes | 68c | 200$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed Hurricanes | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d2…c25dbacked Hurricanes | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20fa…5ed9backed Flames | 26c | 197.17$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Hurricanes | 71c | 176.64$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.64 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked Flames | 31c | 175$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.25 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6710…00c9backed Flames | 32c | 153.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -7.8wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3585…1595backed Flames | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Flames | 26c | 146$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.96 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb65…3412backed Flames | 31c | 145.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0623…35dbbacked Hurricanes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Hurricanes | 72c | 139.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.46 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b0…9da7backed Flames | 24c | 131.28$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +8.5wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xab3c…5093backed Flames | 27c | 125$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28b6…4eddbacked Flames | 28c | 121.68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.07 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Hurricanes | 76c | 110$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e20…fd40backed Flames | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Hurricanes | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6072…fb46backed Hurricanes | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Hurricanes | 73c | 99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1268…94e0backed Flames | 31c | 91.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Flames | 26c | 79.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf7…6165backed Hurricanes | 74c | 78.86$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…aa92backed Hurricanes | 64c | 75.56$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 181 | 44.8%81 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa954…b8edbacked Hurricanes | 75c | 73.47$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x075e…9c35backed Hurricanes | 72c | 72.66$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb303…205bbacked Hurricanes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb57…0c84backed Flames | 29c | 70.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.32per pick | 50cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Hurricanes | 71c | 70.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Flames | 26c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5203…28b8backed Flames | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x394c…902dbacked Hurricanes | 74c | 68.92$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Flames | 27c | 68.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3890…39e3backed Flames | 30c | 66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6a…dea3backed Flames | 29c | 65.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe209…e60dbacked Flames | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b60…09cabacked Flames | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Flames | 27c | 51.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 157 | 30.6%48 W · 109 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Flames | 27c | 51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Flames | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Flames | 26c | 49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe08c…f589backed Flames | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Hurricanes | 65c | 48.02$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 417 | 57.3%239 W · 178 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf10…430cbacked Flames | 27c | 48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ea…a4b6backed Hurricanes | 62c | 45.52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc52…a021backed Hurricanes | 64c | 45.3$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 102 | 67.6%69 W · 33 L | +11.0wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Flames | 26c | 43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…cbb5backed Hurricanes | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…46b3backed Flames | 31c | 41.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…d9c7backed Hurricanes | 72c | 41.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35c3…09a6backed Flames | 27c | 40.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Hurricanes | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -5.3wins | -0.15per pick | 64cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Flames | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 284 | 40.1%114 W · 170 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8729…6098backed Flames | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ba…2eb2backed Hurricanes | 74c | 39.19$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde71…070ebacked Flames | 31c | 38.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7e…b60fbacked Flames | 31c | 38.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc4…8c38backed Hurricanes | 75c | 37.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 95 | 67.4%64 W · 31 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…5b87backed Hurricanes | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +38%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x279d…a1a5backed Flames | 31c | 35.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb55…f148backed Hurricanes | 70c | 32.86$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ef…491abacked Hurricanes | 71c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Hurricanes | 65c | 30.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 459 | 54.2%249 W · 210 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eac…1507backed Hurricanes | 73c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x870e…8b7bbacked Hurricanes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.