NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Thunder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33c3ff4a1ea3d919b2eabc342a8f1549f50e2df7b4b555e8fe8710158b29c7bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Trail Blazers, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $514,478
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $535,803
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $514,478 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 730 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8744…370bbacked Trail Blazers | 43c | 96,305$41,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,411.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…4badbacked Thunder | 57c | 96,305$54,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,411.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…68dcbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 56,829$27,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,275.94 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Trail Blazers | 25c | 21,604$5,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,438.86 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Thunder | 70c | 21,436$15,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,364.27 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Thunder | 78c | 19,570$15,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,239.66 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Trail Blazers | 41c | 14,074$5,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,818.2 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Trail Blazers | 44c | 11,724$5,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,107.83 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Thunder | 57c | 8,294$4,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,536.03 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +10.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Thunder | 52c | 7,992$4,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,835.36 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b0…5be0backed Thunder | 56c | 7,096$3,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,115.54 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0564…ce95backed Trail Blazers | 42c | 7,004$2,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,921.84 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -7.5wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Thunder | 54c | 6,454$3,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,972.39 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Thunder | 55c | 6,050$3,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,742.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Thunder | 52c | 5,730$2,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,740.93 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 4,347$2,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,129.81 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…56dcbacked Trail Blazers | 46c | 4,114$1,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,873.61 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4b…f6dbbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 4,011$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,934.68 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Trail Blazers | 37c | 3,907$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,434.96 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd5…f1bfbacked Thunder | 58c | 3,849$2,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,616.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd910…b37cbacked Thunder | 59c | 3,777$2,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,548.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a1…4eabbacked Thunder | 58c | 3,700$2,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,557.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Thunder | 51c | 3,603$1,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,757.64 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebce…89a4backed Thunder | 59c | 3,602$2,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaef0…d92fbacked Thunder | 58c | 3,579$2,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,503.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2981…d5bebacked Thunder | 57c | 3,554$2,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,541.9 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa112…d215backed Trail Blazers | 45c | 3,500$1,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,565 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca2c…9126backed Thunder | 56c | 3,466$1,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…3843backed Thunder | 55c | 3,308$1,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.67 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Thunder | 65c | 3,247$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.81 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Trail Blazers | 45c | 3,100$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Trail Blazers | 8c | 3,088$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.88 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Thunder | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Thunder | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.62 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Thunder | 56c | 2,731$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.63 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Trail Blazers | 44c | 2,727$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.4 | 248 | 55.6%138 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Thunder | 55c | 2,500$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.51 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Thunder | 55c | 2,370$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.23 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Trail Blazers | 45c | 2,249$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.63 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x830d…3f0ebacked Trail Blazers | 45c | 2,245$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Thunder | 64c | 2,208$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.91 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Thunder | 61c | 2,164$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.58 | 98 | 68.4%67 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Trail Blazers | 33c | 2,162$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.11 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Thunder | 53c | 2,115$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.79 | 136 | 38.2%52 W · 84 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Trail Blazers | 44c | 2,032$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.34 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Thunder | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.98 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Thunder | 54c | 1,844$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.88 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0712…f71bbacked Thunder | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Thunder | 52c | 1,692$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.95 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5a…6611backed Thunder | 59c | 1,672$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ae…5141backed Thunder | 59c | 1,624$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.21 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…abe1backed Thunder | 58c | 1,540$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.12 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb703…6f88backed Thunder | 58c | 1,503$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.26 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9718…fa5dbacked Trail Blazers | 42c | 1,498$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.15 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Trail Blazers | 39c | 1,484$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.69 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6586…c69cbacked Trail Blazers | 43c | 1,452$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Thunder | 66c | 1,409$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.17 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…2f92backed Trail Blazers | 45c | 1,340$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 199 | 44.7%89 W · 110 L | -15.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Thunder | 60c | 1,300$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.05 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22c3…ea71backed Trail Blazers | 43c | 1,294$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Trail Blazers | 37c | 1,285$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.63 | 156 | 56.4%88 W · 68 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1818…aa35backed Trail Blazers | 43c | 1,280$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f35…ddf1backed Trail Blazers | 43c | 1,270$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3b…d1f7backed Trail Blazers | 42c | 1,264$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cd…6aaabacked Trail Blazers | 43c | 1,251$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25fe…7b2abacked Trail Blazers | 43c | 1,244$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9415…c6c5backed Trail Blazers | 43c | 1,240$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b7…700abacked Trail Blazers | 43c | 1,230$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…d105backed Thunder | 61c | 1,220$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.98 | 71 | 69%49 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5b…0c08backed Trail Blazers | 43c | 1,214$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8089…f244backed Trail Blazers | 43c | 1,214$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2b…6b7bbacked Trail Blazers | 43c | 1,205$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1db…de84backed Trail Blazers | 43c | 1,202$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de0…98dcbacked Trail Blazers | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Thunder | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80b0…9906backed Trail Blazers | 44c | 1,183$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…a9f2backed Thunder | 57c | 1,174$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.05 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddb…4e9cbacked Trail Blazers | 46c | 1,155$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4592…19e3backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 1,152$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fef…3589backed Thunder | 56c | 1,146$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.72 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 65cpaid | +32%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Trail Blazers | 44c | 1,145$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe40d…e7b3backed Trail Blazers | 43c | 1,144$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…70f0backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 1,144$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Thunder | 55c | 1,120$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 208 | 51.4%107 W · 101 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Thunder | 55c | 1,105$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.86 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff27…1a68backed Trail Blazers | 12c | 1,105$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Trail Blazers | 46c | 1,062$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.15 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Thunder | 58c | 1,039$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.85 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Trail Blazers | 25c | 1,020$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Trail Blazers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Trail Blazers | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Trail Blazers | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked Thunder | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb8…43f6backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 999.98$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.99 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…26b1backed Trail Blazers | 42c | 999.68$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.87 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 981.58$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.53 | 139 | 29.5%41 W · 98 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Trail Blazers | 45c | 975$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.75 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Trail Blazers | 8c | 954.1$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.99 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ec…f502backed Thunder | 53c | 942.79$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.11 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Trail Blazers | 44c | 911.36$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.