NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Hornets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc4b2f4b36cc4c278d55d9387fadeb73bf7b4f9b28d0da23c38718e297812cbb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wizardsof Wizards, Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $568,388
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $603,953
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $568,388 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 498 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Hornets | 62c | 44,338$27,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,427.73 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Wizards | 71c | 36,510$25,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,757.09 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Hornets | 21c | 33,457$6,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,973.87 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Hornets | 50c | 25,728$12,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,830.92 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Hornets | 61c | 24,452$14,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,868.67 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Wizards | 39c | 22,772$8,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,881.21 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Wizards | 43c | 11,725$4,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,741.39 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed Hornets | 62c | 8,715$5,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,403.23 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Hornets | 60c | 8,614$5,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,154.85 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Wizards | 77c | 8,044$6,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,812.22 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Wizards | 38c | 8,011$3,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,972.41 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Wizards | 46c | 7,010$3,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,812.33 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Wizards | 41c | 6,635$2,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,921.82 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Wizards | 39c | 6,499$2,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,984.74 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Wizards | 40c | 6,361$2,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,822.08 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Hornets | 61c | 6,195$3,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,756.64 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Hornets | 36c | 5,840$2,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,085 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…ae0fbacked Wizards | 76c | 5,360$4,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.28 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards | 39c | 5,100$1,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,110.98 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Wizards | 51c | 5,075$2,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,483.19 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Hornets | 62c | 5,055$3,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,141.25 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Hornets | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7583…8e60backed Hornets | 62c | 4,767$2,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,955.23 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wizards | 42c | 3,835$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,218.15 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5632…748dbacked Hornets | 1c | 3,400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -40%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Hornets | 46c | 3,206$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.22 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Wizards | 39c | 2,980$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,817.93 | 95 | 72.6%69 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…57e0backed Hornets | 62c | 2,742$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd008…7790backed Wizards | 39c | 2,669$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,628.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Hornets | 60c | 2,602$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,561.24 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0712…f71bbacked Wizards | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.01 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Hornets | 8c | 2,345$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.15 | 275 | 46.9%129 W · 146 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Hornets | 1c | 2,100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…3842backed Hornets | 28c | 2,058$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.84 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…d826backed Hornets | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Hornets | 61c | 1,788$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.83 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d80…219abacked Hornets | 48c | 1,737$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Hornets | 60c | 1,692$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.27 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Hornets | 9c | 1,650$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…15c7backed Hornets | 59c | 1,641$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.48 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Hornets | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Hornets | 32c | 1,548$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.3 | 345 | 24.3%84 W · 261 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Wizards | 39c | 1,535$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.81 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Hornets | 1c | 1,535$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Hornets | 61c | 1,533$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.73 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f17…c521backed Hornets | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.94 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa5…f7b9backed Wizards | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.92 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…2f92backed Hornets | 68c | 1,479$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 199 | 44.7%89 W · 110 L | -15.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Wizards | 44c | 1,464$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.14 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Hornets | 61c | 1,429$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.77 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7103…b192backed Hornets | 57c | 1,351$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.42 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…3bd3backed Wizards | 38c | 1,291$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.68 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Hornets | 12c | 1,220$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.31 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Wizards | 41c | 1,197$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.96 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Wizards | 36c | 1,195$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.11 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Wizards | 40c | 1,189$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.37 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Hornets | 60c | 1,162$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.95 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Wizards | 41c | 1,122$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.81 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Hornets | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Wizards | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 248 | 55.6%138 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Wizards | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Hornets | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wizards | 40c | 980$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Wizards | 51c | 864.99$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.87 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebc5…016cbacked Wizards | 39c | 838.31$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Wizards | 37c | 800$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…8d05backed Wizards | 39c | 771.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.98 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Hornets | 63c | 771.18$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.53 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf708…64c6backed Hornets | 64c | 755.6$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Wizards | 46c | 746.66$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.33 | 367 | 51.8%190 W · 177 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Wizards | 38c | 739.01$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.1 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Hornets | 59c | 735$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.65 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ea…600bbacked Wizards | 39c | 705$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee8c…c894backed Hornets | 62c | 690$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae2…5bd4backed Wizards | 39c | 684.03$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.26 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Hornets | 60c | 651.44$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.74 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc3…7e27backed Hornets | 59c | 641.97$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.76 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae00…f7b0backed Wizards | 79c | 636.75$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.75 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Wizards | 37c | 632.03$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.42 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6710…00c9backed Wizards | 41c | 614$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Hornets | 61c | 540.98$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2d…e15abacked Hornets | 43c | 537.8$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Hornets | 13c | 524.56$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.65 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Wizards | 41c | 524$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.87 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d5…fc86backed Hornets | 62c | 503.23$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf981…01edbacked Hornets | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaec…dd15backed Hornets | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb865…041bbacked Wizards | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Wizards | 37c | 480$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.3 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06d1…40fdbacked Hornets | 61c | 458.63$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b5…8833backed Hornets | 61c | 458.62$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.76 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1a…188dbacked Wizards | 42c | 450.43$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.25 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…7214backed Wizards | 46c | 434.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.7 | 186 | 32.8%61 W · 125 L | -12.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbda…0fc4backed Hornets | 41c | 419.81$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Hornets | 31c | 417.53$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.36 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18b4…6d3fbacked Wizards | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…b01abacked Wizards | 38c | 393.11$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.73 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa19b…69e4backed Wizards | 38c | 382.79$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +164%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Wizards | 39c | 375.19$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.69 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x855a…0985backed Wizards | 39c | 358.05$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.41 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.