TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Hornets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hornetsof Mavericks, Hornets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$362,646
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$429,183

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $362,646 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 455 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x874e…52d7backed Mavericks66c30,508$20,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,135.024766%31 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3aff…e954backed Hornets40c27,830$10,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,8311442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Hornets34c26,343$8,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,431.0977745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6410…1ff4backed Hornets79c12,231$9,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,568.2611164%71 W · 40 L+13.0wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Mavericks62c11,557$7,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,153.9765642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6437…c073backed Mavericks68c7,058$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,799.521838.9%7 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.19per pick58cpaid-30.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Mavericks62c6,871$4,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,260.8847656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Mavericks61c6,243$3,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,782.1749849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe77f…4374backed Hornets30c5,457$1,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,806.1413140.5%53 W · 78 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Hornets33c5,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,349.81,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Hornets32c4,800$1,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,263.9546131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Mavericks67c4,005$2,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,683.3596447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f05…4480backed Mavericks62c3,776$2,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,344.621656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd14…feb3backed Mavericks68c3,746$2,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,547.13148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x42e8…9d10backed Mavericks66c3,437$2,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,266.4621357.7%123 W · 90 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Hornets33c3,308$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,216.3676249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f0a…e4eabacked Mavericks64c3,238$2,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,084.7415763.1%99 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Mavericks63c3,175$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00010541%43 W · 62 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe24c…a775backed Mavericks25c2,481$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea5c…5b0fbacked Hornets37c2,332$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,461.422433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dcf…7400backed Hornets45c2,202$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,202.026855.9%38 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8bf6…ff0dbacked Mavericks75c2,073$1,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,554.53520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked Hornets33c2,037$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,365.094452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Hornets34c1,802$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,18361345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Mavericks50c1,749$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.3425939%101 W · 158 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21bd…ae93backed Mavericks61c1,629$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011259.8%67 W · 45 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9156…5932backed Mavericks63c1,588$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-46%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Hornets32c1,574$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,073.23,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf32b…1e55backed Mavericks67c1,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.991926.3%5 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Mavericks67c1,493$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00021455.1%118 W · 96 L-1.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Hornets31c1,483$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,023.0740627.8%113 W · 293 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb023…2950backed Mavericks53c1,477$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.581612.5%2 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.24per pick36cpaid-66.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x14dd…13eebacked Mavericks11c1,460$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.85482.1%1 W · 47 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-67%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed Mavericks67c1,391$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.2319451.5%100 W · 94 L-17.8wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-17.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd078…6251backed Mavericks7c1,300$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851926.3%5 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-21.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Mavericks61c1,297$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.3220047%94 W · 106 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08a8…adcebacked Mavericks64c1,200$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77216341.1%67 W · 96 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8310…ea24backed Hornets40c1,084$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+69.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Hornets38c1,000$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62051037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0280…7305backed Mavericks62c999.99$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.994250%21 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed Hornets36c999.68$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.724855.6%138 W · 110 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Mavericks55c995$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.251,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Mavericks52c988.2$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.231,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c1d…c4c8backed Mavericks6c964.86$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1913920.1%28 W · 111 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Hornets28c900$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6481,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Mavericks57c883.82$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.8670640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3208…6bedbacked Mavericks71c877.32$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.9757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Hornets42c864.55$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.991,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Hornets30c850.13$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.891,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Mavericks65c850$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.56152.5%32 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Hornets37c839.49$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.9445135%158 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Hornets33c833.42$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.5247948%230 W · 249 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdf8…9a4fbacked Hornets39c769.23$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.23650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+68.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7096…e019backed Hornets65c761.84$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.3130061.7%185 W · 115 L+23.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+25.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8643…85b2backed Hornets33c757.58$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.581442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+131.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadbe…bc55backed Mavericks64c750$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.3350453.8%271 W · 233 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e2…4459backed Mavericks64c721.06$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.485048%24 W · 26 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb033…bedbbacked Mavericks71c704.22$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010058%58 W · 42 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1396…b149backed Mavericks58c689.31$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.84254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed Mavericks75c658.34$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.0426659%157 W · 109 L+12.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c4a…15c7backed Mavericks61c648.03$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.37150.7%36 W · 35 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe877…bb43backed Hornets31c637.66$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.662222.7%5 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-43.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Hornets34c619.13$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.211,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x445f…2e1dbacked Mavericks67c594$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68e…3527backed Hornets33c593.94$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b6a…3eedbacked Hornets35c571.43$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.4327735.4%98 W · 179 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf01…bd2fbacked Mavericks74c569.14$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.16560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d4…f59bbacked Mavericks41c549.34$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.181421.4%3 W · 11 L-4.2wins-0.30per pick52cpaid-62%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Mavericks4c548.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.51,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d4…6f09backed Hornets39c507.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.963759.5%22 W · 15 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd2b9…6a5ebacked Mavericks38c507.51$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.853345.5%15 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf3a…642fbacked Hornets62c506.55$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.49977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick69cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Hornets33c501$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.6719845.5%90 W · 108 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d80…5fd8backed Hornets32c500$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34030251.7%156 W · 146 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mavericks67c500$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33589353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Mavericks69c500$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3451,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48d3…5d66backed Mavericks3c500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154418.2%8 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-40.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Mavericks2c499.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d66…89c4backed Mavericks68c482.59$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.163256.3%18 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ff4…7ebbbacked Mavericks69c479.9$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.134337.2%16 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabe4…1996backed Mavericks18c471.88$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.021650%8 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x438e…9704backed Hornets71c470$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.923956.1%134 W · 105 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Hornets39c463.33$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.6336748.2%177 W · 190 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Mavericks65c463$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.9536057.5%207 W · 153 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Mavericks62c450$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2771,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Mavericks63c429.13$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.3512657.1%72 W · 54 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Hornets44c416.16$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.395,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87a0…4e12backed Mavericks77c415.99$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.881931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-43.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Hornets43c414.19$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.4212649.2%62 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Mavericks44c410$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18038942.9%167 W · 222 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6aab…9c4cbacked Hornets46c400$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21629661.5%182 W · 114 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x906b…fd3cbacked Hornets64c393.81$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.057450%37 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7308…8058backed Mavericks40c386.52$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1559245.7%42 W · 50 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Mavericks69c378.97$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.0270153.5%375 W · 326 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x089a…5729backed Hornets33c367.4$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.51136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ed5…a76ebacked Mavericks69c362.32$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25015558.7%91 W · 64 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58f2…a3e2backed Hornets40c357.83$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.74334.9%15 W · 28 L-5.7wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-29.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x89d0…ee28backed Hornets34c350$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+47.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed09…de44backed Mavericks68c350$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+50.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1a0…20a1backed Mavericks66c340$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+58.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.