NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Heat
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x952755b2b07232b5e70a20e944972f8c1b6fd2faffee176ba13dcd0e65cda03a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clippersof Clippers, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $273,253
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $283,235
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $273,253 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 912 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Clippers | 64c | 17,232$11,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,188.93 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Heat | 38c | 14,681$5,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,593.38 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Heat | 35c | 14,153$4,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,890.01 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Clippers | 43c | 13,391$5,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,661.44 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Clippers | 47c | 4,300$2,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,287.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e0…ad36backed Heat | 55c | 3,611$1,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,986.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3f…b5b6backed Heat | 56c | 3,566$2,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,004.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Clippers | 46c | 3,450$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,852.42 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Heat | 53c | 3,416$1,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,813.12 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…19d1backed Heat | 55c | 3,400$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Clippers | 42c | 3,369$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950.92 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb928…5fd7backed Clippers | 45c | 3,275$1,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,801.51 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6929…0e4bbacked Clippers | 72c | 3,101$2,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.72 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Heat | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Heat | 4c | 2,781$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.59 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Clippers | 55c | 2,614$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.86 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Heat | 58c | 2,237$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.23 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Clippers | 65c | 2,207$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.32 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Heat | 55c | 2,200$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Heat | 57c | 1,973$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.61 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Heat | 43c | 1,810$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.09 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Heat | 35c | 1,797$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.06 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Heat | 55c | 1,748$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.55 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda18…5f61backed Clippers | 44c | 1,518$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +140.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…415ebacked Heat | 58c | 1,505$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.3 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Heat | 56c | 1,500$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.5 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6102…3af3backed Clippers | 71c | 1,430$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.71 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Heat | 57c | 1,421$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.11 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Heat | 57c | 1,316$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.03 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa47a…fd11backed Heat | 29c | 1,277$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.89 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Heat | 52c | 1,268$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb420…ca66backed Clippers | 45c | 1,221$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d6…f73abacked Clippers | 44c | 1,206$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…046fbacked Clippers | 44c | 1,195$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d4…35d1backed Clippers | 45c | 1,195$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Clippers | 44c | 1,185$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.83 | 139 | 29.5%41 W · 98 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2c…03d4backed Clippers | 45c | 1,182$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…b7eabacked Clippers | 44c | 1,177$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Heat | 36c | 1,136$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.31 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e68…ac18backed Clippers | 47c | 1,134$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc91c…1dc7backed Clippers | 47c | 1,131$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06d1…40fdbacked Clippers | 44c | 1,129$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc89f…53e7backed Clippers | 47c | 1,120$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78e3…532dbacked Heat | 58c | 1,120$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Heat | 54c | 1,024$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.19 | 165 | 63.6%105 W · 60 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Clippers | 49c | 1,009$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.06 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…a5edbacked Heat | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6db3…3772backed Clippers | 45c | 999.99$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.99 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 47cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…a131backed Heat | 57c | 899.99$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 153 | 65.4%100 W · 53 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Heat | 42c | 896.29$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.44 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0560…d77dbacked Heat | 53c | 790$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.7 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d80…219abacked Heat | 41c | 734.15$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Clippers | 63c | 703.41$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.15 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Clippers | 69c | 699.99$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Heat | 55c | 675.2$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.21 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…2067backed Clippers | 80c | 628.26$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.06 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Heat | 55c | 599.98$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.99 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Clippers | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.48 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Clippers | 55c | 543.02$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.02 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d6…6de3backed Clippers | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5810…fa44backed Clippers | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…af97backed Clippers | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77c6…9ea1backed Clippers | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…94cbbacked Clippers | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e6…aedbbacked Clippers | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc35…25fcbacked Clippers | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe314…89d3backed Heat | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -52%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7c…4c38backed Clippers | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff7…d8d0backed Clippers | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9a…45e1backed Clippers | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c8…417fbacked Clippers | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x957b…51ffbacked Clippers | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c08…8611backed Clippers | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775a…99c3backed Heat | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4717…e791backed Clippers | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f5…dfadbacked Heat | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -5.6wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcef9…6c4abacked Clippers | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b1…9b41backed Clippers | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd872…55ccbacked Heat | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x777b…4ae7backed Heat | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…b3febacked Heat | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -6.5wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee4…8328backed Heat | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddd1…13d5backed Heat | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf140…e4bdbacked Heat | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8142…2427backed Heat | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x448a…9e5ebacked Heat | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba1…8a72backed Heat | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x186e…2112backed Heat | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4081…c265backed Heat | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2631…3c27backed Clippers | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x736b…18b2backed Heat | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa74…58ddbacked Heat | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -5.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc98b…676dbacked Heat | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -8.1wins | -0.25per pick | 60cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x01b5…c95bbacked Clippers | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…7305backed Heat | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6092…87d4backed Clippers | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8d…b23ebacked Heat | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe650…7c43backed Clippers | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa045…c005backed Heat | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd451…2002backed Heat | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -5.5wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.