TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Nuggets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nuggetsof Suns, Nuggets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$503,042
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$499,073

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $503,042 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 268 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ff0…46e3backed Suns21c47,671$9,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,913.9247656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Suns14c36,761$5,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,150.5234532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Suns19c17,706$3,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,398.823,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa112…d215backed Suns11c15,332$1,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,727.873435.3%12 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Suns10c14,435$1,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,510.7133931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd3b1…6f55backed Suns23c12,970$2,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,993.0120238.6%78 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Suns10c12,539$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,250.2380146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62d9…3d3cbacked Nuggets73c10,008$7,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,702.142100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e00…b4b5backed Nuggets73c9,995$7,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,698.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b8a…2007backed Suns27c9,990$2,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,697.3420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3aba…4a14backed Suns27c9,988$2,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,696.8620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Suns7c9,825$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.0426431.8%84 W · 180 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Suns7c7,408$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.1625536.9%94 W · 161 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Nuggets72c7,352$5,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,047.1324151.9%125 W · 116 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Suns8c6,910$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.2534425.6%88 W · 256 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Nuggets73c6,290$4,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,688.571,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Nuggets75c5,591$4,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,397.8276249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e56…dee1backed Suns25c5,286$1,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,320.77038.6%27 W · 43 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Suns27c5,050$1,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,373.481,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Suns2c4,929$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.768783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x674d…def3backed Suns29c4,590$1,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,311.174731.9%15 W · 32 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nuggets72c4,406$3,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,252.0296447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Nuggets73c3,687$2,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.5537448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0712…f71bbacked Suns28c3,571$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009247.8%44 W · 48 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Suns7c3,566$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.7270640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a6…c57ebacked Suns7c3,500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d73…0dd6backed Suns5c3,017$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Suns0c3,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4a7…b33abacked Suns13c2,500$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3252540%10 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+35.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x089b…2193backed Suns22c2,500$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55027731.4%87 W · 190 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Suns8c2,474$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.3525016.8%42 W · 208 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x889e…09e0backed Suns7c2,274$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.4810926.6%29 W · 80 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1990…e954backed Suns9c2,222$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003119.4%6 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-36.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x348f…e570backed Suns27c2,202$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.551275%9 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x03e5…dd0fbacked Suns26c2,170$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.536622.7%15 W · 51 L-8.4wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-48.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Suns1c2,165$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.47502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcc9…4534backed Nuggets70c2,019$1,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.848167.9%55 W · 26 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Suns15c2,013$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30138027.1%103 W · 277 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Nuggets72c2,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.991,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Suns2c1,927$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.541,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Suns12c1,900$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.2650047.2%236 W · 264 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1187…cb53backed Suns25c1,863$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.759836.7%36 W · 62 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Nuggets72c1,760$1,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.830351.8%157 W · 146 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x39dc…8d05backed Suns29c1,724$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014051.4%72 W · 68 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Nuggets76c1,707$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.261345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Nuggets77c1,706$1,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.4862351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36a6…52c7backed Suns18c1,500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27031125.1%78 W · 233 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Suns7c1,473$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10865218.4%120 W · 532 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75b4…5aabbacked Nuggets80c1,434$1,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.1517363.6%110 W · 63 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6ab…5eb9backed Nuggets71c1,403$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.36873.5%50 W · 18 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Suns4c1,376$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6137011.4%42 W · 328 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb215…b819backed Suns30c1,332$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40026124.1%63 W · 198 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Suns1c1,306$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.25502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Suns2c1,257$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.771,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Suns28c1,199$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.9877745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Suns12c1,199$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.7595848.7%467 W · 491 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9718…fa5dbacked Suns27c1,150$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.51154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb703…6f88backed Nuggets73c1,150$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.51050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a31…ca79backed Suns1c1,037$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11267.7%2 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe780…d32dbacked Nuggets71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2901172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+32.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c93…d494backed Suns29c997.23$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.21060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Suns24c935.23$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.2873647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ff…805cbacked Suns29c827.59$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24042827.3%117 W · 311 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Suns15c824.99$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.7530826.6%82 W · 226 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb26…94ddbacked Suns5c800$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.610018%18 W · 82 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick15cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Nuggets72c750$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21029747.5%141 W · 156 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc167…4056backed Suns14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008943.8%39 W · 50 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x799c…bcefbacked Nuggets73c684.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.9327163.5%172 W · 99 L+0.9wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Nuggets78c680.47$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.745135%158 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x761a…0e8ebacked Suns5c660$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.321428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71b1…ac2cbacked Suns2c660$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2224334.2%83 W · 160 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Nuggets70c659$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.757760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Suns28c652.84$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18038942.9%167 W · 222 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadbe…bc55backed Nuggets71c600$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17150453.8%271 W · 233 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Nuggets71c563.38$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.3812759.8%76 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51dd…2f92backed Nuggets77c555.22$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.2219944.7%89 W · 110 L-15.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd334…fcc2backed Suns25c554.25$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.3924725.9%64 W · 183 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Suns14c552.86$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8017335.8%62 W · 111 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Suns21c511$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.6668642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xff5e…72f9backed Nuggets74c501.38$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.36560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Suns6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3044337.9%168 W · 275 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce6d…6130backed Nuggets72c500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14016160.9%98 W · 63 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Nuggets57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21531935.1%112 W · 207 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe85d…15eabacked Suns23c499.99$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1152755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf65e…3850backed Suns23c483.44$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11024336.2%88 W · 155 L-0.7wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdec…ed1dbacked Suns7c472.94$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-33.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fcc…4b05backed Suns28c471.43$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa2…93ccbacked Suns11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508434.5%29 W · 55 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Nuggets71c450$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.520153.7%108 W · 93 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85bc…5c35backed Suns28c432.54$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.113174.2%23 W · 8 L+7.4wins+0.24per pick50cpaid+57.3%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Suns26c424.16$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11093036.5%339 W · 591 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe59…a131backed Nuggets72c399.82$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.9515365.4%100 W · 53 L-0.2wins0.00per pick66cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Suns27c375$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.252,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd3…9642backed Suns28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030354.1%164 W · 139 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Nuggets72c350.98$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9745743.3%198 W · 259 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d4a…2215backed Nuggets63c346.52$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.2119838.9%77 W · 121 L-13.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d86…f0bbbacked Suns28c346.18$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.931435.7%5 W · 9 L-3.4wins-0.24per pick60cpaid-42.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Suns23c340$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.230641.8%128 W · 178 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0271…63abbacked Nuggets71c305.75$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.671250%6 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Suns28c304.99$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.3885542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.