TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Devils vs. Flyers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Flyersof Devils, Flyers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,829
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,866

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,829 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc6f1…caf5backed Devils57c6,935$3,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,952.95450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90d8…22a9backed Flyers43c3,935$1,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,242.92100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+144.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Flyers71c3,414$2,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.692848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaade…afc8backed Flyers43c3,000$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,710475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+58.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7eaf…e782backed Devils13c1,925$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.752619.2%5 W · 21 L-4.2wins-0.16per pick35cpaid-47.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Flyers57c1,750$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75513241.7%55 W · 77 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+70.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2227…b572backed Devils57c1,747$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.563743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5550…5b4dbacked Devils58c1,730$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003850%19 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Flyers43c1,720$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971.8913756.2%77 W · 60 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Devils29c1,635$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.543,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x821d…0a01backed Devils56c1,635$916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.9721652.3%113 W · 103 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Flyers42c1,484$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.961,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Devils1c1,379$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7914949.7%74 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x61bb…e54bbacked Devils61c1,127$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+29.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Devils1c1,005$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.211,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbc5…ba19backed Devils57c999.94$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.972245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3219…4f05backed Flyers42c999.68$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.812763%17 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+21.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Devils58c934.81$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.9885148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5bbe…c65dbacked Devils53c799.34$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.651020%2 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Flyers44c680$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.879251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Flyers41c572.4$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.7231849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84b5…e9a2backed Devils59c537.37$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x87ef…2c77backed Devils59c512.49$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001040%4 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-33.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe858…8573backed Flyers43c500.93$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.53250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Flyers42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29097651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Flyers44c500$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.7272444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Flyers36c446.56$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.832331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Flyers58c444.36$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.8335545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Devils64c437.5$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28072448.3%350 W · 374 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Flyers42c399.94$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.966642.4%28 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfead…893ebacked Flyers43c395.35$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe06…d5d5backed Flyers47c372.34$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.343435.3%12 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Devils57c356.88$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.4275155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1417…26dabacked Devils35c355.6$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1262218.2%4 W · 18 L-3.8wins-0.17per pick36cpaid-50.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Devils4c353$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.57450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7327…151abacked Devils8c332.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.647532%24 W · 51 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick26cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Devils59c279.85$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.9438040.5%154 W · 226 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcefa…bef8backed Flyers44c272.73$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.736953.6%37 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Flyers43c271.98$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.3128542.1%120 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd89f…1d11backed Flyers65c260$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+44.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Flyers44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2722246.8%104 W · 118 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebc5…016cbacked Flyers44c227.23$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf7…a4fdbacked Flyers45c219.96$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.98250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Devils57c199.97$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.9850857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Flyers60c184.11$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.89553.7%51 W · 44 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe77f…4374backed Devils56c178.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x133b…415ebacked Devils57c175.4$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9820%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ae2…5bd4backed Devils57c175.4$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9830%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x73b8…aa92backed Devils25c160$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4018144.8%81 W · 100 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4e83…a4a0backed Flyers44c159.09$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.0910147.5%48 W · 53 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Flyers44c153.95$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.2160549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd3…f11cbacked Flyers44c150.88$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.721546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc25…d781backed Devils12c150$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+40.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1790…8674backed Flyers43c149.29$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.11136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-35.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Flyers42c148.28$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8638046.6%177 W · 203 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b6b…bfecbacked Flyers44c144.32$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.822161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x40d7…dd52backed Flyers44c142.78$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.961656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe851…d33bbacked Flyers43c140.37$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.01650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x034b…8bc0backed Flyers43c136.01$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.533452.9%18 W · 16 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+35.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x56a4…23bebacked Flyers44c132.46$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.18944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d2e…6bbbbacked Flyers38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Devils59c130$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.713361.7%82 W · 51 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb366…190ebacked Flyers44c129.41$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.473100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+97.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x102c…7bccbacked Devils58c129.31$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7550%0 W · 5 L-2.8wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf22a…1697backed Flyers42c128.56$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.979251.1%47 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda8a…9c0cbacked Devils56c126.79$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02fe…e8b4backed Devils57c125.11$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.312157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99e4…b659backed Devils58c123.8$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.81250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x518a…576bbacked Devils58c123.36$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.551850%9 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6e…2e6dbacked Devils58c123.05$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.371233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-45.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4169…eab3backed Flyers44c123.05$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.912556%14 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+17.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2ab…fc79backed Devils58c123.02$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.352458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefdf…b489backed Devils57c122.6$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.882356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2424…2751backed Devils58c122.55$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.73944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcae5…876dbacked Flyers43c122.42$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.782060%12 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc682…7c9ebacked Flyers43c119.84$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.252055%11 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ec…56f4backed Devils57c118.92$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.782263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c8d…bf79backed Devils58c117.83$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.342365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+28.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5eb9…ee09backed Flyers44c116.35$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.161464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+27.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2453…a614backed Devils58c115.93$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.241947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ca1…296abacked Devils58c114.04$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.6720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fe4…c6a2backed Flyers44c114.03$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.862055%11 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2235…d67fbacked Flyers44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.647062.9%44 W · 26 L+8.0wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+25.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5656…855fbacked Devils57c113.61$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.311637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9f70…2559backed Devils57c113.32$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5920%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa0c9…69c3backed Flyers46c112.54$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.77333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7526…fb52backed Flyers43c112.37$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.051136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick55cpaid-38.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf489…d482backed Devils58c112.16$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.052166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+25.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa771…12d9backed Devils58c110.92$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.33825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-48.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc6eb…3468backed Flyers43c109.7$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.09366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+38.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dbe…1ecdbacked Devils57c108.79$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.011560%9 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x706d…0f3cbacked Devils58c107.64$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.431942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x81fa…a849backed Flyers43c107.12$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee06…f8b1backed Devils60c106.17$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.73438.2%13 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Flyers44c102$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.1248149.3%237 W · 244 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f46…585fbacked Devils59c101.82$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-57.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2366…1078backed Devils59c100.84$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5945954.2%249 W · 210 L-1.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4606…9344backed Devils57c100.31$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-37.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x615e…b526backed Flyers43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x03b4…af9abacked Devils12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+36.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.