TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hornets vs. Hawks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hawksof Hornets, Hawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$208,624
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$213,568

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $208,624 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 241 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xafba…e61bbacked Hawks73c21,200$15,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,724.1847848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Hornets22c14,609$3,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,206.233931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3078…3e11backed Hawks75c11,308$8,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,805.7722049.1%108 W · 112 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Hornets27c10,668$2,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,887.343,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Hornets26c9,654$2,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,510.519152.4%100 W · 91 L+16.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+23%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Hornets1c9,511$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.958783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Hornets3c8,658$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.731,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Hawks78c8,098$6,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,801.2776249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b1…6f55backed Hawks74c6,757$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,756.7520238.6%78 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x674d…def3backed Hornets24c6,476$1,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,569.524731.9%15 W · 32 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Hornets26c6,000$1,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,542.121,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa75c…895ebacked Hawks74c5,734$4,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,510.57347.9%35 W · 38 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Hornets1c5,200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Hornets27c5,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3501,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Hornets0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103350%0 W · 335 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Hawks67c5,000$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,65029858.7%175 W · 123 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Hawks77c4,601$3,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.4625865.5%169 W · 89 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Hornets20c3,758$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.326431.8%84 W · 180 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Hornets30c2,992$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.7634532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Hornets27c2,748$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.921,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Hornets1c2,543$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.381,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2137…0677backed Hornets27c2,500$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6758219.5%16 W · 66 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x542b…4b76backed Hawks71c2,289$1,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.87633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-54.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Hawks74c2,107$1,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.7556945.3%258 W · 311 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1187…cb53backed Hornets22c2,064$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.089836.7%36 W · 62 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Hornets37c2,026$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.3138143%164 W · 217 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Hornets22c1,893$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.2688053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Hornets1c1,789$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.287502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Hornets26c1,614$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.55,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Hawks76c1,578$1,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.7396447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9dd…a1d9backed Hawks76c1,503$1,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.72875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+23.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28bc…e520backed Hornets24c1,500$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3601030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0712…f71bbacked Hawks76c1,444$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.739247.8%44 W · 48 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Hawks73c1,332$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.3262351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x502b…a1d5backed Hornets22c1,265$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.425039.6%99 W · 151 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Hornets26c1,225$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.1277745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Hornets27c1,195$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.751,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Hawks75c1,140$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.291,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Hornets27c1,111$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30093036.5%339 W · 591 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Hornets27c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27061345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Hornets13c934.17$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.1547229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x03cb…4bf9backed Hornets25c933.66$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.0826640.2%107 W · 159 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x128a…dc04backed Hornets27c925.93$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25017136.8%63 W · 108 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Hawks74c884.68$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.4750245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Hornets9c868.62$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.3770640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Hornets24c863.69$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.9285542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Hornets23c852$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.0673647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Hawks75c827$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.7557760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Hornets1c825$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.085502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb215…b819backed Hornets26c775.08$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026124.1%63 W · 198 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0d8…ea0bbacked Hornets25c749.43$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51dd…2f92backed Hawks76c743.04$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.3819944.7%89 W · 110 L-15.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Hornets27c741.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.1333752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe59…a131backed Hawks74c722.01$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.7215365.4%100 W · 53 L-0.2wins0.00per pick66cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39dc…8d05backed Hawks77c714.61$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.6114051.4%72 W · 68 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Hawks76c648.09$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.9220153.7%108 W · 93 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb26…94ddbacked Hornets11c637.93$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.0310018%18 W · 82 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick15cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Hornets25c634.82$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.8828347.7%135 W · 148 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dad…0668backed Hawks75c610.78$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.813450%17 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-23.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Hawks72c500.12$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.0429747.5%141 W · 156 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73cb…b0d0backed Hornets27c500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1357647.4%36 W · 40 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Hornets29c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14551037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Hawks75c499.99$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.573051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x298c…3e58backed Hornets27c499.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13523539.1%92 W · 143 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Hawks74c499.98$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.9945743.3%198 W · 259 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Hornets17c419.16$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7019535.4%69 W · 126 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0661…a72ebacked Hawks76c412.66$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.048469%58 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Hornets25c402.43$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10089353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40b3…6159backed Hawks76c399$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.762584%21 W · 4 L+5.1wins+0.20per pick64cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x224b…d105backed Hornets26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007169%49 W · 22 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xae29…2730backed Hornets25c372.44$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.113557.1%20 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadb9…2067backed Hornets27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012941.9%54 W · 75 L+10.0wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+38.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0b90…d768backed Hornets27c370.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Hornets27c363$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7787647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fe4…c6a2backed Hornets27c351.15$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.814062.5%25 W · 15 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d4b…c5d4backed Hornets27c350.52$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.644553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…b24ebacked Hornets29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016129.8%48 W · 113 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x032b…89b8backed Hornets26c340.38$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.124841.7%20 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Hornets17c336.49$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9836751.8%190 W · 177 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc358…0a36backed Hawks74c305.5$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Hornets29c304.62$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.3410836.1%39 W · 69 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Hawks75c300$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7572341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x644c…8f6bbacked Hawks78c288.52$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.665145.1%23 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38bc…c0a2backed Hawks75c268.01$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.012100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f8c…02fcbacked Hornets26c263.69$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.564348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27d2…a66cbacked Hawks77c259.07$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.0721450%107 W · 107 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Hawks79c245.71$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.861,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cd4…ce48backed Hawks75c241.41$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.54656.5%26 W · 20 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+25.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3596…2d3fbacked Hawks74c240.99$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.66580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde0f…b02fbacked Hawks77c240$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.4683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.36per pick47cpaid+87.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4bf8…86fcbacked Hawks75c239.67$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.923946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Hornets25c236.87$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3746131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Hawks74c234.36$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9323554.5%128 W · 107 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xab11…1350backed Hornets24c233.33$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5614642.5%62 W · 84 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacb5…eb0abacked Hawks77c230.39$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.084158.5%24 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ace…c22dbacked Hawks75c229.72$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.434065%26 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+20.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x25e0…c6c4backed Hawks75c215.45$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.864351.2%22 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10d7…93b4backed Hawks75c213.76$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.441384.6%11 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick75cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7804…7025backed Hornets27c209$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.435728.1%16 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36a6…52c7backed Hornets10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2031125.1%78 W · 233 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.