NHL · resolved market
Lightning vs. Hurricanes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b4d6b2ac276cfd77749b4383e6e7de850a413c89a9be9b8d8b32cbe576b30fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hurricanesof Lightning, Hurricanes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,395
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,596
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,395 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Lightning | 45c | 16,912$7,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,621.27 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Hurricanes | 56c | 9,556$5,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,251.34 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Hurricanes | 55c | 4,444$2,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.8 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Hurricanes | 55c | 4,288$2,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,929.68 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Lightning | 44c | 2,122$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.68 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Lightning | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Hurricanes | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Lightning | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Lightning | 25c | 1,836$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dd…a1d9backed Lightning | 45c | 1,502$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.9 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Hurricanes | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Hurricanes | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Lightning | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Lightning | 45c | 951.47$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.64 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Hurricanes | 65c | 870.25$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.53 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Lightning | 4c | 771.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Hurricanes | 55c | 749.98$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.49 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Hurricanes | 54c | 667.58$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.08 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…2a32backed Hurricanes | 69c | 645.16$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +8.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Lightning | 48c | 630.31$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Lightning | 46c | 608$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.52 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Hurricanes | 55c | 516.99$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.65 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Hurricanes | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Hurricanes | 64c | 486.79$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.44 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked Hurricanes | 54c | 486$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.56 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Hurricanes | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5656…855fbacked Lightning | 45c | 355.58$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.01 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaefb…8d0bbacked Hurricanes | 55c | 351.04$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.97 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Lightning | 44c | 344.62$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.52 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Hurricanes | 54c | 324.96$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.48 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +17.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5457…90d8backed Lightning | 47c | 317$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.99 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44bd…6e0cbacked Hurricanes | 53c | 317$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfe…c153backed Lightning | 46c | 301$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.46 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa33a…454abacked Hurricanes | 54c | 301$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Hurricanes | 53c | 284.75$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.02 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x768b…4ac3backed Hurricanes | 54c | 283$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.18 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa769…f52dbacked Lightning | 46c | 283$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.18 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4c…8efcbacked Lightning | 45c | 277$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.65 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.39per pick | 56cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd81c…c43abacked Hurricanes | 55c | 277$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.65 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Hurricanes | 52c | 270.43$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.81 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf8…86fcbacked Hurricanes | 56c | 269.16$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.43 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4022…46b6backed Hurricanes | 56c | 233.86$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.9 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c6…51b1backed Hurricanes | 56c | 218.63$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.2 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x159a…e9c2backed Hurricanes | 55c | 218$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.1 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…6045backed Lightning | 45c | 218$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.1 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Hurricanes | 61c | 213.91$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.11 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40ec…41a5backed Hurricanes | 55c | 199.69$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…3396backed Lightning | 45c | 199.54$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…6b67backed Lightning | 46c | 194.53$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.85 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -6.9wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4169…eab3backed Lightning | 46c | 186.57$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.82 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Hurricanes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Hurricanes | 55c | 180.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.32 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ce…7b13backed Hurricanes | 55c | 180$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x070e…ab83backed Lightning | 45c | 180$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Hurricanes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Hurricanes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7db…cdf3backed Hurricanes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Hurricanes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9a…8f02backed Lightning | 45c | 175.49$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.97 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +29%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Hurricanes | 54c | 169$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.33 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…01c6backed Lightning | 46c | 152.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Lightning | 46c | 152$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.88 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe32…5e5dbacked Lightning | 45c | 145$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb97b…929dbacked Hurricanes | 55c | 145$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e0…7341backed Lightning | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e83…9084backed Lightning | 46c | 118.76$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.63 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef9c…5dfbbacked Lightning | 47c | 114.07$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd8…21ccbacked Lightning | 47c | 111$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x278b…aa19backed Hurricanes | 53c | 111$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.17 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85e…b18fbacked Lightning | 46c | 109.8$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8c…02fcbacked Lightning | 46c | 109.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.28 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46ef…7ecbbacked Lightning | 46c | 109.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc9…2c38backed Lightning | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 32cpaid | -90.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4792…db6cbacked Lightning | 46c | 105.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3217…2dcebacked Lightning | 46c | 102.35$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.08 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Lightning | 47c | 102.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…fd3ebacked Lightning | 46c | 100.43$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Lightning | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Hurricanes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…df2abacked Lightning | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Hurricanes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe08d…d5d4backed Hurricanes | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Hurricanes | 55c | 99.98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed Lightning | 45c | 98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b88…bbd7backed Hurricanes | 55c | 93.15$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b8…f042backed Hurricanes | 55c | 91.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.16 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b70…3f14backed Hurricanes | 55c | 90.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff2…c1bfbacked Hurricanes | 55c | 89.02$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.06 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f57…0e64backed Hurricanes | 55c | 88.89$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a6…b0d4backed Lightning | 46c | 88.85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee8d…b437backed Hurricanes | 55c | 88.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.94 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73ec…b4cfbacked Lightning | 46c | 87.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +57%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…19c1backed Lightning | 46c | 87.57$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfff1…ee9fbacked Hurricanes | 55c | 84.87$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.19 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21a8…0f02backed Hurricanes | 54c | 83.33$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ca…50c3backed Lightning | 46c | 81.13$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.32 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Hurricanes | 54c | 79.44$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.51 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce19…08a6backed Hurricanes | 56c | 78.25$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.43 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…b50ebacked Hurricanes | 53c | 76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8651…8922backed Lightning | 47c | 76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.