NHL · resolved market
Blues vs. Ducks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8d7d80df2a7826e3b6287bccce6af1de803a23c92ae61bca800fe8020bfe687
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bluesof Blues, Ducks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,776
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,811
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,776 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Ducks | 26c | 4,329$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…3399backed Ducks | 42c | 4,261$1,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,789.63 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c5…71ccbacked Ducks | 42c | 3,662$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3d…50f3backed Ducks | 42c | 3,547$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ca…ec71backed Blues | 58c | 2,636$1,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Ducks | 19c | 2,536$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.31 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd94c…79acbacked Blues | 58c | 2,496$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Blues | 77c | 2,211$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.97 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a86…9f6cbacked Blues | 58c | 2,082$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9718…fa5dbacked Blues | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 61cpaid | +35%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb703…6f88backed Ducks | 41c | 1,498$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.18 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blues | 63c | 1,423$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.54 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Ducks | 41c | 1,155$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.6 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Ducks | 38c | 1,059$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.43 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Ducks | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Ducks | 6c | 950.27$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.67 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Blues | 57c | 943.97$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.83 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Blues | 58c | 838.03$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.61 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Blues | 58c | 794.8$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.82 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Blues | 62c | 645.16$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.16 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Ducks | 20c | 564.8$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.38 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Blues | 57c | 533.9$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.58 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Blues | 58c | 507.97$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.35 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Blues | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e5…d052backed Ducks | 43c | 493.02$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b9…488ebacked Ducks | 43c | 466.28$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Ducks | 44c | 454.31$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Ducks | 40c | 437.92$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.3 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Ducks | 39c | 432.45$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.4 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Ducks | 43c | 347.94$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd583…cbddbacked Blues | 60c | 335$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd065…92e8backed Blues | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd97e…a81ebacked Ducks | 42c | 313.37$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.75 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa62a…7f90backed Blues | 60c | 312.82$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e82…6060backed Ducks | 43c | 295.16$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.92 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Blues | 60c | 294.15$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.66 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0858…bde0backed Ducks | 43c | 280.03$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3217…2dcebacked Ducks | 43c | 259.7$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.67 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Ducks | 9c | 256.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Ducks | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7a…34ebbacked Ducks | 42c | 234.71$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.58 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x291f…dc62backed Blues | 60c | 233.33$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.7 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc682…7c9ebacked Ducks | 42c | 232.26$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.47 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…b01abacked Blues | 58c | 229.26$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.29 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6a…672bbacked Blues | 59c | 218.56$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85bc…5c35backed Blues | 60c | 216.83$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.73 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Blues | 62c | 215.82$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.01 | 212 | 55.7%118 W · 94 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…a614backed Blues | 60c | 210.38$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.15 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b23…e7ccbacked Blues | 60c | 208.92$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.72 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +38%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Ducks | 9c | 208.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6b…bfecbacked Blues | 58c | 202.87$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.21 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Blues | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Ducks | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98fd…fbb2backed Ducks | 43c | 192.56$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e87…a5b0backed Blues | 59c | 186.22$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.35 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5980…a3e6backed Blues | 60c | 173.25$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…f4d8backed Blues | 59c | 158.81$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…d96fbacked Ducks | 43c | 157.79$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.85 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a75…b874backed Ducks | 42c | 157.14$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Ducks | 42c | 156.09$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.56 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…fce0backed Blues | 59c | 146.78$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b5…91b2backed Blues | 59c | 146.61$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x143b…b2b4backed Blues | 59c | 145.56$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.68 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1790…8674backed Ducks | 43c | 145.44$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.54 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a63…9203backed Ducks | 42c | 145.24$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcae5…876dbacked Blues | 60c | 143.05$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.22 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…50a5backed Ducks | 43c | 142.09$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5656…855fbacked Blues | 58c | 140.36$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.95 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4da…428ebacked Ducks | 43c | 140.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Ducks | 40c | 137.5$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 380 | 40.5%154 W · 226 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0717…cda4backed Ducks | 43c | 137.44$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b6…ddd5backed Ducks | 43c | 137.19$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…d471backed Ducks | 42c | 135.12$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.75 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6d…72eabacked Ducks | 43c | 130.77$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6294…2958backed Ducks | 42c | 129.14$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.81 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…80dabacked Blues | 59c | 125.03$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.26 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf426…152fbacked Ducks | 42c | 124.76$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Ducks | 40c | 121.21$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23e0…adc0backed Ducks | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +32%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Ducks | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa761…990ebacked Ducks | 42c | 113.19$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ca…b65abacked Blues | 59c | 108.47$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x905b…e39fbacked Ducks | 42c | 107.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93e…af9cbacked Blues | 78c | 106.19$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa1…0c4bbacked Blues | 20c | 105$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe215…08a7backed Ducks | 80c | 105$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd1…639bbacked Ducks | 43c | 103.51$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ea…c5babacked Blues | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Ducks | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Blues | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Blues | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd10a…91e9backed Blues | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 260 | 59.6%155 W · 105 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Blues | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Blues | 58c | 99.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed Blues | 57c | 99.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x850f…0e16backed Ducks | 43c | 97.84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.07 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…7f60backed Blues | 59c | 94.58$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc503…b53cbacked Ducks | 42c | 94.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Ducks | 27c | 83.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 417 | 57.3%239 W · 178 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…1282backed Ducks | 42c | 82.02$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.