NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Celtics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcedc503dc75e5e28f9cf7366414f3ca4f69abaec473948d181a7c7742707de9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Lakers, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $610,953
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $562,136
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $610,953 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 828 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x011f…1122backed Lakers | 10c | 69,499$6,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,761.33 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked Lakers | 33c | 55,023$18,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,116.1 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Celtics | 67c | 29,733$20,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,730.28 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6094…3bd9backed Lakers | 30c | 22,084$6,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,735.31 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | +8.8wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Celtics | 70c | 19,353$13,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,834.76 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Celtics | 71c | 16,230$11,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,706.67 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Celtics | 67c | 15,000$10,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,950 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd6…3b62backed Lakers | 30c | 15,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.99 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Lakers | 9c | 14,873$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.46 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Celtics | 68c | 13,893$9,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,445.74 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4c…685dbacked Lakers | 13c | 11,526$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0e…78ddbacked Celtics | 70c | 11,406$7,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,422.42 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Celtics | 68c | 10,699$7,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,429.05 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Lakers | 33c | 10,000$3,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,250 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Lakers | 31c | 9,827$3,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,004.47 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…ae33backed Lakers | 29c | 8,888$2,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,577.52 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Celtics | 70c | 7,200$5,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,184.88 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80a5…f9babacked Celtics | 61c | 7,132$4,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,773.02 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Lakers | 9c | 5,583$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.99 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Lakers | 6c | 5,452$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 345 | 24.3%84 W · 261 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f3…db29backed Lakers | 0c | 5,200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ee…bf85backed Lakers | 13c | 5,198$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678 | 200 | 31%62 W · 138 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Lakers | 12c | 4,692$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.55 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…0e8ebacked Lakers | 5c | 4,402$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.76 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Celtics | 67c | 4,345$2,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.71 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Lakers | 1c | 4,000$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…dee1backed Lakers | 34c | 3,926$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.76 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Celtics | 77c | 3,684$2,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.53 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Celtics | 69c | 3,628$2,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.26 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Lakers | 5c | 3,580$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.38 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffd…d225backed Lakers | 4c | 3,456$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…b899backed Lakers | 30c | 3,453$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036 | 61 | 21.3%13 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b0…5be0backed Lakers | 30c | 3,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938c…d5e5backed Lakers | 34c | 3,270$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.8 | 152 | 37.5%57 W · 95 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Celtics | 67c | 3,248$2,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.82 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc167…4056backed Lakers | 13c | 3,183$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.35 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Lakers | 32c | 3,140$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.23 | 178 | 38.2%68 W · 110 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Celtics | 68c | 3,137$2,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.27 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69d4…6775backed Lakers | 33c | 2,832$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.61 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Lakers | 2c | 2,754$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.14 | 424 | 34.4%146 W · 278 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Celtics | 68c | 2,518$1,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.31 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…c96dbacked Lakers | 4c | 2,502$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 243 | 29.6%72 W · 171 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Celtics | 68c | 2,500$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.99 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Lakers | 30c | 2,418$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.55 | 139 | 29.5%41 W · 98 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7704…d9ddbacked Lakers | 13c | 2,388$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Lakers | 34c | 2,353$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…76fabacked Celtics | 67c | 2,280$1,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.84 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Celtics | 72c | 2,222$1,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.94 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Lakers | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Lakers | 1c | 2,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Celtics | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Lakers | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Lakers | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Lakers | 31c | 1,776$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Celtics | 70c | 1,714$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.29 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…3843backed Lakers | 30c | 1,710$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.13 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Celtics | 70c | 1,693$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.86 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bce…c476backed Lakers | 30c | 1,691$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.05 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Lakers | 12c | 1,679$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.58 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…a131backed Celtics | 68c | 1,597$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.99 | 153 | 65.4%100 W · 53 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Lakers | 28c | 1,565$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.73 | 250 | 39.6%99 W · 151 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…3bd3backed Lakers | 16c | 1,563$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa112…d215backed Celtics | 59c | 1,553$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Celtics | 67c | 1,500$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.99 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…415ebacked Lakers | 30c | 1,493$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.9 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed Lakers | 34c | 1,471$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0dacbacked Lakers | 34c | 1,471$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Lakers | 20c | 1,400$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.2 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b4…5aabbacked Lakers | 43c | 1,395$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 173 | 63.6%110 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Lakers | 30c | 1,333$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bf…c049backed Lakers | 6c | 1,330$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Lakers | 40c | 1,275$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.76 | 208 | 51.4%107 W · 101 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x665a…174ebacked Lakers | 30c | 1,233$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.01 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Lakers | 34c | 1,228$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.4 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Celtics | 69c | 1,224$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.58 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae1e…d204backed Celtics | 70c | 1,221$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.44 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f72…4d8ebacked Lakers | 8c | 1,206$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.05 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe06…d5d5backed Celtics | 69c | 1,206$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.95 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75a2…19e3backed Lakers | 34c | 1,158$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Celtics | 69c | 1,135$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.65 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Celtics | 69c | 1,118$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.27 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Celtics | 60c | 1,086$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.04 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a4…abc9backed Lakers | 29c | 1,043$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.35 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Lakers | 25c | 1,023$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.28 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a93…ecf9backed Lakers | 32c | 1,018$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.73 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Celtics | 69c | 1,010$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.19 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked Celtics | 67c | 1,001$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.02 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Lakers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Lakers | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…26b1backed Celtics | 70c | 999.97$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.99 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Lakers | 29c | 999.92$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.98 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecb…f73abacked Lakers | 30c | 992.98$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.89 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Celtics | 70c | 988.94$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.45 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Lakers | 16c | 975.41$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.79 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Lakers | 15c | 960$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.44 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Celtics | 67c | 909.93$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.57 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Celtics | 69c | 852.7$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.34 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa0…e7cfbacked Celtics | 73c | 825.36$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.9 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b5…8833backed Celtics | 69c | 823.99$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.44 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Lakers | 30c | 821.74$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.26 | 230 | 48.3%111 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.