TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Wizards

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Wizardsof Jazz, Wizards
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$280,820
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$310,456

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $280,820 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 557 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ff0…46e3backed Jazz31c64,273$19,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,697.5447656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Wizards71c20,203$14,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,823.8133931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Wizards65c14,079$9,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,915.591,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Wizards75c11,466$8,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,854.7896447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…3e11backed Wizards74c11,379$8,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,931.1822049.1%108 W · 112 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Wizards71c10,005$7,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,888.2634532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e98…d619backed Jazz36c7,241$2,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,606.920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b1…6f55backed Jazz37c6,730$2,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,488.3520238.6%78 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x405c…0b11backed Jazz36c6,641$2,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,390.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Jazz31c5,618$1,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,717.480146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xded0…66f3backed Wizards64c5,501$3,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,980.47250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Wizards77c4,595$3,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.2861345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc034…55f9backed Wizards64c3,706$2,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,334.112100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick62cpaid+62.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8a2…f604backed Wizards64c3,635$2,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,308.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick62cpaid+62.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Jazz28c3,548$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.515,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz37c3,000$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1101,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0712…f71bbacked Jazz37c2,304$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8509247.8%44 W · 48 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Wizards64c2,000$1,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.281,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Wizards73c1,994$1,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.553,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06ab…6bc2backed Wizards65c1,856$1,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed Wizards79c1,804$1,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.4319451.5%100 W · 94 L-17.8wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-17.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Wizards63c1,773$1,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65673051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Wizards70c1,745$1,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.4988053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Wizards71c1,695$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.3950047.2%236 W · 264 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Jazz35c1,499$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.6129747.5%141 W · 156 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Jazz8c1,473$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.641,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Wizards65c1,430$929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.530351.8%157 W · 146 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Wizards64c1,309$838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.1933752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7096…e019backed Jazz2c1,300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030061.7%185 W · 115 L+23.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+25.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Jazz36c1,290$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.351037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x133b…415ebacked Jazz36c1,276$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.35933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-24.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb37c…164ebacked Wizards64c1,260$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.61040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9244…b955backed Jazz36c1,250$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.99862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+6.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3ae2…5bd4backed Wizards64c1,245$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+95.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Jazz27c1,030$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.4916919.5%33 W · 136 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-27.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73f0…3d28backed Jazz31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31036434.9%127 W · 237 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed Jazz36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36032130.2%97 W · 224 L-0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac26…8546backed Wizards70c982$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.17250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Jazz16c945.31$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15034524.3%84 W · 261 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4688…a6b7backed Jazz24c817.79$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.621136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39dc…8d05backed Jazz37c810.81$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30014051.4%72 W · 68 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Wizards63c667$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.7957760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b6a…3eedbacked Jazz31c644.38$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20027735.4%98 W · 179 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d6f…000ebacked Jazz37c636.56$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd277…2811backed Jazz37c622.54$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xed3b…2cf9backed Jazz37c619.42$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x793e…ca03backed Wizards64c572.62$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.143100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb215…b819backed Jazz37c543.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026124.1%63 W · 198 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Wizards73c529.73$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.541,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Wizards64c504.4$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.5963555.6%353 W · 282 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Wizards64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1801,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94eb…37e6backed Wizards74c499.99$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1305156.9%29 W · 22 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-16.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1990…e954backed Wizards63c473.36$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.363119.4%6 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-36.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7feb…ef2ebacked Wizards64c464.87$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.352100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+178.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Jazz34c464.75$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.011,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Wizards64c437.5$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.520851.4%107 W · 101 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Wizards76c423.01$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.2947229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Jazz21c399.99$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8431935.1%112 W · 207 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Jazz35c399.99$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.5985542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Jazz37c399.99$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14693041.9%390 W · 540 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe59…a131backed Wizards63c399.96$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.9915365.4%100 W · 53 L-0.2wins0.00per pick66cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7685…482cbacked Wizards78c366.16$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.8922950.7%116 W · 113 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed Wizards73c359.23$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.8836747.7%175 W · 192 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa67…0ef4backed Jazz14c350$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.78016.3%13 W · 67 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-27.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf9f…1dd3backed Jazz37c345.49$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.831931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Jazz35c344.67$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.6345743.3%198 W · 259 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Wizards73c313.4$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.2439843.5%173 W · 225 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed Wizards64c300$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10824855.6%138 W · 110 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb26…94ddbacked Jazz23c300$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6910018%18 W · 82 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick15cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fca…a099backed Jazz5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15387.9%3 W · 35 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-83.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Jazz37c300$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11130641.8%128 W · 178 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c57…7ccebacked Jazz17c300$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Wizards77c283.47$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.6370640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Jazz13c283.43$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7525016.8%42 W · 208 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4cd3…9642backed Jazz36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030354.1%164 W · 139 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8bf…c049backed Jazz36c277.43$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006848.5%33 W · 35 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa761…990ebacked Jazz37c277.35$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.393971.8%28 W · 11 L+7.4wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+34.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Jazz23c270.63$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.51,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Jazz37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10089353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe76e…ae69backed Jazz37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Jazz37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33fe…0cccbacked Jazz37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009827.6%27 W · 71 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa500…31febacked Wizards77c259.95$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.952665.4%17 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick72cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7054…6d9bbacked Jazz37c252.51$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.432138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-33.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8adc…7a1bbacked Jazz37c250$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.516928.4%48 W · 121 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1872…ae0fbacked Jazz37c250$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.56758.2%39 W · 28 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e4…0ee5backed Wizards65c246.15$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1528651.4%147 W · 139 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9476…10dcbacked Wizards50c246$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1231100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Jazz11c241.86$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.728783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Wizards65c236.4$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.2527546.9%129 W · 146 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Jazz42c236.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4238027.1%103 W · 277 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5de…8ed4backed Wizards65c235.68$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.194643.5%20 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x824e…a9b6backed Wizards65c228.55$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.084949%24 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Jazz36c228$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.0877745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49b2…ffd0backed Jazz10c220$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2215613.5%21 W · 135 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c7a…34ebbacked Jazz37c215.19$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.624254.8%23 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5656…855fbacked Wizards65c212.42$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.354261.9%26 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x85bc…5c35backed Wizards64c211.72$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.443174.2%23 W · 8 L+7.4wins+0.24per pick50cpaid+57.3%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x52b3…e5a9backed Jazz37c206.35$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.354443.2%19 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x77a9…81fdbacked Wizards64c200.05$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.02728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-44.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.