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NBA · resolved market

Bucks vs. Mavericks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bucksof Bucks, Mavericks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$250,933
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$269,323

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $250,933 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 445 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ff0…46e3backed Bucks44c47,834$20,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,922.1247656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…3e11backed Mavericks57c35,073$19,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,978.9822049.1%108 W · 112 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Mavericks42c19,873$8,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,260.7728241.1%116 W · 166 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Bucks58c13,073$7,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,531.4213560.7%82 W · 53 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe626…2fe6backed Bucks61c12,328$7,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,860.179572.6%69 W · 26 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Mavericks54c10,968$5,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,965.533931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Bucks59c10,000$5,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,1001,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Mavericks16c7,672$1,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224.3834532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcbed…aa02backed Mavericks1c6,214$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9322721.6%49 W · 178 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Mavericks39c6,000$2,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,340.661,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Mavericks36c5,333$1,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,930.83,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Mavericks42c3,812$1,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,597.0412540%50 W · 75 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x873c…ac48backed Mavericks40c3,603$1,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,441.1125833.7%87 W · 171 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88db…3843backed Bucks60c3,500$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,40017546.3%81 W · 94 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb928…5fd7backed Bucks60c3,000$1,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,190.467451.4%38 W · 36 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x938c…d5e5backed Mavericks43c2,778$1,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,194.5415237.5%57 W · 95 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Mavericks0c2,431$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.021,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb033…bedbbacked Mavericks18c2,300$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.8710058%58 W · 42 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Mavericks1c2,300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Mavericks40c2,184$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.7896447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Bucks46c2,173$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.0434524.3%84 W · 261 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5327…3b80backed Bucks58c2,048$1,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.289744.3%43 W · 54 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Bucks60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80036843.8%161 W · 207 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Mavericks40c2,000$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.9873051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85c7…1db7backed Bucks60c1,833$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.311060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-8.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2edf…8475backed Mavericks41c1,830$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.981070%7 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick45cpaid+68.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Mavericks39c1,782$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.9430440.5%123 W · 181 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mavericks41c1,750$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.52,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Mavericks42c1,732$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.2633752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdafc…dbadbacked Mavericks17c1,679$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2809131.9%29 W · 62 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-28.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0712…f71bbacked Bucks60c1,666$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.49247.8%44 W · 48 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Mavericks1c1,615$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2834425.6%88 W · 256 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5faf…a1d1backed Mavericks3c1,520$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403933.3%13 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7678…102ebacked Bucks60c1,500$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6001266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3890…39e3backed Mavericks40c1,497$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.8633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-42.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ae7…4602backed Bucks60c1,490$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.71973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.8wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+28.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Bucks71c1,378$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.5670640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Bucks59c1,332$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.6961851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Mavericks3c1,300$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0753…25b2backed Mavericks3c1,259$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326021.7%13 W · 47 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5444…26b1backed Mavericks41c1,200$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.982352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x68d2…92c8backed Bucks58c1,200$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.965954.2%32 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Bucks71c1,132$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.985,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d80…219abacked Bucks48c1,106$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.257851.3%40 W · 38 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Bucks57c1,068$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.331,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7103…b192backed Bucks62c1,050$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4006841.2%28 W · 40 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed Mavericks40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40032130.2%97 W · 224 L-0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf92…4bfdbacked Mavericks42c995$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.96051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Mavericks41c952$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.5877745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Mavericks40c935$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37456945.3%258 W · 311 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2b2…66d8backed Mavericks58c882.73$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.575660.7%34 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Mavericks40c869.5$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.1720153.7%108 W · 93 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ecd…a578backed Mavericks43c822$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.4623135.1%81 W · 150 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked Mavericks39c770$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.318354.1%99 W · 84 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6094…3bd9backed Bucks58c767.12$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.198536.5%31 W · 54 L+8.8wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+61.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x28e0…d720backed Bucks61c742.62$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.62520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-67.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c18…1760backed Mavericks40c742.5$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+51%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Bucks66c735.53$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.8888053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x898b…8d76backed Bucks57c710.9$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.917943.6%78 W · 101 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Mavericks43c704.99$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.7385542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Bucks45c700$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38528347.7%135 W · 148 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5342…f7e2backed Bucks61c680$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a6b…bfacbacked Bucks59c677.97$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.972157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcd9…2b9fbacked Bucks61c650$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Mavericks40c641.98$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.2587647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39dc…8d05backed Bucks59c508.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.4714051.4%72 W · 68 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb215…b819backed Mavericks41c487.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026124.1%63 W · 198 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Mavericks41c482$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.6257760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ce8…3bd3backed Bucks57c438.6$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.63250%16 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Bucks58c431.03$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.0338942.9%167 W · 222 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Mavericks44c427.28$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.591,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed Bucks58c400$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16824855.6%138 W · 110 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1385…7097backed Bucks45c400$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2203324.2%8 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Mavericks45c395.92$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.3536751.8%190 W · 177 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Bucks60c380$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15256348.5%273 W · 290 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6710…00c9backed Mavericks55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006251.6%32 W · 30 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Bucks55c359.04$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.5716563.6%105 W · 60 L+12.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7110…a11fbacked Mavericks40c345$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45fc…c68cbacked Mavericks41c340$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa752…72a3backed Mavericks40c338$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Mavericks4c333.77$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1237011.4%42 W · 328 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…d96fbacked Mavericks42c329.34$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.223554.3%19 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0614…1ebdbacked Mavericks40c320$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb297…24f0backed Mavericks42c312.59$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.573560%21 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9263…1999backed Mavericks7c308.89$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.991088.3%9 W · 99 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-25.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Bucks59c299.98$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.9929747.5%141 W · 156 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Mavericks40c299.97$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.9972341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4388…9ce4backed Bucks61c291.87$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.0519952.3%104 W · 95 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf56d…a6bebacked Mavericks40c278.61$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.234245.2%19 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ffd…d225backed Mavericks15c271.35$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4013043.8%57 W · 73 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Bucks59c271.19$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.1928949.1%142 W · 147 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x518a…576bbacked Mavericks40c260.95$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.384748.9%23 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Mavericks42c260.17$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.271,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d7f…5ddfbacked Mavericks44c259.44$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a34…18d0backed Mavericks44c259.09$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11420%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5980…a3e6backed Mavericks40c259.02$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.953941%16 W · 23 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6dbe…1ecdbacked Mavericks42c258.81$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.264854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1708…3db9backed Mavericks43c258.14$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11120%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3217…2dcebacked Mavericks40c257.28$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.913565.7%23 W · 12 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+28.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcc6…f8dfbacked Mavericks44c256.82$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11320%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.