Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal win on 2025-02-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3128bce2cfd79336e681810618a1d14e94d336e6917413e17b3ff3e75b61faa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,248
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,892
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,248 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 244 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc001…d003backed No | 51c | 19,800$10,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,607 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…bc74backed Yes | 48c | 9,500$4,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,560 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +62%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c00…003abacked Yes | 49c | 5,800$2,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,842 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…68a8backed Yes | 49c | 5,317$2,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,597.82 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 48c | 4,977$2,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,411.61 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed No | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.96 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed No | 60c | 3,562$2,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.84 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed No | 49c | 3,472$1,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770.65 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee15…b6dbbacked Yes | 49c | 3,400$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 51c | 2,833$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,391.09 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.95 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…e4a7backed Yes | 50c | 1,950$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 48c | 1,602$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.51 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked No | 51c | 1,455$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.74 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 52c | 1,179$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.77 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 49c | 1,141$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd228…997bbacked Yes | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 51c | 1,088$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4289…3df1backed Yes | 48c | 990.5$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 47c | 903.86$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.81 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d9…3bf4backed No | 51c | 858.98$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a93…583fbacked Yes | 50c | 812.5$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 36c | 694.44$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 37c | 675.68$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Yes | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83dd…fe0fbacked Yes | 52c | 575.91$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 52c | 522.92$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251 | 147 | 32.7%48 W · 99 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eba…217ebacked Yes | 42c | 504.02$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.44 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Yes | 48c | 499.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b7…bde1backed Yes | 51c | 476.96$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.25 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed No | 51c | 430.76$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.07 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d4…9f1abacked Yes | 35c | 410.74$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Yes | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…a7cfbacked Yes | 48c | 403$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +119.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes | 57c | 353.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 45c | 353.07$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.44 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe060…fda8backed No | 50c | 347.76$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.88 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 40c | 332.82$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.12 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66e…3430backed Yes | 48c | 318.75$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…af8cbacked Yes | 51c | 309.76$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.98 | 88 | 25%22 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7532…f9f3backed Yes | 57c | 299.99$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.99 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x048a…eb07backed Yes | 51c | 298.04$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c9…8beabacked No | 51c | 296.53$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.75 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8421…37d7backed Yes | 51c | 270.82$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5161…771ebacked Yes | 49c | 253.31$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf56d…a6bebacked No | 53c | 250.04$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda8a…9c0cbacked Yes | 49c | 247.82$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6984…1b67backed No | 52c | 243.84$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcae5…876dbacked Yes | 50c | 231.93$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9489…0c10backed No | 51c | 228.77$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 47c | 227$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.99 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x291f…dc62backed No | 53c | 219.21$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4407…8f2bbacked Yes | 51c | 215.69$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e07…480abacked Yes | 56c | 214.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes | 56c | 210.74$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c6…51b1backed Yes | 49c | 207.71$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…0e8abacked Yes | 48c | 207.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff7e…697fbacked No | 52c | 203.31$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01f9…d2a7backed Yes | 50c | 202.88$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 44c | 200.33$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.61 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9730…4504backed Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…1219backed Yes | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49dc…9830backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc89f…5ea7backed No | 53c | 192.06$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ce…b4e3backed Yes | 49c | 184.92$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 47c | 183.02$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.02 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes | 48c | 181.63$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4e…b5efbacked Yes | 49c | 180.2$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a7…6a2abacked Yes | 50c | 180$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf061…2572backed No | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4022…46b6backed No | 53c | 178.32$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +122.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17aa…cb3dbacked Yes | 52c | 170.25$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5656…855fbacked Yes | 48c | 169.17$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…a614backed No | 52c | 168.92$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4092…eb69backed No | 51c | 168.53$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae29…2730backed No | 52c | 165.92$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2563…b813backed No | 53c | 164.96$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x034b…8bc0backed No | 51c | 163.01$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.87 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d80…219abacked Yes | 44c | 154.55$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.26per pick | 57cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ab…ec05backed Yes | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe155…3b5fbacked Yes | 49c | 152.81$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked No | 50c | 147.35$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.67 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…a6e7backed Yes | 50c | 142.49$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 56c | 141.67$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.92 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5f…1dc6backed Yes | 50c | 140.82$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4345…77fabacked Yes | 49c | 139.87$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.98 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb9…ee09backed Yes | 48c | 126.69$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…4e59backed Yes | 48c | 126.48$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef9…aa70backed Yes | 51c | 124.27$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…f2afbacked Yes | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf892…c25abacked No | 52c | 119.71$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3217…2dcebacked No | 53c | 118.89$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…d96fbacked No | 53c | 118.43$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed33…5173backed No | 52c | 118$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal win on 2025-02-26?this page
- Will Nottingham Forest vs. Arsenal end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-02-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.