TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-02-26?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,566
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$68,636

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,566 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x73cb…b0d0backed No76c31,608$24,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,569.842653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5303…d66ebacked Yes24c17,025$4,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,085.935641.1%23 W · 33 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes24c8,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,92017234.3%59 W · 113 L+0.5wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes24c8,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,92068026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes23c6,601$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5009235.9%33 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No75c4,746$3,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,171.8379650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked No77c4,126$3,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964.959754.6%53 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes25c2,500$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62541437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes25c1,897$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.3844939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No76c1,680$1,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.1283459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No75c1,500$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37516660.8%101 W · 65 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d86…f0bbbacked No76c1,024$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.98785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick64cpaid+21.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14034643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2e7…35b1backed Yes24c833.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006944.9%31 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb826…8d67backed Yes25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006137.7%23 W · 38 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No76c716.35$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.7981559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked No78c600.01$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.1317837.6%67 W · 111 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No76c500$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12079639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Yes23c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1155536.4%20 W · 35 L-0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b14…d18cbacked Yes21c445.21$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.495633.9%19 W · 37 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013336.1%48 W · 85 L-12.7wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-27.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x78a5…50b7backed Yes25c420$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick30cpaid-63.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No77c411.75$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.738645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011342.5%48 W · 65 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes25c393.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006327%17 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Yes23c354.99$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.0940135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5baa…ecb0backed Yes25c346$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Yes23c300$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6911761.5%72 W · 45 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc8bf…c049backed Yes21c285.71$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604346.5%20 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf442…ccf8backed No75c246.22$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.595345.3%24 W · 29 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes25c240$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6032737.6%123 W · 204 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Yes22c227.73$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505829.3%17 W · 41 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-38.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes23c219.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012053.3%64 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No79c209.98$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.117745.8%81 W · 96 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4406…4b19backed Yes24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick37cpaid+36.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2453…28e2backed Yes24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025637.9%97 W · 159 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cc…a23abacked No75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507651.3%39 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9730…4504backed Yes24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+52.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b4b…513bbacked Yes26c188.46$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Yes22c171.04$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3726054.2%141 W · 119 L+1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b9f…e857backed No75c170$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed Yes23c165$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.616854.4%37 W · 31 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-20.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x90ba…8c56backed Yes18c155$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.91435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-36.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0229…c95cbacked No77c143.29$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.961361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes23c140$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.21,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d05…61b8backed Yes24c139$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27a0…8d50backed Yes24c133$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb42e…7f0abacked No76c112$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc64e…3cdbbacked Yes24c110$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266628.8%19 W · 47 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2340640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1666031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaedb…3de3backed Yes21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211030%3 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8219…f1fabacked Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255438.9%21 W · 33 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+25.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x596a…1219backed Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Yes24c99.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2414732%47 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6173…4258backed Yes23c99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.775026%13 W · 37 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-29%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc495…1cb0backed Yes24c98$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes23c95.35$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9329238.4%112 W · 180 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb5b…69ebbacked Yes21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014441%59 W · 85 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdd4…7696backed Yes24c88.8$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.514643.2%63 W · 83 L-0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea5b…33b0backed Yes24c88$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41e1…9447backed Yes22c87.91$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.14250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4424…88a8backed Yes23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…c101backed Yes24c86$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c41…5cd2backed Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+55.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd121…54c7backed Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78c2…8316backed Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204854.2%26 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3390…95d6backed Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201450%7 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd81…f9edbacked Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+28.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5070…e12abacked Yes25c78.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x931b…b0acbacked Yes24c78$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3558…dd13backed Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No76c76$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4659958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked No76c71$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0412357.7%71 W · 52 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7d2…f555backed No76c70$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.818260.4%110 W · 72 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200e…e239backed Yes24c68$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.32540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-38%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No76c66$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1265557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd318…405dbacked No76c63$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fec…70f9backed Yes25c62.28$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.571741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x841f…7492backed No75c61$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb943…30a6backed Yes25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Yes24c60$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.415726.8%42 W · 115 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Yes23c59.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.818752.9%99 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x887e…4b12backed Yes17c59$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.03250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x259c…1766backed No76c59$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.162100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10f2…3d1abacked No76c58$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.922100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick71cpaid+42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ff2…1c10backed Yes22c55.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.215949.2%29 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5926…a33fbacked No75c55$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.752100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick74cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25eb…8ce7backed Yes22c54.83$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0617447.7%83 W · 91 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdced…daeabacked Yes24c49$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e9a…6e2dbacked Yes25c47$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x082b…5e67backed No78c46.15$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.154261.9%26 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick70cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8fcb…627bbacked Yes25c45.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f74…8802backed No76c43$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bb9…fd64backed Yes25c42$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.51346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1019632.7%64 W · 132 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2936…07f5backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010932.1%35 W · 74 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d98…ea33backed No76c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe019…018bbacked Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108339.8%33 W · 50 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19c0…f027backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.