NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Mavericks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb422261b472c5857fefc06088edadd483e75b70e8dfab1438935224dbd376bb1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Suns, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $315,563
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $347,173
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $315,563 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 283 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Suns | 79c | 48,965$38,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,483.07 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Mavericks | 29c | 44,055$12,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,932.64 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a5…f9babacked Suns | 71c | 16,423$11,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,765.76 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mavericks | 20c | 15,514$3,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,075.7 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Mavericks | 31c | 14,284$4,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,371.75 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Suns | 68c | 11,713$7,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,805.59 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Mavericks | 31c | 11,376$3,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,497.79 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Suns | 77c | 10,902$8,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520.55 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Mavericks | 29c | 10,192$2,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,993.48 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Mavericks | 28c | 10,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.98 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…a9f2backed Suns | 71c | 7,956$5,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,268.78 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Suns | 71c | 7,800$5,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,285.57 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Mavericks | 28c | 7,017$1,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,964.66 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Suns | 71c | 6,902$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,001.57 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd12…7e35backed Suns | 73c | 5,977$4,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,613.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Suns | 68c | 4,756$3,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.67 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Suns | 73c | 4,678$3,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.49 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Mavericks | 15c | 4,565$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.78 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Suns | 73c | 4,089$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.4 | 68 | 73.5%50 W · 18 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Suns | 70c | 3,745$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.09 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Mavericks | 6c | 3,443$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.65 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Mavericks | 18c | 3,279$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.65 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…27cbbacked Mavericks | 28c | 3,175$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Mavericks | 28c | 2,807$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Suns | 73c | 2,756$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.09 | 849 | 57.6%489 W · 360 L | -52.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…f0c8backed Mavericks | 28c | 2,711$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Mavericks | 23c | 2,500$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.99 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Mavericks | 8c | 2,446$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.16 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3436…17c5backed Suns | 78c | 2,210$1,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.45 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Mavericks | 1c | 2,110$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Mavericks | 32c | 2,000$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…82cfbacked Mavericks | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Mavericks | 25c | 1,894$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.49 | 98 | 36.7%36 W · 62 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Mavericks | 29c | 1,841$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.99 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Mavericks | 26c | 1,676$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.64 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Mavericks | 29c | 1,635$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.08 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Suns | 72c | 1,580$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.23 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x207a…6fecbacked Suns | 72c | 1,555$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.65 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Mavericks | 1c | 1,526$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Mavericks | 26c | 1,496$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.99 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Mavericks | 3c | 1,485$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Mavericks | 4c | 1,437$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.47 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0712…f71bbacked Suns | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.35 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Suns | 73c | 1,345$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.15 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…3bd3backed Suns | 68c | 1,281$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.28 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Suns | 73c | 1,280$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.4 | 229 | 55.9%128 W · 101 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0560…d77dbacked Mavericks | 29c | 1,227$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.01 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Mavericks | 16c | 1,175$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.05 | 227 | 33%75 W · 152 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Mavericks | 27c | 1,124$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.59 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Mavericks | 27c | 1,096$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.94 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd71…c879backed Mavericks | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Mavericks | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Suns | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 248 | 55.6%138 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x400b…3160backed Mavericks | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Mavericks | 27c | 976.58$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.68 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Suns | 79c | 900$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Mavericks | 27c | 892.99$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.11 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Suns | 76c | 890$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214 | 384 | 64.3%247 W · 137 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Mavericks | 26c | 889.13$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.17 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Suns | 73c | 831.98$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Mavericks | 26c | 779.92$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.42 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Suns | 69c | 763.71$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.27 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -17.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Mavericks | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Mavericks | 27c | 722.77$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.15 | 139 | 29.5%41 W · 98 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Suns | 80c | 700$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Mavericks | 28c | 699.97$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.33 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Suns | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.93 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…8d05backed Suns | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.93 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…3843backed Mavericks | 29c | 680$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.2 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Mavericks | 30c | 670.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Mavericks | 30c | 621.57$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.47 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Suns | 73c | 600$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…8dbcbacked Mavericks | 27c | 575.11$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.28 | 294 | 50.3%148 W · 146 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Suns | 71c | 513.18$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.82 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d80…219abacked Suns | 70c | 506.74$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.74 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Mavericks | 32c | 500$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.86 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Mavericks | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 100 | 18%18 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mavericks | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed Mavericks | 20c | 499.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…c86dbacked Suns | 73c | 488.74$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.46 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Mavericks | 26c | 451.23$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.32 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…2f92backed Suns | 72c | 418.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.75 | 199 | 44.7%89 W · 110 L | -15.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Mavericks | 27c | 417.94$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.14 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6294…2958backed Mavericks | 28c | 405.32$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.49 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Suns | 72c | 401.57$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.44 | 280 | 58.2%163 W · 117 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Mavericks | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…a131backed Suns | 71c | 400$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 153 | 65.4%100 W · 53 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f8…4dc3backed Suns | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Mavericks | 26c | 365$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.9 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Mavericks | 28c | 347.19$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.43 | 367 | 51.8%190 W · 177 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mavericks | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Suns | 70c | 334$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.2 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdafc…dbadbacked Mavericks | 27c | 333.33$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…a614backed Mavericks | 27c | 324.7$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.67 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Mavericks | 29c | 309.69$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.81 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Mavericks | 27c | 304.16$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.14 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Suns | 72c | 302.99$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.73 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Suns | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf08…bfc7backed Suns | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Suns | 71c | 300$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.