NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Heat
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef38b7dcc006841f81b0550b241457500371e12c10eef222b98f71e7050aa899
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bullsof Bulls, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $258,906
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $270,539
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $258,906 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Bulls | 38c | 24,480$9,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,172.61 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Heat | 63c | 14,606$9,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,196.25 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bulls | 27c | 9,188$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,738.46 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Heat | 56c | 8,528$4,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,765.15 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Bulls | 37c | 8,136$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,136.83 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Heat | 73c | 5,563$4,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,037.34 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Heat | 79c | 5,000$3,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,949.99 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Bulls | 39c | 4,582$1,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,795 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2b…e11abacked Bulls | 36c | 4,252$1,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,721.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +288.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Heat | 64c | 3,558$2,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,287.57 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Heat | 59c | 3,206$1,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,876.47 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Heat | 7c | 3,176$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 345 | 24.3%84 W · 261 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Bulls | 36c | 3,050$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,952 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Bulls | 71c | 2,870$2,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.7 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Heat | 62c | 2,750$1,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,712.45 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Bulls | 36c | 2,229$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.86 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ee…bf85backed Bulls | 16c | 2,201$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,845 | 200 | 31%62 W · 138 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Bulls | 36c | 2,172$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.22 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0712…f71bbacked Bulls | 37c | 2,162$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.16 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Heat | 76c | 2,073$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,569.76 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Bulls | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Bulls | 33c | 1,935$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.12 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Bulls | 37c | 1,686$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.18 | 98 | 36.7%36 W · 62 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Bulls | 34c | 1,549$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.67 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Bulls | 12c | 1,505$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.31 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a7…b33abacked Bulls | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Bulls | 62c | 1,339$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.73 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Bulls | 25c | 1,300$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.99 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…8d05backed Bulls | 37c | 1,081$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.08 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Bulls | 34c | 1,058$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.04 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Bulls | 38c | 1,045$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.4 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Heat | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Heat | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e4…f310backed Heat | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9718…fa5dbacked Bulls | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Heat | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e28…9bc8backed Heat | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Bulls | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 250 | 39.6%99 W · 151 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Bulls | 37c | 999.96$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.97 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7a…8b82backed Bulls | 37c | 999.82$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb703…6f88backed Heat | 62c | 998$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.76 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Bulls | 38c | 954.56$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.46 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bf…c049backed Heat | 11c | 927.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Heat | 62c | 799.91$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.94 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Bulls | 35c | 721.55$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.01 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Heat | 61c | 687$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.07 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Bulls | 19c | 646.62$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.52 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…5173backed Heat | 66c | 606.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Bulls | 37c | 600$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d73…0dd6backed Bulls | 21c | 550$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Bulls | 14c | 500$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Heat | 64c | 468.13$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Heat | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81da…421bbacked Bulls | 36c | 418.45$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.45 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Heat | 62c | 415.1$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.63 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17fd…252cbacked Bulls | 36c | 402.78$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.78 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Bulls | 38c | 395$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.9 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Heat | 43c | 373.53$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.62 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3a…16fbbacked Bulls | 37c | 350$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.5 | 178 | 46.1%82 W · 96 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Heat | 9c | 337.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…a131backed Heat | 61c | 329.73$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.84 | 153 | 65.4%100 W · 53 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed Heat | 75c | 309.64$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.23 | 341 | 69.5%237 W · 104 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Heat | 64c | 300$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.15 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…9460backed Bulls | 34c | 297.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.06 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Heat | 64c | 275$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Bulls | 59c | 271.99$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.03 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd3…9642backed Bulls | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 303 | 54.1%164 W · 139 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c56…5a66backed Bulls | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Heat | 35c | 254.21$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.29 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed Heat | 66c | 246.38$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 172 | 56.4%97 W · 75 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73c2…7175backed Bulls | 38c | 245.74$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.36 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Heat | 65c | 240$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 229 | 55.9%128 W · 101 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Heat | 64c | 235.05$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Heat | 63c | 223.99$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.11 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9a…8f02backed Bulls | 38c | 219.47$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.07 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Heat | 61c | 208.22$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.22 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb3…e68cbacked Heat | 66c | 207$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.62 | 350 | 50.6%177 W · 173 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f32…3e2cbacked Heat | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 140 | 41.4%58 W · 82 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Bulls | 14c | 199.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.99 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Bulls | 27c | 199.98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.99 | 100 | 18%18 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc682…7c9ebacked Heat | 62c | 193.24$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.81 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcae5…876dbacked Bulls | 37c | 185.24$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.07 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed Bulls | 36c | 179.47$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.86 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…cc42backed Bulls | 39c | 177.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.22 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…8c56backed Bulls | 23c | 173$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.94 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7897…ea9abacked Heat | 64c | 169.52$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.49 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…c96dbacked Bulls | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.67 | 243 | 29.6%72 W · 171 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Heat | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…a614backed Bulls | 38c | 163.26$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.22 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Bulls | 37c | 161.84$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.04 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Heat | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Heat | 32c | 159.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.78 | 367 | 47.7%175 W · 192 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7a…34ebbacked Bulls | 38c | 158.39$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.2 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Heat | 63c | 157.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18e9…fd77backed Heat | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6294…2958backed Heat | 63c | 150.84$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.03 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Bulls | 38c | 149.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.99 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffd…d225backed Bulls | 27c | 145.78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.78 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e82…6060backed Heat | 63c | 145.06$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.39 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf118…e6d4backed Bulls | 53c | 141.33$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.77 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.