TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Jazz

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pelicansof Pelicans, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$353,977
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$372,329

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $353,977 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 298 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ff0…46e3backed Jazz43c76,256$32,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,578.247656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Pelicans57c73,861$42,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,525.433931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Jazz40c28,528$11,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,360.4634532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Pelicans63c18,001$11,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,703.261,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x91b0…f0b6backed Jazz11c11,948$1,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,317.178337.3%31 W · 52 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-31.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Jazz28c9,905$2,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,793.4546131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz30c8,000$2,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3601,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Pelicans72c7,624$5,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,134.820047%94 W · 106 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80a5…f9babacked Jazz16c6,250$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Jazz21c6,023$1,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,243.3793036.5%339 W · 591 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ff…805cbacked Jazz19c5,290$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00042827.3%117 W · 311 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Jazz30c5,000$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,48040627.8%113 W · 293 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dda…4cf6backed Jazz35c4,014$1,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,406.33666.7%24 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Pelicans71c2,930$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.633752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x383d…a9f2backed Jazz29c2,730$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.53450%17 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Pelicans71c2,500$1,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.9980146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Pelicans70c2,404$1,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.0196447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Jazz28c2,234$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.4330440.5%123 W · 181 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Jazz1c2,104$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.065502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Jazz2c2,076$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.777502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Pelicans68c1,954$1,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.271,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Jazz28c1,935$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.1950245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Jazz11c1,833$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21034524.3%84 W · 261 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Pelicans72c1,786$1,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.1124151.9%125 W · 116 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc2…33dbbacked Jazz29c1,724$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa33…8dbcbacked Jazz19c1,625$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.3329450.3%148 W · 146 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x873c…ac48backed Jazz30c1,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.0125833.7%87 W · 171 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x831b…eed5backed Pelicans70c1,427$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.8715742.7%67 W · 90 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7096…e019backed Jazz6c1,380$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.430061.7%185 W · 115 L+23.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+25.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa27b…5d5cbacked Jazz19c1,350$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.4420447.1%96 W · 108 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3061…dd00backed Jazz31c1,342$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.072941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Pelicans76c1,300$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.971,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Pelicans71c1,256$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.2388053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…3e11backed Pelicans70c1,215$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.1722049.1%108 W · 112 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Jazz6c1,127$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.611,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Jazz2c1,100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Pelicans71c1,074$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.2661345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Pelicans78c1,072$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.3647229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x718c…f792backed Jazz18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1807441.9%31 W · 43 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d80…5fd8backed Jazz31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31030251.7%156 W · 146 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed Jazz29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29032130.2%97 W · 224 L-0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Jazz29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29051037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36a6…52c7backed Jazz29c999.99$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29031125.1%78 W · 233 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5590…6fcdbacked Pelicans72c923.82$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.82250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-30.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1990…e954backed Jazz11c910$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003119.4%6 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-36.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pelicans74c878.95$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.593,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18e9…fd77backed Pelicans71c849.72$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.7211138.7%43 W · 68 L-0.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Pelicans73c821.92$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.9212759.8%76 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1385…7097backed Jazz15c799.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203324.2%8 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Jazz29c750$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.537954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Pelicans71c704.99$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.4585542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pelicans71c704$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.161,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Pelicans71c702.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.8656348.5%273 W · 290 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Jazz18c684.78$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12527546.9%129 W · 146 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb215…b819backed Jazz30c672.61$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026124.1%63 W · 198 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Jazz24c640$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15245135%158 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Jazz16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020851.4%107 W · 101 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Pelicans72c571.98$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.1557760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Jazz48c563.02$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.4214563.4%92 W · 53 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17a9…9375backed Jazz27c562.9$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-32.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffb8…646dbacked Jazz7c549.03$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6510720.6%22 W · 85 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Pelicans71c510.98$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.9387647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33fe…0cccbacked Jazz25c508$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1269827.6%27 W · 71 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Pelicans71c485.09$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.3336751.8%190 W · 177 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Jazz30c449.98$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.811,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Jazz10c431.13$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2137011.4%42 W · 328 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Pelicans74c425.99$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7770640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ba…d429backed Jazz48c414.9$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.84254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Pelicans73c410.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.9613959%82 W · 57 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Pelicans73c410.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.9612659.5%75 W · 51 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaedb…3de3backed Jazz8c402.53$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333641.7%15 W · 21 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+32.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Jazz28c395$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.636643.2%158 W · 208 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed91…4bd6backed Jazz18c393.61$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706334.9%22 W · 41 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb497…8c8ebacked Jazz30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-27%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Pelicans58c320.97$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.1670951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Jazz32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fca…a099backed Jazz5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15387.9%3 W · 35 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-83.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73f0…3d28backed Jazz31c300$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9336434.9%127 W · 237 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Pelicans70c299.99$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9072341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe727…a39cbacked Jazz13c283.75$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3765726%171 W · 486 L+2.3wins0.00per pick26cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Jazz8c282.33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8125536.9%94 W · 161 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x438e…b01abacked Jazz29c281.97$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.774557.8%26 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x28b6…4eddbacked Jazz29c274.92$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.039038.9%35 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Pelicans63c270.77$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.0739843.5%173 W · 225 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Jazz13c268.34$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.131,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2c3…2b90backed Jazz29c256.45$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.37333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Pelicans66c253.13$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.4750047.2%236 W · 264 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb26…94ddbacked Jazz10c251.36$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1610018%18 W · 82 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick15cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Jazz15c250$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.531935.1%112 W · 207 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pelicans71c250$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.56,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x518a…576bbacked Jazz28c238.57$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.84748.9%23 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dec…c5b2backed Jazz35c237.14$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834030%12 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b6a…672bbacked Jazz29c231.21$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.054055%22 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x850c…672ebacked Jazz29c224.38$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.074856.3%27 W · 21 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3147…7667backed Jazz9c222.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201020%2 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-66.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03cb…4bf9backed Jazz9c222.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2026640.2%107 W · 159 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6fe…f8e6backed Jazz52c222$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.02728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-55.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x69ac…261fbacked Jazz29c219.57$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.686129.5%18 W · 43 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5dd9…2af2backed Jazz16c218.75$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354936.7%18 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6527…6c04backed Pelicans72c208.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.33955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.