TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Jets vs. Avalanche

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jetsof Jets, Avalanche
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$97,485
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$93,956

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,485 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee00…cea1backed Jets45c7,366$3,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,077.4444848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76aa…ba27backed Jets36c5,576$2,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,568.641855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+42.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x79a1…5801backed Avalanche54c5,382$2,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,908.72245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf32b…1e55backed Jets42c4,249$1,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,482.651258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick36cpaid+42.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Jets44c4,175$1,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,337.531334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Jets45c2,773$1,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,526.281,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x945e…2acabacked Avalanche61c2,595$1,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,579.538950.6%45 W · 44 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Avalanche53c2,500$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,324.9531849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeab5…63a1backed Jets30c2,461$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,722.533839.5%15 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+26.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x670d…0825backed Jets47c2,424$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,274.31361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+25.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Jets47c2,362$1,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,246.743650%18 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Avalanche46c2,151$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.4692848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Jets44c1,824$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.951,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Avalanche57c1,413$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80015261.8%94 W · 58 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Avalanche51c1,041$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.1125340.7%103 W · 150 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Jets50c1,026$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.0928842%121 W · 167 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Jets49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe5bd…2cbabacked Jets61c994.8$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Jets30c963.41$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.3985464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Jets43c939.38$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.443,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Jets48c919.51$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.159459.6%56 W · 38 L+11.1wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+20.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x15c9…e725backed Jets31c865.62$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.875322.6%12 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Jets45c806.21$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.0638040.5%154 W · 226 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf283…fd2dbacked Avalanche55c799.99$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Avalanche54c651.94$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.0529847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Jets46c511.67$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.8741851.4%215 W · 203 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Jets47c499.96$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.9854349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Avalanche52c427.12$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.3972444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe004…840abacked Jets45c413.01$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.15475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+57%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb34…59eabacked Avalanche53c400$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2122466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.7wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+34.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Jets47c369.21$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.6879251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Avalanche57c367.59$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21119438.1%74 W · 120 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Avalanche28c341.69$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.881,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Jets49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1531,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Jets48c261.2$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.821,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6619…539ebacked Jets45c250.5$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fba…d461backed Jets45c235.07$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecda…e488backed Avalanche55c234.55$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-55.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x45fa…782bbacked Jets46c224.65$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.65250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea63…d01fbacked Avalanche56c224.29$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.6450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3702…ec2cbacked Jets46c224.24$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.29250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eeb…f7afbacked Avalanche56c223.93$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x284f…98a5backed Jets46c222.33$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.33757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8415…0b5dbacked Avalanche56c221.43$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Jets47c217.4$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.8228542.1%120 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe22e…039fbacked Jets47c213.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.621533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-37%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x39a8…f170backed Jets48c208.34$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3411644%51 W · 65 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Jets49c204.09$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0924945.8%114 W · 135 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd6e…f1d6backed Avalanche52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1042343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x741c…bf80backed Avalanche53c181$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.932040%8 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x63c0…2d68backed Avalanche53c172.59$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.25825%2 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-59.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Avalanche60c166.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10072448.3%350 W · 374 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1b8…de66backed Jets45c166.67$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.67540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30b9…9b83backed Jets79c150$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.52653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Avalanche54c149.97$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.9950857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cec…1e3dbacked Avalanche34c143.95$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.21030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid+14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94a3…9443backed Jets48c131.86$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Jets46c129.89$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.384051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9637…8692backed Jets48c128.3$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.72450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf5e…8855backed Jets48c126.61$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick64cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ca1…296abacked Avalanche53c124.15$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.0420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x24d2…309abacked Avalanche53c123.53$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.74540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3936…015cbacked Jets48c115.69$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.16450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65f9…db5ebacked Avalanche53c114.32$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.59333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca21…7884backed Avalanche58c112.97$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6540%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Jets44c112.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.1535545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdec9…1795backed Avalanche53c110.44$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.53520%1 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.45per pick65cpaid-75%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8121…07cabacked Avalanche54c108.56$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.62250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda8a…aacbbacked Avalanche54c107.37$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.9820%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2873…e190backed Avalanche52c105.7$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.961050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e4c…12e8backed Jets48c105.23$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa56f…7bbdbacked Jets49c104.27$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.18650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa750…5bc1backed Jets49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7498…465abacked Avalanche53c100.63$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.33425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked Jets73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2727643.5%120 W · 156 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Avalanche52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5250049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf22a…1697backed Avalanche52c99.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.769251.1%47 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccc9…7a15backed Jets47c98.6$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.232360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe54b…fe04backed Avalanche53c97.93$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick49cpaid-71.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c98…b0e9backed Jets48c97.13$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.51366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+43.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b6b…bfecbacked Jets48c93.98$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.872161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x93eb…2108backed Avalanche53c93.09$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.341450%7 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb344…31cabacked Jets48c92.21$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.954100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+73.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2235…d67fbacked Avalanche55c91.54$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507062.9%44 W · 26 L+8.0wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+25.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe996…6243backed Avalanche55c91.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2ab…fc79backed Jets49c91.35$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.592458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4469…cefebacked Jets45c90$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.51631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-41.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9a66…01f2backed Jets47c89.36$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+63.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd3…f11cbacked Jets48c89.34$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.461546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9544…f3fbbacked Avalanche56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015549.7%77 W · 78 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6984…1b67backed Jets46c87.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.251553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d3f…bf4dbacked Avalanche55c87.27$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6554…702fbacked Avalanche52c86.46$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.96837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a8d…3645backed Jets48c85.79$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.61683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick65cpaid+34.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb297…24f0backed Avalanche52c85.77$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.62263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb34e…c317backed Avalanche52c84.89$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.141947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb590…36babacked Jets49c82.68$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.171154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05a8…92aabacked Jets46c82.48$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.892240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5656…855fbacked Avalanche53c82.04$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.641637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d22…9d0cbacked Jets49c79.14$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.742250%11 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.