Premier League · resolved market
Will Newcastle vs. Brentford end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21b0b557e00b775c1669fb26c4d54ad403f583514fc967b3036d94863ac25982
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,346
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,789
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,346 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd8c0…759abacked Yes | 22c | 10,012$2,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,202.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff8f…03e9backed Yes | 22c | 10,011$2,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,202.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a38…61ebbacked No | 78c | 10,011$7,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,202.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 77cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf103…abebbacked No | 78c | 10,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 23c | 2,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 77c | 1,300$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.99 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 15c | 1,177$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.4 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 66c | 1,093$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.53 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yes | 25c | 1,018$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.43 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes | 55c | 636.36$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 120 | 53.3%64 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6b…12e7backed No | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 77c | 616.16$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.29 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83dd…fe0fbacked Yes | 23c | 436.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 77c | 389$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.47 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Yes | 23c | 282.61$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 126 | 23%29 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…4dc6backed No | 78c | 268.6$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.09 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaa…7d99backed Yes | 16c | 268.35$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.72 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 16c | 262.45$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.11 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes | 23c | 208$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 150 | 25.3%38 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc711…d3c6backed No | 78c | 98.72$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 23c | 94.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 21c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 157 | 26.8%42 W · 115 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 78c | 79.49$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 129 | 65.1%84 W · 45 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Yes | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 77c | 58.18$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 78c | 58$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed No | 79c | 53$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d42…f046backed No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd05c…c5b3backed No | 78c | 17.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 77c | 14.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Newcastle vs. Brentford end in a draw?this page
- Will Brentford win on 2025-04-02?No won
- Will Newcastle win on 2025-04-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.