TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Bulls

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bullsof Nets, Bulls
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$543,604
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$606,954

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $543,604 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 840 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd727…eccebacked Bulls50c40,619$20,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,173.21,19846.8%561 W · 637 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Nets45c36,257$16,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,348.183,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1569…4e0cbacked Nets73c22,672$16,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,488.331457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd200…06b1backed Bulls74c22,395$16,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,824.993348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Nets33c20,438$6,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,744.9833931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa47a…fd11backed Bulls45c14,021$6,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,723.875261.5%32 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Nets46c8,979$4,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,130.247848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Nets56c8,240$4,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,598.5261345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccab…cb62backed Nets64c7,443$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8002532%8 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-37.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Bulls54c6,556$3,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,015.5627546.2%127 W · 148 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Bulls50c6,315$3,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,179.2519152.4%100 W · 91 L+16.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+23%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb928…5fd7backed Bulls56c5,460$3,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,408.657451.4%38 W · 36 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Bulls24c5,167$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,926.6626431.8%84 W · 180 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Bulls54c5,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,30030443.1%131 W · 173 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Nets44c5,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.961,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Bulls56c4,644$2,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,029.3377745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Bulls53c4,527$2,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,143.3450245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Bulls54c4,408$2,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,029.021,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Nets3c4,222$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.858783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Nets76c4,040$3,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,070.3949849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Nets1c3,570$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8534524.3%84 W · 261 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b9d…480abacked Bulls56c3,500$1,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,533.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc60d…57c2backed Bulls56c3,500$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5401100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Bulls43c3,448$1,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,974.9523554.5%128 W · 107 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Bulls55c3,211$1,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,445.7528347.7%135 W · 148 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0564…ce95backed Nets44c3,185$1,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,389.524721.3%10 W · 37 L-7.5wins-0.16per pick37cpaid-41.1%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xf0ec…6064backed Nets44c2,752$1,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,217.8413929.5%41 W · 98 L+0.5wins0.00per pick29cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Bulls52c2,494$1,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,197.334532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Nets46c2,484$1,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,142.680146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Bulls56c2,401$1,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.511,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Nets1c2,400$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99cf…a86abacked Bulls30c2,381$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,668.1514034.3%48 W · 92 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0712…f71bbacked Nets46c2,379$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1009247.8%44 W · 48 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfe4f…5241backed Nets69c2,131$1,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.2315341.8%64 W · 89 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7239…6591backed Nets48c2,061$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9873636.1%13 W · 23 L-4.8wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-26.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x310d…b64dbacked Nets44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8804330.2%13 W · 30 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Bulls33c2,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,339.9929747.5%141 W · 156 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Nets45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.9946426.1%121 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Bulls59c1,874$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.6688053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ae7…4602backed Bulls55c1,822$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.551973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.8wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+28.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4ca5…52a2backed Nets28c1,786$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x25f2…edf8backed Nets45c1,759$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.5510643.4%46 W · 60 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Nets1c1,750$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33fe…0cccbacked Bulls23c1,718$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3269827.6%27 W · 71 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x670d…0825backed Bulls54c1,676$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.967759.7%46 W · 31 L+9.1wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+20.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Nets19c1,600$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3031,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9598…1fd2backed Bulls56c1,503$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.32955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c95…0a3abacked Nets44c1,500$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6603542.9%15 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03cb…4bf9backed Nets49c1,438$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70026640.2%107 W · 159 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5613…10c9backed Nets46c1,321$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.75742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fb8…e946backed Nets45c1,178$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb541…9a27backed Nets45c1,177$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81bf…826bbacked Nets45c1,172$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39dc…8d05backed Nets47c1,170$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55014051.4%72 W · 68 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ac…e52ebacked Nets45c1,167$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91bd…93bcbacked Nets45c1,162$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7969…87d2backed Nets45c1,162$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf65e…a55abacked Nets52c1,150$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.84344.2%19 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca5f…1e74backed Bulls40c1,135$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.224238.1%16 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa2…93ccbacked Bulls36c1,114$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.178434.5%29 W · 55 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe663…6462backed Nets45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006747.8%32 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf8c…eb27backed Nets45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006253.2%33 W · 29 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Bulls55c1,111$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.9524554.7%134 W · 111 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Nets57c1,069$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.065,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b6a…3eedbacked Nets46c1,054$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.5727735.4%98 W · 179 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed Nets66c1,046$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.1919451.5%100 W · 94 L-17.8wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-17.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Bulls31c1,003$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.8225536.9%94 W · 161 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed Bulls55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45032130.2%97 W · 224 L-0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Nets3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3042434.4%146 W · 278 L-19.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8377…4198backed Bulls16c1,000$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8405940.7%24 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce37…b17bbacked Bulls52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4802540%10 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c93…d494backed Bulls54c999.98$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.991060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Nets48c997.48$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.6293036.5%339 W · 591 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1747…bdf1backed Nets47c980.49$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.831369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Bulls32c960.46$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.9270640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Nets43c934.84$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.8773051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Nets69c900.49$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.031,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x36a6…52c7backed Bulls29c900$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.5131125.1%78 W · 233 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadbe…bc55backed Bulls55c899.87$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.5450453.8%271 W · 233 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Nets36c848.36$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.4153134.7%184 W · 347 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Nets44c843.48$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.0245743.3%198 W · 259 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x008b…439bbacked Nets14c741.32$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.14537.8%17 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b92…046ebacked Bulls30c700$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49016140.4%65 W · 96 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Bulls46c700$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.9851037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Bulls30c650$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45695848.7%467 W · 491 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Nets44c646.07$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.2785542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51dd…2f92backed Nets47c638.3$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30019944.7%89 W · 110 L-15.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5c55…1846backed Bulls56c625$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2754161%25 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+25.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bcb…725abacked Nets3c616.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20857.1%6 W · 79 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-40.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Nets57c600$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3411,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad7c…004dbacked Nets47c532.5$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.28650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb968…921dbacked Bulls38c530.56$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.56850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Bulls54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2301,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd296…5febbacked Bulls33c500$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+69.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Nets61c497.68$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.5636748.2%177 W · 190 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb215…b819backed Nets44c451.72$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026124.1%63 W · 198 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Nets56c450$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25222955.9%128 W · 101 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Bulls43c445$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.6529738.7%115 W · 182 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Nets45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Nets45c442.11$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20029643.2%128 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.