NBA · resolved market

Hornets vs. Clippers

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5aeee35f49b3c13ef83a9077204d899795ed5530806732aca9b9bcf6cd0cc834

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Clippersof Hornets, Clippers
Resolved: Mar 16, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $225,594
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $197,897

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $225,594 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb6dd…bf2bbacked Hornets	8c	28,479$2,136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,135.98	46	28.3%13 W · 33 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1571…c4e6backed Hornets	12c	18,139$2,132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,131.54	194	19.1%37 W · 157 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Hornets	1c	17,572$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.04	878	3%26 W · 852 L	-22.3wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-62%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Hornets	15c	12,000$1,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,800	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ef2…d0dabacked Hornets	11c	9,799$1,078 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,077.88	110	19.1%21 W · 89 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Hornets	8c	9,222$759 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$759.29	264	31.8%84 W · 180 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x674d…def3backed Hornets	14c	8,800$1,267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,266.98	47	31.9%15 W · 32 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	27cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc254…b899backed Hornets	5c	8,762$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470	61	21.3%13 W · 48 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Hornets	15c	8,675$1,340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,340.36	377	34%128 W · 249 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Hornets	13c	7,585$971 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$970.93	964	47.8%461 W · 503 L	+35.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Hornets	0c	5,000$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	1,277	2.3%29 W · 1,248 L	-11.7wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-84%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Hornets	12c	4,000$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	618	35.4%219 W · 399 L	+7.8wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Hornets	14c	3,160$444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$444	232	37.1%86 W · 146 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb215…b819backed Hornets	5c	2,500$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	261	24.1%63 W · 198 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Hornets	1c	2,150$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	750	2%15 W · 735 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1187…cb53backed Hornets	12c	1,734$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.08	98	36.7%36 W · 62 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Hornets	14c	1,501$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.11	1,197	46.7%559 W · 638 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ae…cb95backed Hornets	4c	1,500$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	260	49.2%128 W · 132 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Hornets	15c	1,333$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	930	36.5%339 W · 591 L	-20.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49b2…ffd0backed Hornets	12c	1,120$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136	156	13.5%21 W · 135 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9977…085fbacked Hornets	14c	1,038$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.79	166	17.5%29 W · 137 L	-6.2wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Hornets	15c	1,025$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.19	283	47.7%135 W · 148 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Hornets	14c	1,000$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	1,090	35.8%390 W · 700 L	+40.1wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8adc…7a1bbacked Hornets	15c	1,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	169	28.4%48 W · 121 L	+8.7wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed Hornets	12c	1,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	321	30.2%97 W · 224 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Hornets	8c	1,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	195	35.4%69 W · 126 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Hornets	13c	960.27$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.98	706	40.8%288 W · 418 L	+7.8wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Hornets	14c	800$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112	510	37.5%191 W · 319 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Hornets	14c	799.96$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.99	457	43.3%198 W · 259 L	-12.2wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa38…ffb3backed Hornets	13c	770$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.1	109	25.7%28 W · 81 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf585…f019backed Hornets	14c	714.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	41	48.8%20 W · 21 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…b24ebacked Hornets	14c	714.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	161	29.8%48 W · 113 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Hornets	16c	625$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	893	53%473 W · 420 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b35…a749backed Hornets	14c	620.81$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	364	23.4%85 W · 279 L	-15.3wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Hornets	16c	611.11$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1,888	37.3%704 W · 1,184 L	+9.9wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Hornets	14c	544.34$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	230	48.3%111 W · 119 L	-8.8wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x36a6…52c7backed Hornets	7c	500$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	311	25.1%78 W · 233 L	+8.7wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Hornets	15c	500$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	296	43.2%128 W · 168 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb34e…c317backed Hornets	16c	479.31$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.69	50	46%23 W · 27 L	-2.9wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-16%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8992…2dcfbacked Hornets	5c	455.56$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	36	47.2%17 W · 19 L	+2.0wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f60…92debacked Hornets	11c	454.55$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	34cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Hornets	15c	399.93$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.99	958	48.7%467 W · 491 L	+24.5wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Hornets	14c	393.14$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.78	461	31%143 W · 318 L	+15.6wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a07…cff6backed Hornets	14c	357.14$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	134	35.8%48 W · 86 L	-8.6wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d22…9d0cbacked Hornets	14c	333.86$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.74	48	54.2%26 W · 22 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x706d…0f3cbacked Hornets	15c	333.13$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.97	40	50%20 W · 20 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab3c…5093backed Hornets	14c	330$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.9	155	38.1%59 W · 96 L	+5.6wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dcd…70ddbacked Hornets	14c	314.29$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	139	37.4%52 W · 87 L	-5.0wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Hornets	13c	300$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	1,048	41.1%431 W · 617 L	+23.6wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b7…60a4backed Hornets	13c	293.85$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.84	43	30.2%13 W · 30 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadb9…2067backed Hornets	9c	222$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.98	129	41.9%54 W · 75 L	+10.0wins	+0.08per pick	34cpaid	+38.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc0f4…0eb4backed Hornets	14c	221.43$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	136	47.1%64 W · 72 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d93…8dfabacked Hornets	14c	207.14$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	128	46.1%59 W · 69 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked Hornets	13c	199.98$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	365	14.2%52 W · 313 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf92…d080backed Hornets	14c	192.86$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	126	43.7%55 W · 71 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	0%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abc…07b0backed Hornets	14c	185.71$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	139	42.4%59 W · 80 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0753…25b2backed Hornets	12c	177.67$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.01	60	21.7%13 W · 47 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x38a0…16e9backed Hornets	14c	176.67$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	718	23.3%167 W · 551 L	+6.9wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03cb…4bf9backed Hornets	14c	163.01$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.82	266	40.2%107 W · 159 L	+13.7wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6984…1b67backed Hornets	15c	162.4$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.36	46	47.8%22 W · 24 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x53c5…9a52backed Hornets	14c	159.79$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.37	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+2.5wins	+0.42per pick	42cpaid	+103.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbc52…a021backed Hornets	8c	159.24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.37	119	34.5%41 W · 78 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Hornets	16c	156.25$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1,166	54.4%634 W · 532 L	+19.3wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Hornets	16c	156.25$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	345	48.7%168 W · 177 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb433…3ad5backed Hornets	15c	155$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.6	44	31.8%14 W · 30 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	28cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b11…268cbacked Hornets	13c	153.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3585…1595backed Hornets	12c	150$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	260	41.2%107 W · 153 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2928…b217backed Hornets	14c	142.86$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	76	38.2%29 W · 47 L	-4.7wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9bd…68bebacked Hornets	15c	137.9$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	148	49.3%73 W · 75 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c1b…7d60backed Hornets	14c	135.71$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	141	44.7%63 W · 78 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x501a…d46dbacked Hornets	8c	132.75$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.62	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17fd…252cbacked Hornets	14c	128.57$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	93	47.3%44 W · 49 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ff9…4e59backed Hornets	15c	127$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.05	56	46.4%26 W · 30 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ec…56f4backed Hornets	16c	125.31$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.05	45	53.3%24 W · 21 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x191f…80dabacked Hornets	16c	122.19$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.55	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc782…3fc5backed Hornets	15c	117.93$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.69	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-46.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0526…e8cabacked Hornets	13c	115.15$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.97	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf04f…a8c4backed Hornets	14c	104$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.48	227	33%75 W · 152 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d46…4130backed Hornets	16c	100$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+1.8wins	+0.12per pick	41cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8fa9…39a1backed Hornets	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	487	41.9%204 W · 283 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33dc…415ebacked Hornets	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	316	31.6%100 W · 216 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89b3…6ed8backed Hornets	14c	99.99$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	172	56.4%97 W · 75 L	-8.9wins	-0.05per pick	62cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x99c4…a688backed Hornets	14c	85.71$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	149	53.7%80 W · 69 L	+11.3wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd75…8cfebacked Hornets	14c	85.71$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	137	48.9%67 W · 70 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f7…0331backed Hornets	14c	83.33$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	68	41.2%28 W · 40 L	+3.6wins	+0.05per pick	36cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2424…2751backed Hornets	15c	80.13$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.02	31	58.1%18 W · 13 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b91…6f8ebacked Hornets	15c	80$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	110	43.6%48 W · 62 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d9d…a8f9backed Hornets	14c	78.57$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	34	44.1%15 W · 19 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+22%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x032b…89b8backed Hornets	14c	72.86$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	-3.3wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Hornets vs. Clippers

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market