NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Jazz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x126e5046422f6dac104078b791e2441879e1cc7031d3f2a2730b3e4aaef3612e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jazzof Timberwolves, Jazz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $528,798
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $550,495
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $528,798 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 293 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Jazz | 49c | 47,562$23,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,447.62 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Jazz | 55c | 44,360$24,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,169.59 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Timberwolves | 63c | 34,885$21,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,829.51 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Timberwolves | 45c | 33,956$15,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,165.98 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58a3…279fbacked Timberwolves | 80c | 27,009$21,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,607.56 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Timberwolves | 42c | 26,950$11,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,249.39 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Jazz | 33c | 22,801$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,201.81 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Timberwolves | 61c | 22,223$13,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,619.93 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Jazz | 68c | 21,882$14,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,943.42 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Jazz | 42c | 20,987$8,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,092.06 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…5055backed Timberwolves | 75c | 19,110$14,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,368.1 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 72cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Jazz | 46c | 9,651$4,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,184.44 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Jazz | 38c | 9,593$3,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,917.83 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…b2d1backed Jazz | 19c | 9,008$1,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,289.91 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed Timberwolves | 28c | 8,444$2,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,364.32 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Timberwolves | 60c | 8,000$4,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,780 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dda…4cf6backed Jazz | 70c | 8,000$5,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,384.06 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d34…b76fbacked Jazz | 42c | 6,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,480 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…3f94backed Timberwolves | 38c | 5,120$1,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,942 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Jazz | 39c | 5,073$1,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,094.68 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Jazz | 35c | 5,000$1,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,251.69 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd065…93e8backed Timberwolves | 58c | 4,206$2,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,431.67 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…8441backed Timberwolves | 58c | 3,952$2,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300.65 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Jazz | 43c | 3,864$1,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,209.79 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Jazz | 54c | 3,792$2,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,748.78 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Timberwolves | 56c | 2,906$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,631.71 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d9…2d2ebacked Jazz | 76c | 2,845$2,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.78 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Jazz | 54c | 2,524$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.39 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d4…9f1abacked Timberwolves | 78c | 2,410$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Timberwolves | 57c | 2,358$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.99 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Timberwolves | 77c | 2,135$1,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,644.13 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Timberwolves | 57c | 2,048$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.55 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Timberwolves | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Timberwolves | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Jazz | 52c | 1,998$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.97 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Jazz | 42c | 1,952$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.84 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…68a8backed Timberwolves | 57c | 1,816$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.03 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Jazz | 39c | 1,763$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.43 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed Timberwolves | 65c | 1,713$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.74 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Jazz | 38c | 1,599$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.38 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaae…8a95backed Timberwolves | 62c | 1,550$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8df…2521backed Jazz | 38c | 1,545$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.9 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Timberwolves | 57c | 1,540$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Timberwolves | 46c | 1,440$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.18 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Jazz | 39c | 1,341$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.85 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Jazz | 48c | 1,313$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.7 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…66d8backed Jazz | 65c | 1,236$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.47 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Timberwolves | 37c | 1,228$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Timberwolves | 34c | 1,200$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Jazz | 39c | 1,089$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.03 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Timberwolves | 58c | 1,071$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.9 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Timberwolves | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Timberwolves | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 404 | 48.3%195 W · 209 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Timberwolves | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Timberwolves | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.74 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Timberwolves | 62c | 999.99$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.99 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e2…721bbacked Timberwolves | 63c | 982.87$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.21 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Jazz | 51c | 982.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.35 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4345…77fabacked Timberwolves | 64c | 976.23$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.05 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Timberwolves | 75c | 975.85$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.42 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe663…6462backed Timberwolves | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Jazz | 51c | 952.88$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.61 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed Timberwolves | 72c | 923$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.03 | 172 | 56.4%97 W · 75 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Jazz | 38c | 916.3$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.11 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Jazz | 41c | 915$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.85 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Timberwolves | 54c | 900$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Jazz | 19c | 782.66$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.18 | 131 | 33.6%44 W · 87 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Timberwolves | 68c | 700$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Timberwolves | 58c | 699.99$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.95 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Jazz | 47c | 658.47$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.09 | 367 | 51.8%190 W · 177 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Timberwolves | 62c | 624$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.88 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Jazz | 42c | 619$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.88 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Jazz | 37c | 617.21$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.84 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Timberwolves | 6c | 604.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1990…e954backed Timberwolves | 36c | 551.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Jazz | 38c | 521.93$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.93 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Jazz | 44c | 514.27$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.99 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Jazz | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Jazz | 43c | 495.24$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.72 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdd…bbb8backed Timberwolves | 61c | 483.46$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.91 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Jazz | 43c | 458.75$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.49 | 139 | 29.5%41 W · 98 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Timberwolves | 63c | 447.93$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.69 | 275 | 46.9%129 W · 146 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Timberwolves | 56c | 414.81$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.29 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Timberwolves | 57c | 402.3$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.31 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Timberwolves | 62c | 387.1$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…0ee5backed Timberwolves | 57c | 368.42$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Jazz | 25c | 349.95$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.46 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc4…0bfdbacked Jazz | 49c | 345$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…7214backed Jazz | 53c | 343.03$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.07 | 186 | 32.8%61 W · 125 L | -12.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Jazz | 55c | 342.43$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.53 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc576…027dbacked Timberwolves | 45c | 341.17$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.52 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac56…5b67backed Timberwolves | 57c | 330.44$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.35 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Jazz | 40c | 318$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.24 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Jazz | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Timberwolves | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9a…8f02backed Jazz | 39c | 299.74$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.84 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x034b…8bc0backed Jazz | 38c | 283$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.46 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +5.1wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Timberwolves | 44c | 272.56$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1668…ebebbacked Jazz | 44c | 272.23$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.45 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Timberwolves | 57c | 264.99$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.04 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.