TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Islanders vs. Bruins

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Islandersof Islanders, Bruins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,975
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,570

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,975 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe505…d18bbacked Bruins49c18,076$8,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,857.346357.1%36 W · 27 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Islanders51c9,902$5,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,85222842.5%97 W · 131 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Islanders51c6,000$3,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,939.9592848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Islanders50c2,119$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.2597651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Islanders50c1,887$937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.441,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Islanders50c1,636$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.9949351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Bruins1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Bruins6c763.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.632331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dde…6b67backed Bruins48c720.25$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.924235.7%15 W · 27 L-6.9wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-33.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Islanders50c704.99$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.0372444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Islanders51c588$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.1279251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Islanders60c537.84$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.43,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Islanders52c495.23$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.8636242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Bruins52c438.22$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.871,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Bruins48c410$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.875155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Bruins50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013457.5%77 W · 57 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked Bruins47c388.5$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.5915663.5%99 W · 57 L+17.0wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+22.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x641b…6116backed Bruins50c376.25$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.724555.6%25 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2563…b813backed Bruins49c281.82$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.091533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-39.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdaa9…ea74backed Bruins49c265.31$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf09d…de27backed Bruins49c265.31$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4e…b5efbacked Islanders52c264.87$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.141346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b88…d628backed Bruins52c250$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1305534.5%19 W · 36 L-6.0wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7d44…b15ebacked Islanders52c250$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1207550.7%38 W · 37 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfce7…baa8backed Islanders52c244.81$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.51850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc89f…5ea7backed Islanders52c236.92$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.561844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x950d…d965backed Bruins49c224.94$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.222152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d77…c979backed Bruins50c211.9$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x471d…4563backed Islanders51c211.76$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7128…24c2backed Bruins54c205$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Bruins49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0623…35dbbacked Bruins49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003080%24 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Bruins49c202.03$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Bruins50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015456.5%87 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4574…ab3ebacked Bruins49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983132.3%10 W · 21 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-23.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x487f…30babacked Bruins48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962733.3%9 W · 18 L-5.8wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-42.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Bruins50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012859.4%76 W · 52 L+0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11cc…81dbbacked Bruins50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa0…001ebacked Bruins50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf64…7e54backed Islanders52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962669.2%18 W · 8 L+6.0wins+0.23per pick46cpaid+55%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Islanders49c196.08$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10072847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc894…8b1fbacked Islanders51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.08250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa928…9575backed Bruins51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b15…7a2dbacked Islanders51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.08250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d02…8eefbacked Islanders46c190$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.61369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+29.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda36…582fbacked Bruins54c190$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.6728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-37.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Bruins47c188.71$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.6920751.2%106 W · 101 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xca23…2233backed Bruins50c180$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdd4…7696backed Bruins49c178.82$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.6218452.2%96 W · 88 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa32a…1d9ebacked Islanders51c176.47$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.47250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51ab…8df2backed Islanders46c176$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5161…771ebacked Bruins49c172.45$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.51947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40d7…dd52backed Islanders52c171.32$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.121656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fba…03ffbacked Bruins48c168$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.641346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34a1…6c73backed Islanders52c168$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.641650%8 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce43…a695backed Islanders52c165$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.21442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27cc…9b13backed Bruins48c165$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.21145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62d0…58a2backed Bruins31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Islanders51c147$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.0360549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bb1…2573backed Bruins49c143.1$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.121457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6e…2e6dbacked Bruins49c129.55$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.481233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-45.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d5b…53b1backed Islanders52c127.81$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.841662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+26.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Bruins15c126.47$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8714012.9%18 W · 122 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd29…dfe3backed Bruins53c120$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf9f…1dd3backed Islanders52c117.13$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.22837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-36.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6e5…4188backed Bruins51c104$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7897…ea9abacked Islanders53c102.38$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.122166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+28.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa098…f430backed Bruins49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+37.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c72…80bbbacked Islanders52c101.35$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.651163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6294…2958backed Bruins49c100.71$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.351560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+21.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed Bruins49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked Islanders50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5027643.5%120 W · 156 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Islanders52c99.9$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9581846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x25e0…c6c4backed Bruins49c97.71$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.881553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1668…ebebbacked Islanders52c97.42$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.561968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+29.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeba7…f213backed Islanders52c90.68$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.082352.2%12 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…be67backed Islanders52c90.44$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.291637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x032b…89b8backed Bruins49c88.67$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.451553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd4e…510cbacked Bruins49c86.24$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.261241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Islanders52c82.37$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.3984051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71b7…958dbacked Islanders53c75.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4711558.3%67 W · 48 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ec…56f4backed Bruins49c70.31$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.452263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x68d6…8b0ebacked Bruins48c70$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d86…f0bbbacked Bruins50c66.16$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.08757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Islanders52c61.53$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5350857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fe9…a56cbacked Islanders47c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid+6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08dc…6ef8backed Bruins50c58$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ea9…790bbacked Bruins49c55.9$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.39757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+30.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9b8…934ebacked Bruins49c55.16$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.03540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf04f…a8c4backed Bruins48c54$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9216437.2%61 W · 103 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b33…14a0backed Islanders53c50.79$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.87650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cfc…1281backed Bruins49c50.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7180%0 W · 8 L-4.2wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x0498…52c5backed Bruins49c50.2$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2155…cca3backed Islanders52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Bruins50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2541954.4%228 W · 191 L-1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df3…3c31backed Bruins49c49.12$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe78d…e9c7backed Islanders52c48.65$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.35475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+71.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x96ef…af37backed Bruins48c47.92$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xafbc…a8b5backed Islanders52c47.02$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.548050%40 W · 40 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f8c…02fcbacked Bruins49c43.63$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.382060%12 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.