MLB · resolved market
Phillies vs. Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x532c866766ce2ad1c6424fbbc652bdf700d0213737fe0fb9b4d9b04ae1ea2e83
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nationalsof Phillies, Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,417,254
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,485,157
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,417,254 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 268 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe785…e106backed Nationals | 37c | 1,110,099$415,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694,178.02 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Phillies | 63c | 905,247$567,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567,059.13 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Phillies | 62c | 142,317$88,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88,236.68 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Nationals | 42c | 60,000$25,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,806.04 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Phillies | 58c | 36,258$21,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,002 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df7…522dbacked Phillies | 62c | 26,315$16,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,315.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Nationals | 37c | 20,459$7,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,889.31 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Phillies | 62c | 19,167$11,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,883.54 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Phillies | 50c | 12,152$6,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,118.18 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Nationals | 38c | 11,014$4,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,809.64 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Phillies | 58c | 9,576$5,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,566.62 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Phillies | 62c | 9,197$5,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,736.47 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe878…2143backed Phillies | 73c | 7,207$5,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,251.47 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 60cpaid | -50%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Phillies | 63c | 7,120$4,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,485.6 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Nationals | 36c | 6,927$2,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,443.84 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Phillies | 59c | 6,220$3,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,671.32 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies | 63c | 6,116$3,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,829.75 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Phillies | 62c | 5,734$3,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,555.08 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Phillies | 63c | 5,390$3,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,383.21 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37be…c646backed Nationals | 43c | 4,215$1,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,393.15 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Phillies | 63c | 4,165$2,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,623.95 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Phillies | 63c | 4,091$2,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,577.32 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Nationals | 37c | 3,584$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,257.84 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Nationals | 36c | 3,309$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,117.81 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Phillies | 62c | 3,203$1,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,981.01 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Nationals | 37c | 3,078$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,948.7 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Nationals | 34c | 2,970$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,969.74 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Phillies | 62c | 2,870$1,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,789.2 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Phillies | 68c | 2,861$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.74 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Nationals | 76c | 2,435$1,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.3 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Phillies | 63c | 2,390$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.01 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nationals | 41c | 2,263$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.54 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Phillies | 65c | 2,222$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444.25 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Phillies | 42c | 2,120$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.55 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4950…0031backed Nationals | 37c | 2,005$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.17 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Nationals | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Phillies | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked Phillies | 62c | 2,000$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Phillies | 68c | 1,781$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.08 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Nationals | 38c | 1,579$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.95 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Phillies | 64c | 1,507$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.48 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Phillies | 34c | 1,487$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.83 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f5d…67a4backed Phillies | 63c | 1,284$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.93 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4981…5176backed Nationals | 38c | 1,279$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.78 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd805…0d78backed Phillies | 63c | 1,250$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.5 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Phillies | 59c | 1,234$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.74 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Phillies | 61c | 1,149$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.1 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5c…9038backed Nationals | 35c | 1,143$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Phillies | 63c | 1,104$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.52 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Phillies | 46c | 1,047$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.18 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c4…f5f2backed Nationals | 35c | 1,029$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.85 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Nationals | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…450ebacked Phillies | 65c | 922$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.3 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Phillies | 65c | 878.54$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.18 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…b373backed Phillies | 65c | 878$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Phillies | 63c | 857.5$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.23 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Phillies | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Phillies | 37c | 792.87$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.9 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Phillies | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc06d…6670backed Nationals | 35c | 771$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Phillies | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Nationals | 49c | 699$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.49 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Phillies | 65c | 690$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.5 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…2305backed Phillies | 23c | 618.52$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.26 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Phillies | 64c | 600$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb08…c038backed Phillies | 65c | 600$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Phillies | 57c | 567.47$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…106abacked Nationals | 36c | 565.05$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.63 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Nationals | 38c | 550$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Phillies | 56c | 548.68$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.5 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…26f9backed Phillies | 65c | 543$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.95 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01d3…82c0backed Phillies | 63c | 523.81$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdec…17a2backed Nationals | 38c | 523.68$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f6…1e55backed Phillies | 62c | 511.11$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.89 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Phillies | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Phillies | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -5.9wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x74c4…4493backed Nationals | 38c | 450$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Phillies | 51c | 439$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.54 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x251b…143cbacked Phillies | 62c | 403.23$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 217 | 53.9%117 W · 100 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Phillies | 17c | 402.47$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ed…c62dbacked Nationals | 37c | 400$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Phillies | 63c | 393.65$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Nationals | 73c | 392$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.18 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Phillies | 62c | 387.1$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Phillies | 63c | 366$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.58 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d79…9c76backed Nationals | 37c | 350$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Nationals | 34c | 349.94$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.96 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Nationals | 38c | 342.79$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.53 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df7…baefbacked Phillies | 67c | 329.85$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Phillies | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -9.4wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Phillies | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Phillies | 64c | 312$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.68 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Phillies | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Phillies | 35c | 307.69$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.69 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…088bbacked Nationals | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Nationals | 34c | 299.98$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Phillies | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Nationals | 39c | 282.03$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.04 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Nationals | 38c | 280.5$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.91 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Nationals | 35c | 277.14$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.14 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.