NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb88fb273a332ccda7a6dcef4b6812c8e4abb9cbafc121b5b51d05161698a3e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $725,947
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $908,191
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $725,947 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 789 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Grizzlies | 4c | 102,532$4,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,101.26 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa47a…fd11backed Cavaliers | 56c | 32,910$18,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,612.08 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Grizzlies | 39c | 29,199$11,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,327.74 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Grizzlies | 27c | 20,000$5,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,333.32 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Grizzlies | 8c | 19,329$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,578.62 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Grizzlies | 0c | 16,801$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Grizzlies | 25c | 16,226$4,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,037.44 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Grizzlies | 44c | 10,569$4,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,650.2 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Grizzlies | 11c | 8,706$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.49 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Cavaliers | 56c | 8,388$4,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,679.74 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Grizzlies | 3c | 5,999$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.7 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Grizzlies | 44c | 5,984$2,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,632.85 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Cavaliers | 64c | 5,382$3,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,930.42 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Grizzlies | 45c | 5,102$2,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,273.63 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Cavaliers | 55c | 4,924$2,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,215.91 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064d…a0e4backed Grizzlies | 43c | 4,660$2,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,003.76 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Grizzlies | 3c | 4,606$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.3 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Grizzlies | 44c | 3,878$1,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720.55 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb4…acb6backed Grizzlies | 45c | 3,458$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554.85 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Cavaliers | 56c | 3,000$1,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.93 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Grizzlies | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Grizzlies | 44c | 2,885$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.84 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Grizzlies | 22c | 2,871$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.75 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…6591backed Cavaliers | 57c | 2,641$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.69 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Grizzlies | 44c | 2,009$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.97 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0712…f71bbacked Cavaliers | 56c | 1,964$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.28 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Grizzlies | 42c | 1,840$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782 | 229 | 55.9%128 W · 101 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Grizzlies | 45c | 1,812$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.82 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ae…5141backed Cavaliers | 56c | 1,797$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.16 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53f4…8c52backed Cavaliers | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Grizzlies | 43c | 1,715$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.44 | 98 | 36.7%36 W · 62 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Grizzlies | 45c | 1,507$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Grizzlies | 2c | 1,500$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Grizzlies | 43c | 1,494$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.62 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Cavaliers | 59c | 1,456$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.29 | 98 | 68.4%67 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Grizzlies | 43c | 1,342$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.87 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8269…e438backed Grizzlies | 43c | 1,300$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c9…3464backed Grizzlies | 1c | 1,300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74cf…8833backed Cavaliers | 56c | 1,300$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Cavaliers | 55c | 1,198$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.88 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ed…e60abacked Grizzlies | 1c | 1,150$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 153 | 16.3%25 W · 128 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Grizzlies | 1c | 1,021$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…3850backed Grizzlies | 5c | 1,016$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 243 | 36.2%88 W · 155 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Cavaliers | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Grizzlies | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Cavaliers | 54c | 999.97$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.99 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Cavaliers | 56c | 981.68$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.94 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…8d05backed Cavaliers | 57c | 964.91$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.91 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…0825backed Grizzlies | 40c | 920$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Grizzlies | 12c | 917.99$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.99 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2e…84cebacked Grizzlies | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Cavaliers | 58c | 882.21$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.8 | 165 | 63.6%105 W · 60 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8223…64c4backed Cavaliers | 56c | 871.43$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…dd3cbacked Grizzlies | 45c | 850$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.5 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Grizzlies | 43c | 828$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.76 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Cavaliers | 55c | 800$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Cavaliers | 55c | 744.67$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.1 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Cavaliers | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.75 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Cavaliers | 60c | 700.98$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.38 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3d…8ed3backed Grizzlies | 22c | 699.99$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Grizzlies | 45c | 666$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.7 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Grizzlies | 44c | 663.41$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.9 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Grizzlies | 33c | 639.34$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Cavaliers | 55c | 540.78$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.35 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c3…4d61backed Cavaliers | 54c | 529$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.34 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Cavaliers | 57c | 508.77$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.77 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Grizzlies | 23c | 504.25$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.77 | 378 | 31.2%118 W · 260 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Cavaliers | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 384 | 64.3%247 W · 137 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…b17bbacked Grizzlies | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Cavaliers | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Grizzlies | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked Grizzlies | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Cavaliers | 55c | 499$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.55 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed Grizzlies | 35c | 462.69$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.04 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Cavaliers | 55c | 456.65$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.06 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Cavaliers | 62c | 451.61$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.61 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bff…331cbacked Cavaliers | 79c | 450$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.57 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Cavaliers | 58c | 407.66$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.02 | 224 | 30.8%69 W · 155 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Cavaliers | 55c | 405.81$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.61 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Cavaliers | 58c | 400$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Grizzlies | 42c | 390.22$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.44 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Grizzlies | 43c | 370$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.1 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Grizzlies | 45c | 366$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.97 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Cavaliers | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Grizzlies | 39c | 360.73$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.78 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Grizzlies | 38c | 351$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.59 | 136 | 38.2%52 W · 84 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf08…bfc7backed Cavaliers | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeefb…d354backed Grizzlies | 45c | 344.69$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.11 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 43cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba9e…97c0backed Cavaliers | 56c | 340$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.6 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Grizzlies | 6c | 327.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 258 | 51.6%133 W · 125 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…6130backed Cavaliers | 56c | 325.99$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.44 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Cavaliers | 56c | 300.01$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.01 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Cavaliers | 55c | 299.99$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Grizzlies | 42c | 299.97$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.99 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Grizzlies | 43c | 297.6$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.32 | 278 | 48.9%136 W · 142 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39ec…f9f6backed Cavaliers | 80c | 286$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 76cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…c96dbacked Grizzlies | 9c | 279.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 243 | 29.6%72 W · 171 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…dc04backed Cavaliers | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c56…5a66backed Cavaliers | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe74c…d5a3backed Grizzlies | 19c | 257.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.